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* Eric Metaxas is the author, most recently, of
You mean misestimated probabilities that fail to understand when multiplication should be used?
Shitty? I think Steven King himself would have been honored to have sold as many copies as the Shitty Bible.....it might turn out to be all bullshit, but it definately was a marketing success....
Lump of gold, cup of tea, and you've got yourself a space ship.How many coin tosses can be performed in infinity amount of time? What is the probability of any potential result in a span of infinity?
A response to the article by an actual scientist.
https://richarddawkins.net/2014/12/letter-to-the-editor/
I was going to do this! I listened Lawrence tear the article apart the other day!
No, as when religiously motivated individuals try to calculate probabilities they do it wrong and fuck up the math. But yes, also by making up the probabilities to begin with.As in what Krauss is saying? As in, yes, it is possible to arrive at those probabilities using the known data. But it is also possible that there are other factors that would alter those probabilities in favor of chance. But no one can say with certainty.
Relevance? "Strong" atheism indeed suffers that problem. Strong atheism is quite rare even among the more obnoxious atheist writers. Even Dawkins isn't a strong atheist.So "We don't know" = "No God" (no intelligent agency)
Hey, that conclusion sounds sort of familiar...
Like the other guy said, it's amusing to watch religious people suck at math. Or, put another way, no.All it really comes down to with a guy like Krauss (and perhaps you as well) is this:
The impossibility of envisioning a coin being flipped heads-up 10 quintillion times in a row (or even one half or one quarter that many times) is less philosophically problematic than envisioning a coin flipped heads-up that many times in a row due to some invisible, directed, non-measurable energy controlling the metal disc.
I've no stake in this. I just thought it was interesting.
The actual WSJ article is behind a pay wall
http://www.wsj.com/articles/eric-metaxas-science-increasingly-makes-the-case-for-god-1419544568
In 1966 Time magazine ran a cover story asking: Is God Dead? Many have accepted the cultural narrative that he
I don't think this article comes as a surprise to those of us who've sought to approach the question of biologic origins rationally and impartially.
I began, personally, with a strong, strong faith in an intelligent, creating agency who was a benevolent, intercessory, Father-God creator - one who desired to reveal Himself to mankind and establish relationship with us.
The evidence, the reality of the human condition, led me to an anguishing rejection of this interpretation of the creator.
However, the statistical evidence for a creating agency - of some kind - has remained untouched, or I should say greatly enhanced, as I've gone ever deeper into the current science. Particularly aspects of quantum mechanics and the ideas of Michio Kaku. To say nothing of the entirely self-refuting theory of mutation and selection as the driver of evolution.
But I'm afraid that in the same way that most Father-God theists will desperately cling to that conclusion despite the mountains of empirical evidence against it, the majority of atheistic science cultists will continue to cling to their own dogma, in spite of the insurmountable problem of probabilities.
Made up statistics are made up.
Furthermore low probability events occur continuously.
The probability of this random string is of characters is (1/26)^n if we just use the lower case alphabet. So a 12 character string randomly generated has a lower probability of occurring yet it's trivial to have a random one occur.
Furthermore #2, you can only have a universe that can generate self-awareness in a universe that can generate self-awareness. There may be an infinite amount of other universes are what not. We just don't know.
There may be a god but I doubt it's the type we would recognize.
That’s nothing, though, compared with conditions required for the universe itself to exist. The odds of them occurring simultaneously are one in 100 000 000 000 000 000. (17 noughts). That’s the same as a randomly tossed coin coming up heads 10 quintillion times in a row.
How many coin tosses can be performed in infinity amount of time? What is the probability of any potential result in a span of infinity?