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Looking at this matchup... I have a hard time seeing how Ortega beats Edgar. The ONLY way I see him winning is if father time has caught up with Edgar, and he's just not the same.
If we see a vintage Frankie Edgar, then he's going to destroy Ortega. Edgar is far better and more experienced on the feet, and has the wrestling base to keep the fight standing if he chooses. And even on the ground, I'm not sure that Ortega can submit Edgar. Frankie could ground and pound Ortega at will, avoiding all submission attempts.
If we see a vintage Frankie Edgar, then he's going to destroy Ortega. Edgar is far better and more experienced on the feet, and has the wrestling base to keep the fight standing if he chooses. And even on the ground, I'm not sure that Ortega can submit Edgar. Frankie could ground and pound Ortega at will, avoiding all submission attempts.