Glory 63 Kiatmookao vs Adamchuk

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jan 27, 2019.

  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  2. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  3. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  5. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Horse meat challenge. lets go!
     
  6. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  7. JimGunn

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  8. JimGunn

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  9. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Glory main cards going to join the SuperFight Series cards on Fight Pass in 2019, so basically the whole card back to back on Fight Pass after the prelims on YouTube.
     
  10. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    MMA Oddsmaker Nick Kalikas opened the betting lines for GLORY 63 moments ago via Bet DSI

    GLORY Kickboxing 63: Houston
    Date: 1 February 2019
    Location: Houston, U.S.A
    Place: Arena Theater

    MAIN CARD (UFC Fight Pass – 10pm EST)

    Featherweight Title Fight (-65KG)

    Serhii Adamchuk +170
    Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao -200


    Welterweight (-77KG)

    Troy Jones -180
    Omari Boyd +140


    Welterweight (-77KG)

    Charles Rodriguez -185
    Richard Abraham +145


    Lightweight (-70KG)

    Wensheng Zhang +135
    Lorawnt-T Nelson -175


    Featherweight (-65KG)

    Nate Richardson +165
    Asa Ten Pow -215


    Superfight Series – (UFC Fight Pass – 8pm EST)

    Middleweight (-85KG)

    Jacob Rodriguez +550
    Jason Wilnis -1050
     
  11. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I put a couple hundred on Serhii Adamchuk at +170 in the main event. He lost a split decision last time to Petch with one judge of five giving it to him 29-28 and a couple others 29-28 against him at Glory 39 despite Glory's web site saying it was a unanimous decision in that three round tournament bout. This title fight is five rounds though and Adamchuk is always a handful who stays strong throughout the fight. He's been training at Mike's Gym in The Netherlands for a while and surely is prepared for this opportunity. Petch's kick heavy game tends to slow down a little at some point and judges are often confused by how to score his style if he mostly lands body kicks not head kick knockouts like he can against lesser opponents. I think this could be a close fight and Adamchuk's more straightforward European kickboxing style could edge out three rounds, especially if he closes strong in the championship rounds.

    Also like undefeated featherweight Asa Ten Pow as a favorite again at -213. He might be the best American kickboxer in the lower weight classes and although Nate Richardson is a game opponent with some skills, I'll keep riding Ten Pow until he loses. I think there's value on Chinese eight-man tournament runner-up Wensheng Zhan at +135 despite his smaller stature due to his better experience in Asia as opposed to South African kickboxer Lorawnt-T Nelson who hasn't fought anyone of note yet. Omari Boyd at +140 also has some value in my opinion vs Troy Jones in the co-main event bout. Boyd recently beat a pretty good Glory kickboxer in Alan Scheinson while Jones despite his pre-Glory record supposedly featuring lots of knockouts defeated a pretty mediocre opponent in Casey Greene in his last bout.

    I also like the larger man and undefeated Charles Rodriguez at -185 vs American journeyman Richard Abraham even though the latter has been training in The Netherlands recently and may have improved his game. Former middleweight champion Jason Wilnis is a huge -1050 favorite and should beat vastly inexperienced American Jacob Rodriguez in this showcase fight, but with no total, there's no reasonable way to bet this fight.
     
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  12. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Blue Belt

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    One of the books I use has a couple extra lines + some easy freeroll opportunities. Do any of these other lines have value?
     

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  13. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  14. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Glory 63 Risk $897.96

    Serhiy Adamchuk (+170) vs Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao $100.00 for $170.00
    Serhiy Adamchuk (+170) vs Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao $100.00 for $170.00

    Omari Boyd (+140) vs Troy Jones $100.00 for $140.00
    Omari Boyd (+139) vs Troy Jones $100.00 for $139.00

    Charles Rodriguez (-185) vs Richard Abraham $185.19 for $100.00

    Asa Ten Pow (-213) vs Nate Richardson $212.77 for $100.00

    Wensheng Zhang (+135) vs Lorawnt-T Nelson $100.00 for $135.00
     
  15. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  16. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Blue Belt

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    Is the main card on Fight pass? Currently all I'm seeing is the prelims and the superfight series available.
     
  17. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Yes in the U.S. it is. But it's on tv on Veronica in The Netherlands for example.
     
  18. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Blue Belt

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    Got it. I'm in the US so happy to hear it.

    Thanks!
     
  19. BluntTrauma21

    BluntTrauma21 Broner Brody / Pulev Posse

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    Thanks for the b/d's, Jim. Gl.
     
  20. turbozed

    turbozed Red Belt

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    Petch was still fighting in that kick heavy and clinch style the last time he fought Adamchuk right?

    Since then he's developed a better boxing game to make decisions more obvious, and it showed against his second fight against RvR. Line is too wide still probably.
     

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