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Sherdog gonna Sherdog. Extremes are rarely good things.
I think it's inevitable, but on what time scale? Will it happen before one of these wacko groups flies more planes into our buildings? Before they can get their hands on nuclear material like a dirty bomb? These are the questions we need to analyze.
I agree. Secularism is the key. It's just a tall order for the power elites, as much of their authority comes from religion. It's kind of like money in politics in the US. We can all agree that it's bad, but how do you convince those with the power to give it up? How do you convince everyone else to do something about it?
I like to call what you described as a "working peace." We all understand that this is a business relationship, and that's fine. When we can all agree that the incentives are there for us to be friends and not enemies, we will have something worthwhile. If it's based on feelings, then it's not a stable peace. Pragmatism for the win!
I'll disagree with you slightly about the process to get there in the Middle East. I think the question isn't about how we can deescalate for our own purposes, but how can we deescalate while other world powers do as well? The Chinese are setting up corporate camp in the region, and the Russians want it as a military buffer. How can we change the game so that they want to back out? I think if it were just about the Muslims and us, we would be out yesterday. It's about creating less tension from world powers while supporting indigenous groups that want to kill terrorists. That's also why I love the Kurds. They love shooting members of ISIS and Al-Qaeda. Backing them is a great idea, and if the Turks were in favor of a Kurdistan, I think it would have happened by now.
Honestly, I'm gonna say right now, I have no idea but I fear the worst sometimes. I don't want another witch hunt in iraq for wmds again but if one of those extremists gets anything close to a nuclear weapon, they will not fear unleashing it. I hope even they have some level of foresight that unleashing a nuke on us will cause us to retaliate but they probably might think we wont fire back nuclear weapons. But even if we do, a whole town or city would be wiped out with radiation left behind for anyone near by all because we didn't stop that extremist. and who do we attack? this is an enemy without a formal capital or base. Do we just nuke the entire middle east? As uneducated as they are, they dont all deserve to die because an ISIS leader got bold and doesnt have any brains.
I can only hope the people begin to see islam for the sham it is, or at least abandon the heinous principles and just keep the praying or w/e, i dont really care. Just leave the beheading of infidels, the jihad, as relics of the past. christians today can leave behind stoning, inquisitions, and crusades as relics of the past. Muslims need to do the same. Thats going to require some strong secularism so they can finally stop islam from permeating all aspects of their life
And right I hadn't thought of the other powers. I can only think that honest and straight forward communication of our interests with theirs, some compromises and overall maintaining the integrity of the middle east (what little they have) no foreign force is ever going to pacify the middle east like the arabs themselves. The Turks tried, the British, French, and even us. We all failed or failing.
In terms of interests, Russia for example has had their own terrorist attacks in the south, and theyre terrorists are home grown muslims so they want to keep that area near their border free of any islamic extremism that could creep into their borders. I have heard how these ethnic groups, in a desperate attempt at maintaining their cultural identity, identify with islamic extremism. When I spoke to a Muslim like that in Russian, I wished my russian was good enough to tell him how fucked up he is inside when he said the attacks on the french cartoonists was justified.
And as for Turkey, they trigger me so much. I always cite them as muslims who can be secular, they drink, half of them dont even pray, but theyre interests are aligning them with ISIS. That just reinforces this idea that turks are no better than arabs.