If You Were an Odds Maker

Mixedfights

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What chance would you give Nate on beating Woodley?

Mine would be at about -1000
 
No way Nate beats Woodley outside an act of God.
 
What RDA did to Nate would be considered a deep tissue massage compared to what Woodley would do to him.
 
If Woodley is -1000, Nate would be about +600. With the juice removed, that implied about 86/14 in favor of Woodley winning. Seems about right.

Maybe a bit less extreme than that. Maybe something like -550 Woodley and +400 Diaz, which implies about 81/19 in favor of Woodley.
 
Nate was too small for WW a few years ago, but if he manages to cover some of that size gap, and keep Woodley from taking him down, he could have some success.
 
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