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But we're not talking about attendance. We're talking about youth athlete participation. Particularly, participation by athletes who grow up in the country.Baseball's decline is somewhat exagerrated. After the Mitchell Report in 2007, the MLB decided to do everything it could to avoid controversy, unlike the NFL and NBA, which almost lean into that sort of thing because "all press is good press". It means baseball is less "tasty" for the media, but participation and attendance are still huge.
Total MLB attendance in 2019 was actually higher than it was at any point before 1993.
Youth participation in baseball underwent a significant decline over the last 30 years. Then when the NFL started getting bad concussion press, youth participation started climbing back up. The fall and subsequent rise of youth baseball participation is a very good parallel for the "what would athletes do" conversation that surrounds soccer. When the best athletes started playing more football than baseball as kids, MLB had to start recruiting more and more players from outside the nation (most Central America and the Caribean). When the NFL started losing some of those youth players - baseball and soccer started getting them.
That has nothing to do with adult attendance to adult games, it's specifically about the allocation of the youth athletes from which the future professionals will arise. Soccer and baseball get more participants, some of whom will develop into elite participants in those sports instead of elite participants in football.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...-football-amid-concussion-fears-idUSKCN1GO2LYOverall, participation in high school sports has surged from less than 4 million student athletes in 2001 to almost 4.6 million last year, researchers report in JAMA Pediatrics. But participation in football peaked in 2008 at 1.11 million athletes, and then declined almost 5 percent to 1.06 million players by 2017.
More kids playing high school sports but a decline in football players - they're going to baseball, soccer, etc.