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*From 1 to 10, how safe is this parlay?*

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Seiryoku Zenyo, Aug 5, 2018.

  1. Seiryoku Zenyo We are all one

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    Mousasi beats Rory
    +
    Khabib beats McGregor
    +
    Red Soxs win World Series.

    Who's the weakest link?
     
  2. punky brewster Red Belt

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    Gambling on sports is always safe. That's like, a sure thing bro. Easy money.
     
  3. Oj21 Purple Belt

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    Astros probably beat redsox before then
     
  4. thorcorm Orange Belt

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    I've spoken to fund managers, and they are running this as one of our low risk options.

    Basically a home run.
     
  5. StrangerToGod Brown Belt

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    Idc about garbage baseball, but both of your MMA picks are wrong.
     
  6. Ares Black Asteroid Belt

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    Red Sox winning World Series is risky.

    Mousasi beating MacDonald is risky.

    Nurmagomedov beating McGregor is pretty safe.
     
  7. xMaxPower Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    baseball is a random ass sport. anyone can win. It's the worst team sport out there.

    Khabib vs Conor is 50/50

    Moose beats Rory.
     
  8. AllAmericanNightmare Blue Belt

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    None of those are happening ya soy boy.
     
  9. LouisBolanos Popcorn tastes good

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    95% safe. Bet the house on it and post betting slips so you can celebrate your great victory with us loving Sherbros.
     
  10. steny Green Belt

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    1 ...it's mma.
     
  11. FleximusPrime I'm a goddamn sexual tyrannosaurus

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    Your fucked, next question.
     
  12. johncola Red Belt

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    Going by the odds, you have implied probability of about 8% (72% Mousasi * 64% Khabib * 18% Redsox). So your parlay has a safety value of 1 on a scale from 1 to 10. The Redsox are the weakest link.

    Going by my capping of the fights, you have implied prodability of about 2% (35% Mousasi * 30% Khabib * 16% Redsox). So your parlay has a safety value of 1 on a scale from 1 to 10, though it'd be 0 if that were possible on your scale. The Redsox are still the weakest link. IDK shit about baseball, so I just took the odds and removed the juice to cap that.
     
  13. johncola Red Belt

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    sherdog is fucked atm for me
     
  14. so creamy Banned Banned

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    Moose and Khabib are locks

    I don't know shit about baseball but GSW are probably the only locks out of the 4 major American sports
     
  15. accolyte1022 Loner Belt

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    [​IMG]
     
  16. Spitfire3000 Brown Belt

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    Depends on the odds you're getting. Adding Red Sox to a parley is dumb. If Mousasi is even or a small favorite it's a good bet. McGregor is a big underdog in the betting and Khabib is very hittable, I wouldn't take that bet on a parley.
     
  17. Franklin U. Gold Belt

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    Moose is currently a -260 favorite- the only thing I'm worried about there is the mental with him coming in over confident but he should win

    Khabibby under a 2-1 favorite and far from a lock.

    Red Sox look sick right now- literally 0 weaknesses..... get by Astros and I don't see NL team beating them
     

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