Is my parlay good?

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by muaytao, Feb 6, 2016.

  1. muaytao

    muaytao Brown Belt

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    Kj noons, jared rosholt, steven wonderboy to win
    risking $10 to get $100+
     
  2. BisexualMMA

    BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    I guess it's okay for 10:1.
     
  3. The Natural Born Runner

    The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    It's very unlikely in my opinion...

    KJ is very small for WW, but Burkman is very hot and cold. I'd give you a 50% of winning that one.
    Rosholt only has wrestling, and it's sloppy. I think he gets KO'd, I'd give you about 40% of winning that one.
    Hendricks is a huge favorite, but hey! Who knows. I'd give you 20% on that.

    110% of 300% so a little over a 33% chance in my books.

    GOOD LUCK though! Even though I can't stand Jared.
     
    muaytao likes this.
  4. Fahrenheit1221

    Fahrenheit1221 Gold Belt

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    It's not a terrible wager but I don't see all three of those winning. Maybe 2/3 but not all 3.
     
  5. Davemeddlehed

    Davemeddlehed There's no mercy in this dojo!

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    This will be Burkman's first lightweight fight...
     
  6. Michaelangelo

    Michaelangelo Okay USA Platinum Member

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    parlays are sucker bets
     
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  7. The Natural Born Runner

    The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    Oh shit, this is at LW? My bad. Didn't think Burkman would cut down at this age.
     
  8. BisexualMMA

    BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    The fuck? What does that even mean?

    .5 * .4 * .2 = 4%
     
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  9. JohnWick

    JohnWick The Baba Yaga Banned

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    Rosholt is the miss IMO.
     
  10. Davemeddlehed

    Davemeddlehed There's no mercy in this dojo!

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    Yeah he announced it soon after the loss to Cote. I'm not entirely sure why he made the move to be honest. Had he not been a fucking goof and deliberately tried to grapple with stungun he very well could have won that fight, so it isn't like he can't compete.
     
  11. JohnWick

    JohnWick The Baba Yaga Banned

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    Not if your looking to become rich, smart picks in a parlay work well.
     
  12. M Raid K

    M Raid K Black Belt

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    Rosholt will win, the other two are risky.
     
  13. The Natural Born Runner

    The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    You honestly can't do maths can you lol...
     
  14. BisexualMMA

    BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    Are you trolling?
     
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  15. Gorkle

    Gorkle Purple Belt

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    Wat.

    You give him a 33% chance of winning a parlay of 3 fights, including 1 fight you give him a 20% chance of winning?
     
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  16. The Natural Born Runner

    The Natural Born Runner Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    If you need all 3 fights to come in, then you have 3 different sets of 100% probability right?

    I was giving my opinion of what I thought his chances were to win each individual one. If you add them up, it would be 110 of 300, so that's little over 33% chance (in my books, of course this isn't fact because we are predicting the winners).

    So it's actually 36%, in my prediction. How you got 4% out of that... my.
     
  17. BisexualMMA

    BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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    I honestly don't know if I'm getting suckered into a troll discussion or if I am obliged to give a math lesson.

    If you actually believe that this is how probabilities work, then you and I need to start betting with each other on everything, immediately.
     
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  18. Thesnake101

    Thesnake101 Think about it, it worth it.

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  19. BisexualMMA

    BisexualMMA Don't Put My Name in the Name of Steroids!

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  20. Le Choad

    Le Choad Green Belt

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    Lol.

    Stupid people who think they are smart bring the lolz like no other.

    Especially when its math.
     

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