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There are two other big issues that show the Fertittas knew the score.Nobody can know for sure because they don't release their numbers (as they have no obligation to), but the extreme cost-cutting measures that WME went through as well as their outrageous demands for the new TV deal to me show that they overpaid and are desperate to recoup as much ROI asap.
And things aren't looking as rosy for the UFC moving forward. This could be Rousey's last fight, Conor is taking time off and talking about exploring opportunities outside of the UFC. And you have fighter's associations forming, lawsuits to deal with, etc.
There's no way the UFC was worth 4 billion. The Fertittas made off like bandits.
Firstly fighter pay is simply egregious, a legal challenge is almost inevitable especially concerning the status of the athletes as contracted help. If big names go on their own we could see a boxing-esque market form (this is why RR and Conor actually get money). Inevitably many first run MMA stars are going to start dying and with a brighter spotlight the money men might be turned off by the aberrant behavior of even top guys like Jones.
Secondly the sports market is rapidly declining after being the rock advertisers relied upon in the modern age. ESPN loses hundreds of thousands of subscribers every month and has gone from the most profitable channel ever to an albatross that sinks Disney (even with the five highest grossing movies of 2016 this has been a tough year). They might find that the age of sport has shifted to video game competitions and modest payouts. In 2011 ESPN agreed to pay 32 million dollars an hour for MNF, but now a ticket to a Jets game on MNF sells for less than a beer in the stadium.