I don’t think they can.
And if they do, it not just going to be the US and Israel getting upset.
The scenario I’m concerned about is Russia and China backing Iran not with words, but military force.
If Iran is spiking oil prices for china, I don’t see them just sitting there and accepting that.
We would see prices go up, but they would be reactionary, not actual supply issues.
China would have real, immediate supply issues. Which is a much different situation. It would also impact India.
I just don’t think it’s realistic long term. And it’s going to hurt others long before it hurts the US. Which is a big deal when the real threat in this conflict that everyone is afraid of is the other countries like china, Russia etc.
Not to mention that naval and air superiority is where I think the US military thrives. Land combat against guerilla warfare is always costly. But naval combat……any blockade in place would and could be removed by force rapidly.