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Main event won't. Main event is going to be absolutely huge no matter what, UFC can't afford anything other than a super fight for 200 at this point.
What else do we know;
1) They most likely can't afford having only one title fight either. (After UFC 194 and everything)
2) Weidman or Rockhold won't be a part of UFC200, so there won't be a MW title shot on the card.
3) Werdum and Miocic will fight at UFC 198. Considering how much time both guys need in between fights, I think its fair to assume there won't be a HW title shot at UFC200 no matter who wins this fight.
4) Ronda said she'll be back after summer,so no Women's bantamweight title fight at 200.
Now, here's why people might be a little bit disappointed in co-main;
UFC will not book 2 huge PPV fights in one event. No matter if its UFC200,500,1000. There's nothing more important to UFC than proper PPV distrubution.
Let me explain it this way;
There is an absolutely huge superfight main event between A fighter against B fighter (Lawler vs. McGregor for example). Everyone is going to buy PPV for this kind of fight,no matter what else is on the card.
And there is another huge fight between C fighter and D fighter (Anderson vs. GSP for example). It has massive PPV potential. But,most people are going to buy the PPV for the A vs. B fight anyway. Why not book these fights for 2 different events, and not cost themselves close to a million PPV buys?
This is Marketing 101 for the UFC.
Following these guidelines, here is a logical UFC 200 Main card in my opinion;
Main Event: A title fight with huge PPV power.
Co-Main Event: A title fight with less PPV power.
Main Card #3: A #1 contender fight without a huge PPV power,or a legends fight without a huge PPV power.
Main Card #4: A top10 fight without a huge PPV power,or a legends fight without a huge PPV power.
Main Card #5: Gall vs. Punk
The question is,would you be disappointed in a main card like this?
My final guess...
If Conor wins:
Main:Conor vacates the FW title + Conor vs. Edgar for the LW title
Co main:Cruz vs. MM 2 for the BW title
If Conor loses:
Main: RDA vs. Conor 2 for the LW title
Co-main: Cruz vs. MM 2 for the BW title
What else do we know;
1) They most likely can't afford having only one title fight either. (After UFC 194 and everything)
2) Weidman or Rockhold won't be a part of UFC200, so there won't be a MW title shot on the card.
3) Werdum and Miocic will fight at UFC 198. Considering how much time both guys need in between fights, I think its fair to assume there won't be a HW title shot at UFC200 no matter who wins this fight.
4) Ronda said she'll be back after summer,so no Women's bantamweight title fight at 200.
Now, here's why people might be a little bit disappointed in co-main;
UFC will not book 2 huge PPV fights in one event. No matter if its UFC200,500,1000. There's nothing more important to UFC than proper PPV distrubution.
Let me explain it this way;
There is an absolutely huge superfight main event between A fighter against B fighter (Lawler vs. McGregor for example). Everyone is going to buy PPV for this kind of fight,no matter what else is on the card.
And there is another huge fight between C fighter and D fighter (Anderson vs. GSP for example). It has massive PPV potential. But,most people are going to buy the PPV for the A vs. B fight anyway. Why not book these fights for 2 different events, and not cost themselves close to a million PPV buys?
This is Marketing 101 for the UFC.
Following these guidelines, here is a logical UFC 200 Main card in my opinion;
Main Event: A title fight with huge PPV power.
Examples:
Conor vs. Lawler (If Conor wins)
Lawler vs. GSP (If Conor loses)
Conor vs. RDA 2 (My personal surprise fight. I just believe that if Conor loses,he will be obsessed about winning this fight and will get what he wants,another shot at LW title)
Conor vs. Edgar (Could happen either way,most likely if Conor loses)
Jones vs. Rumble (If Conor loses and every other option goes absolutely wrong,last resort)
Conor vs. Lawler (If Conor wins)
Lawler vs. GSP (If Conor loses)
Conor vs. RDA 2 (My personal surprise fight. I just believe that if Conor loses,he will be obsessed about winning this fight and will get what he wants,another shot at LW title)
Conor vs. Edgar (Could happen either way,most likely if Conor loses)
Jones vs. Rumble (If Conor loses and every other option goes absolutely wrong,last resort)
Co-Main Event: A title fight with less PPV power.
Examples:
Dominick Cruz vs. Mighty Mouse 2 for BW title (Now,In my opinion this is a huge fight and fantastic co main for ANY UFC event but there are some people hating on smaller guys no matter what so I'd still expect some outrage.)
Cruz vs. TJ 2 for the BW title
Cruz vs. Faber III for the BW title
Aldo vs. Edgar 2 for the FW title(If Conor vacates after UFC196)
Jones vs. Rumble (Not necessarily a less PPV power fight.If the UFC wants to risk a little PPV distribution loss for the quality of the card)
Dominick Cruz vs. Mighty Mouse 2 for BW title (Now,In my opinion this is a huge fight and fantastic co main for ANY UFC event but there are some people hating on smaller guys no matter what so I'd still expect some outrage.)
Cruz vs. TJ 2 for the BW title
Cruz vs. Faber III for the BW title
Aldo vs. Edgar 2 for the FW title(If Conor vacates after UFC196)
Jones vs. Rumble (Not necessarily a less PPV power fight.If the UFC wants to risk a little PPV distribution loss for the quality of the card)
Main Card #3: A #1 contender fight without a huge PPV power,or a legends fight without a huge PPV power.
Lots of examples available.
Main Card #4: A top10 fight without a huge PPV power,or a legends fight without a huge PPV power.
Lots of examples available.
Main Card #5: Gall vs. Punk
Gall by first minute destruction.
The question is,would you be disappointed in a main card like this?
My final guess...
If Conor wins:
Main:Conor vacates the FW title + Conor vs. Edgar for the LW title
Co main:Cruz vs. MM 2 for the BW title
If Conor loses:
Main: RDA vs. Conor 2 for the LW title
Co-main: Cruz vs. MM 2 for the BW title
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