Jon Boehner May Run Into Problems With Senate Republicans

[PEB]

It seems that Senate Republicans are very concerned over any efforts to overturn President Obama's Presidential order on immigration. More of an issue is people like Rand Paul are trying to distance himself from people like Steve King and his inflammatory stance on immigration. Already there looks like there are fractures in the party as seen in the Steve King backed Freedom Conference.

Top Republicans are attending this summit in Iowa are getting labeled as being associated with King. It's already turning into a problem as Senators fight to try not to get attached to more radical Republicans in congress such as Steve King. Rand Paul is one of the few who has been trying to distance himself from more radical elements in the party as well as Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney.


http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/...tration-with-boehner-over-immigration-tactics

 

[ShoelessRye]

Republicans will actually have to try and govern rather than saying "no" to everything and letting the Dems do all the heavy lifting. House Dems will not provide any votes to Boehner, meaning he'll have to find all his votes in his caucus - as he always wanted to do anyways when he knew it would never get voted on in Senate and he could blame Reid or it would get cleaned up in the Senate and then committee.

Now Boehner has to please his far right nutter base in order to get anything passed, and then McConnell will have to either not bring it to the floor or GOP Senate will be the ones to vote it down.

Seems like there will be the great purge of the nutter right with the GOP now pretending "Hey, were adults now and we can govern - all those last six years - let's forget all about that, that was just us having a bit of fun trolling the black guy..."

 

[ShoelessRye]

Not to mention McConnell needs to protect his 2016 Class -

States that go Dem in Presidential Years-
Portman in Ohio
Toomey in Pa
Kirk in Il
Ayotte in NH
Johnson in Wi

States that are toss ups in Presidential years -
Rubio in Fla
Burr in NC
Grassley in Ia - Electing Ernst gives them two GOP Senators, could look to split again. Grassley could retire as well, losing incumbent advantage here.

Potential retirements -
McCain in Az
Isakson in Ga
Vitter in La (if he runs for Gov, Mary Landrieu could run for his seat, lost seat in 2014)

 

[PEB]

Not to mention McConnell needs to protect his 2016 Class -

States that go Dem in Presidential Years-
Portman in Ohio
Toomey in Pa
Kirk in Il
Ayotte in NH
Johnson in Wi

States that are toss ups in Presidential years -
Rubio in Fla
Burr in NC
Grassley in Ia - Electing Ernst gives them two GOP Senators, could look to split again. Grassley could retire as well, losing incumbent advantage here.

Potential retirements -
McCain in Az
Isakson in Ga
Vitter in La (if he runs for Gov, Mary Landrieu could run for his seat, lost seat in 2014)

More than that John Boehner has to protect like 26 congressional seats. It's not just senate seats that are a problem. Republicans have like a number of swing states they have to be worried about in 2016. President Obama is betting Republicans will beat each other up for the next 12 to 14 months. It seems like it could be heading that way especially after a number of Republicans have already called each other out. The other issue a number of moderate Republicans have said to avoid events where people like Sarah Palin appear at because she is out of touch.