Heavy Chalk on Next Two Cards (Covington vs. Woodley, UFC 253)

[ianj98]

Quite a few heavy favorites on the next two cards. Anyone see value in any of the chalk?

Odds according to Fanduel Sportsbook:

UFC Covington vs Woodley:
Mirsad Bektic: -550
Khamzat Chimaev: -430

Some interesting lines on the main event ^:
Colby Covington: -385
Colby Covington to win in round 4, 5, or by decision: -190
Colby Covington to win by decision: -130
Covington vs. Woodley to go the distance: -166
Woodley to win by KO/TKO: +500
Woodley to win in rounds 1, 2, or 3: +500

UFC 253:
Jake Matthews: -560
Brad Riddell: -330
Ketlen Vieira: -490
Dom Reyes: -270

Although the bouts getting moved constantly because of injuries, how do we feel about Cyril Gane at -590 vs. Shamil?

I'm almost certain that Jake Matthews is going to destroy Diego, but not sure if -560 is justified. I also see some value on Reyes at -270.

I also see some fantastic hedging opportunities in the Covington vs. Woodley main event.

How are you guys betting these cards?

 

[careto]

Quite a few heavy favorites on the next two cards. Anyone see value in any of the chalk?

Odds according to Fanduel Sportsbook:

UFC Covington vs Woodley:
Mirsad Bektic: -550
Khamzat Chimaev: -430

Some interesting lines on the main event ^:
Colby Covington: -385
Colby Covington to win in round 4, 5, or by decision: -190
Colby Covington to win by decision: -130
Covington vs. Woodley to go the distance: -166
Woodley to win by KO/TKO: +500
Woodley to win in rounds 1, 2, or 3: +500

UFC 253:
Jake Matthews: -560
Brad Riddell: -330
Ketlen Vieira: -490
Dom Reyes: -270

Although the bouts getting moved constantly because of injuries, how do we feel about Cyril Gane at -590 vs. Shamil?

I'm almost certain that Jake Matthews is going to destroy Diego, but not sure if -560 is justified. I also see some value on Reyes at -270.

I also see some fantastic hedging opportunities in the Covington vs. Woodley main event.

How are you guys betting these cards?

Reyes at -270 is way too overpriced IMO. Fight is way closer than that and stranger things have happened.

 

[Vitor Apologist]

Dominick Reyes will feel the ultimate polish power

 

[theTKDguy]

I also think reyes is getting way too much respect after his fight with jon. Styles make fights and this is a completely different matchup. There's value in motivated jan.