I think it's going to be a lot more. The current panic shopping and lack of supplies, the stress of losing your entire retirement, losing your job, the suicides and sickness resulting from it all, general misery... The measures being taken are going to cause thousands and thousands more deaths than C-19, and it's going to affect far, far more healthy working people. China has lost 5,000 from it so far, and the sick season is nearing an end. Those Chinese people spread all over China in that first month. Mono is more dangerous. What is really dangerous to peoples health is a collapsed economy. More dangerous than the really bad cold we are facing. EDIT: 1% death rate is much worse than a really bad cold. The measures being taken could potentially, eventually, cause more misery in peoples lives than C-19. EDIT: I'm conflicted on the matter. I still think it's a very tight balancing act, and that 3 weeks of total lockdown for about everybody would have been better than what we are currently doing, if it lasts more than 6 weeks or so.