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Is my parlay good?

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by muaytao, Feb 6, 2016.

  1. muaytao Brown Belt

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    Kj noons, jared rosholt, steven wonderboy to win
    risking $10 to get $100+
     
  2. BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    I guess it's okay for 10:1.
     
  3. The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    It's very unlikely in my opinion...

    KJ is very small for WW, but Burkman is very hot and cold. I'd give you a 50% of winning that one.
    Rosholt only has wrestling, and it's sloppy. I think he gets KO'd, I'd give you about 40% of winning that one.
    Hendricks is a huge favorite, but hey! Who knows. I'd give you 20% on that.

    110% of 300% so a little over a 33% chance in my books.

    GOOD LUCK though! Even though I can't stand Jared.
     
  4. Fahrenheit1221 Gold Belt

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    It's not a terrible wager but I don't see all three of those winning. Maybe 2/3 but not all 3.
     
  5. Davemeddlehed There's no mercy in this dojo!

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    This will be Burkman's first lightweight fight...
     
  6. Michaelangelo Okay USA Platinum Member

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    parlays are sucker bets
     
  7. The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    Oh shit, this is at LW? My bad. Didn't think Burkman would cut down at this age.
     
  8. BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    The fuck? What does that even mean?

    .5 * .4 * .2 = 4%
     
  9. JohnWick The Baba Yaga Banned

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    Rosholt is the miss IMO.
     
  10. Davemeddlehed There's no mercy in this dojo!

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    Yeah he announced it soon after the loss to Cote. I'm not entirely sure why he made the move to be honest. Had he not been a fucking goof and deliberately tried to grapple with stungun he very well could have won that fight, so it isn't like he can't compete.
     
  11. JohnWick The Baba Yaga Banned

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    Not if your looking to become rich, smart picks in a parlay work well.
     
  12. M Raid K Black Belt

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    Rosholt will win, the other two are risky.
     
  13. The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    You honestly can't do maths can you lol...
     
  14. BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    Are you trolling?
     
  15. Gorkle Purple Belt

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    Wat.

    You give him a 33% chance of winning a parlay of 3 fights, including 1 fight you give him a 20% chance of winning?
     
  16. The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    If you need all 3 fights to come in, then you have 3 different sets of 100% probability right?

    I was giving my opinion of what I thought his chances were to win each individual one. If you add them up, it would be 110 of 300, so that's little over 33% chance (in my books, of course this isn't fact because we are predicting the winners).

    So it's actually 36%, in my prediction. How you got 4% out of that... my.
     
  17. BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    I honestly don't know if I'm getting suckered into a troll discussion or if I am obliged to give a math lesson.

    If you actually believe that this is how probabilities work, then you and I need to start betting with each other on everything, immediately.
     
  18. Thesnake101 Think about it, it worth it.

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  19. BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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  20. Le Choad Green Belt

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    Lol.

    Stupid people who think they are smart bring the lolz like no other.

    Especially when its math.
     

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