I bet my 2006 OG Sherdog account that GUSTAFSSON wins against Rumble. Long post!

Not one of these threads again.

If you were really 94% sure, you should be 50% of your net worth, given that all he needs to cover is 72% for it to be a good bet.

You get that the betting odds have him at -250 and you have him at -1600?
 
rothnroll said:
I don't want to say because I don't want to act like I am advertising.

Who is my enemy? Not sure what you mean.
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Fair enough. Thought I'd do a bit of research. Oh well.

If you watched MMA, you'd understand my question.

It's a Kimbo reference. :)
 
There's no way you can say this if you watch any of Gus' fights besides the jones fight.

Against shogun, thiago, and jimi he looked more than hitable, and Johnson is a faster, better, and more powerful striker than any of those guys. Also he is a better wrestler
 
rothnroll said:
You can always get more posts, but you can't create a time machine back to 2006 when Shamrock was fighting Tito to register an account.
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I seriously don't understand why people do this... What do any of us gain by you leaving or starting over with a new join date?
 
Carlos Calderon said:
Look at my number of posts
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162454
 
dontsnitch said:
Not one of these threads again.

If you were really 94% sure, you should be 50% of your net worth, given that all he needs to cover is 72% for it to be a good bet.

You get that the betting odds have him at -250 and you have him at -1600?
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15 thousand is 50% of my networth.
I'm at the beginning of this dynasty. It's building.
Soon I will have a blog and will offer my software for free as a help to other people interested in making money and learning more about MMA.
 
If I won a 2006 account with the handle "rothnroll," I'd probably do as much as the original owner did with it.
 
rothnroll said:
15 thousand is 50% of my networth.
I'm at the beginning of this dynasty. It's building.
Soon I will have a blog and will offer my software for free as a help to other people interested in making money.
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Your net worth is as bad as my own, lol. Although to be fair, you sound like a kid, so you're probably fine.

Anywho, you get that if you believe the true odds of a fight are -1600 (lol) and the betting odds are -250, you should bet damn near your entire bank roll. Of course you're likely wrong, and there is not a 22% disparity here. The facts are that you are either wrong, or that you should post a betting slip with no less than 10k on it, until then, I'm not that interested.
 
dontsnitch said:
Your net worth is as bad as my own, lol. Although to be fair, you sound like a kid, so you're probably fine.

Anywho, you get that if you believe the true odds of a fight are -1600 (lol) and the betting odds are -250, you should bet damn near your entire bank roll. Of course you're likely wrong, and there is not a 22% disparity here. The facts are that you are either wrong, or that you should post a betting slip with no less than 10k on it, until then, I'm not that interested.
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Can't do that. It took too long losing and winning to develop my system to blow it on one bet. It would be linke throwing away my future. I am 94% on this. Maybe if I was 99%
 
A 2006 account with almost half the posts in this thread alone...
 
rothnroll said:
Can't do that. It took too long losing and winning to develop my system to blow it on one bet. It would be linke throwing away my future. I am 94% on this. Maybe if I was 99%
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The fact that you claim to be 94% sure based on some system you've discovered, but don't understand the basics of betting, pretty much refutes the legitimacy of your system.
 
dontsnitch said:
The fact that you claim to be 94% sure based on some system you've discovered, but don't understand the basics of betting, pretty much refutes the legitimacy of your system.
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I understand the basics of betting. Jeesh.
My system works off of percentages and off of about 85% of the MMA database of major fights. I am willing to give up this famed account, but will not risk over 50% of my dynasty on one bet. I'm trying to create something I can pass down to the kids (Dynasty). It takes balls (big ones) to do that and think without emotion.
 
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