I feel like Aspinall’s speed is what concerns jones ….Jones fairly slow at heavyweight and Aspinall incredibly fast for his size …. Good thread lol
If anything that concerned him,mas lack of data. Tom fought opponents whose win : loss ration were very bad until going to the UFC. And in the UFC he got 1st KO wins, impressive, elite HW, but no data... The question mark in itself is tough for a fighter like JJ who likes to tape study. That's what was highlighted for why Tom was a little more dangerous than Poatan... He could study Poatan. Tom could study JJ as he has seen all his fight, which is a huge advantage coming from a young athlete, without near the same level of battle scars JJ has had and who can plan to JJ but he himself fought no world champion and is hard to be analysed.
But that doesn't stop JJ. JJ likes the situations he's doubted. He since said he wanted to go to HW so ppl would doubt him... Saying that being the underdog would fel very nice. But he would play anyways. He's just keeping the narrative up so he keeps being seen as an underdog.
But he is more likely to win I'd say. Tom is fast, but JJ has many ways to stop it... His jab is one of the most accurate ones from UFC, and his considerable reach advantage can set the range to side kicks, oblique kicks... Tom has a pattern of feinting, and using his quick hands ... But his patters attack is consistently a jab —> cross —> hook. It's not a flow that baits you in so much like Poatan. Is more chaotic and a pattern that doesn't require to be quicker to anticipate... And when JJ lands front kicks, kicks to the solar plexus, Tom's explosiveness won't be the same.
And we have seen Tom was tired after the first round with Arlovski... His cardio isn't that good for all we know. And he's a jiujitsu black belt, but so were many fighters who JJ dominated in the ground. JJ even said Gane focused too much on jiujitsu instead of solid takedown defense... And when Tom attacks, he lunges room much, which favors clinching from JJ, collar ties, which will drag the fight to other rounds. JJ being early KO'd is the least realistic scenario.
And when it gets to the third round, To may have won the first two, but JJ is a master of avoiding heavy damage and has a chin like no other fighter... The I see him starting taking over from round 3 and winning a UD or a late finish or TKO. The narrative that JJ was ducking and all... Tom is very good, but I say confidently, and I am pretty confident we will see soon and I like my analysis... JJ weathers the storm and wins in a good fight , competitive, but no controversial. Or maybe a 4 or 5 round TKO...
No fighter could beat JJ. Jiri saying his dream match is JJ because he's the best is telling ... He posted even a quick homage to JJ with an still!! ... But yeah, Jiri would be dominated by JJ the same way Miocic was, or maybe even easier. Takedown too heavy for Jiri... Then his striking is more polished, technical and he is a better fighter in basically all aspects with still a peak performance. It's be like a JJ vs Miocic scenario. Pereira at his best, fully healthy (like when he fought Jiri the second time) would be the one that imo would be JJ's biggest test... In a Gus 1 perhaps epic clash. It's a pity the fight didn't happen because I have always maintained it would have been the best fight and most interesting one. Pereira had the opportunity to go and fight JJ before Tom, Dana said so, he needed to vacate the 205 belt and go straight to fight JJ... But as a competitor, he said he wouldn't go without fighting Ankalaev... And fought him due to tight schedule when not at his best shape at all. Still no pull off, nothing... If JJ is the most dominant fighter, Pereira to me is the Fedor 2 ... Someone who isn't ever afraid and won't be talking too much, will just back up through fighting and always putting his best no matter if he has staph, cold, broken toe... He's there to win...
He's the captain of the UFC and there's a reason fighters like DDP, Khamzat, etc. mention him and JJ mostly... They see true greatness.