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Hey guys.
The US has a strong culture of self determination, of individual freedoms and responsibilties, that I have great respect for. However I believe that the whole developed world is facing changes over the next decade or so that will massively impact social class, distribution of wealth and welfare.
With the death of the great Stephen Hawking I thought I would bring one of his concerns from a reddit AMA he did two years ago which can be here
Similar concerns for the future have been raised by Jordan Peterson which can be found in part here. Throughout his video series he discusses low IQ and the evolving job market, especially with automation and how many male jobs involve driving and how quickly that could be disappearing (quoting Tesla as the example).
I believe at some point in the not so distant future the job opportunities for people at the lower rungs of intelligence will begin to dry up, and this will continue as automation grows and more and more jobs go this way. What will our society look like when people are simply unable to get a job, and more importantly...
How will American self determination culture survive technological unemployment if the market shifts to such a way that no job exists for certain groups? Will growing welfare or "socialist" style systems be needed?
The US has a strong culture of self determination, of individual freedoms and responsibilties, that I have great respect for. However I believe that the whole developed world is facing changes over the next decade or so that will massively impact social class, distribution of wealth and welfare.
With the death of the great Stephen Hawking I thought I would bring one of his concerns from a reddit AMA he did two years ago which can be here
Prof-Stephen-Hawking
I'm rather late to the question-asking party, but I'll ask anyway and hope. Have you thought about the possibility of technological unemployment, where we develop automated processes that ultimately cause large unemployment by performing jobs faster and/or cheaper than people can perform them? Some compare this thought to the thoughts of the Luddites, whose revolt was caused in part by perceived technological unemployment over 100 years ago. In particular, do you foresee a world where people work less because so much work is automated? Do you think people will always either find work or manufacture more work to be done? Thank you for your time and your contributions. I’ve found research to be a largely social endeavor, and you've been an inspiration to so many.
Answer:
If machines produce everything we need, the outcome will depend on how things are distributed. Everyone can enjoy a life of luxurious leisure if the machine-produced wealth is shared, or most people can end up miserably poor if the machine-owners successfully lobby against wealth redistribution. So far, the trend seems to be toward the second option, with technology driving ever-increasing inequality.
Similar concerns for the future have been raised by Jordan Peterson which can be found in part here. Throughout his video series he discusses low IQ and the evolving job market, especially with automation and how many male jobs involve driving and how quickly that could be disappearing (quoting Tesla as the example).
I believe at some point in the not so distant future the job opportunities for people at the lower rungs of intelligence will begin to dry up, and this will continue as automation grows and more and more jobs go this way. What will our society look like when people are simply unable to get a job, and more importantly...
How will American self determination culture survive technological unemployment if the market shifts to such a way that no job exists for certain groups? Will growing welfare or "socialist" style systems be needed?