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For the sake of argument, I am assuming the following:
1. Each of the fighters listed herein will win their next fight.
2. "Fighter of the Year" for 2013 will include the results of the December 14 UFC On Fox 9 card, which includes Pettis v. Thomson and Brown v. Condit.
3. Results from the December 29, 2012, UFC 155 card (featuring JDS v. Velasquez II) will be included in the analysis for Fighter of the Year for 2013.
All of this being stipulated to, let's get to the nominees and their resumes....
Cain Velasquez
Dec. 29, 2012: Defeats JDS via UD, wins title
May 25, 2013: Defeats Antonio Silva via KO/TKO, defends title
Oct. 19, 2013: Beats JDS, defends title
Junior Dos Santos
Dec. 29, 2012: Loses to Velasquez via UD, loses title
May 25, 2013: Defeats Mark Hunt via KO/TKO
Oct. 19, 2013: Defeats Cain, wins title
Jon Jones
Apr. 27, 2013: Defeats Chael Sonnen via TKO, defends title
Sep. 21, 2013: Defeats Alexander Gustaffson via UD, defends title
Chris Weidman
Jul. 6, 2013: Defeats Anderson Silva via TKO, wins title
Georges St. Pierre
Mar. 16, 2013: Defeats Nick Diaz via UD, defends title
Nov. 16, 2013: Defeats Johny Hendricks, defends title
Johny Hendricks
Mar. 16, 2013: Defeats Carlos Condit via UD
Nov. 16, 2013: Defeats GSP, wins title
Matt Brown
Apr. 20, 2013: Defeats Jordan Mein via TKO
Aug. 17, 2013: Defeats Mike Pyle via KO
Dec. 14, 2013: Defeats Carlos Condit
Anthony Pettis
Jan. 26, 2013: Defeats Donald Cerrone via TKO
Aug. 31, 2013: Defeats Benson Henderson via submission, wins title
Dec. 14, 2013: Defeats Josh Thomson, defends title
Jose Aldo
Feb. 2, 2013: Defeats Frankie Edgar via UD, defends title
Aug. 3, 2013: Defeats Chan Sung-Jung via TKO, defends title
Renan Barao
Feb. 16, 2013: Defeats Michael McDonald via submission, defends interim title
Sep. 21, 2013: Defeats Eddie Wineland via KO/TKO, defends interim title
Demetrious Johnson
Jan. 26, 2013: Defeats John Dodson via decision, defends title
Jul. 26, 2013: Defeats John Moraga via submission, defends title
Now let's get into the general criteria for determining Fighter of the Year....
1. Number of wins. Normally, a Fighter of the Year tends to have at least three wins in a calendar year. This year's a bit different, however, so I won't cut those with only two wins. One win is not enough to make Weidman Fighter of the Year, however. He's cut. JDS, even if he beats Cain, still has a loss to Cain in the same calendar year. Cut.
2. Quality wins. Matt Brown's been doing well, but only beating gatekeepers. Even a win over Condit likely won't put him over the top. Cut. GSP = too many decisions. Cut.
3. Wow factor. Jones's, Aldo's, and Johnson's wins this year have been pretty workmanlike. Cut.
This leaves Cain, Hendricks, Pettis, and Barao as our potential fighters of the year. Barao is done for the year with only two wins. If Hendricks beats GSP, he also will have only two wins, but they will be over Condit and GSP. Extremely impressive. If Cain and Pettis each win their next fight, they will have both won a title and defended the title against quality opponents.
Who ends up Fighter of the Year? Have at it.
1. Each of the fighters listed herein will win their next fight.
2. "Fighter of the Year" for 2013 will include the results of the December 14 UFC On Fox 9 card, which includes Pettis v. Thomson and Brown v. Condit.
3. Results from the December 29, 2012, UFC 155 card (featuring JDS v. Velasquez II) will be included in the analysis for Fighter of the Year for 2013.
All of this being stipulated to, let's get to the nominees and their resumes....
Cain Velasquez
Dec. 29, 2012: Defeats JDS via UD, wins title
May 25, 2013: Defeats Antonio Silva via KO/TKO, defends title
Oct. 19, 2013: Beats JDS, defends title
Junior Dos Santos
Dec. 29, 2012: Loses to Velasquez via UD, loses title
May 25, 2013: Defeats Mark Hunt via KO/TKO
Oct. 19, 2013: Defeats Cain, wins title
Jon Jones
Apr. 27, 2013: Defeats Chael Sonnen via TKO, defends title
Sep. 21, 2013: Defeats Alexander Gustaffson via UD, defends title
Chris Weidman
Jul. 6, 2013: Defeats Anderson Silva via TKO, wins title
Georges St. Pierre
Mar. 16, 2013: Defeats Nick Diaz via UD, defends title
Nov. 16, 2013: Defeats Johny Hendricks, defends title
Johny Hendricks
Mar. 16, 2013: Defeats Carlos Condit via UD
Nov. 16, 2013: Defeats GSP, wins title
Matt Brown
Apr. 20, 2013: Defeats Jordan Mein via TKO
Aug. 17, 2013: Defeats Mike Pyle via KO
Dec. 14, 2013: Defeats Carlos Condit
Anthony Pettis
Jan. 26, 2013: Defeats Donald Cerrone via TKO
Aug. 31, 2013: Defeats Benson Henderson via submission, wins title
Dec. 14, 2013: Defeats Josh Thomson, defends title
Jose Aldo
Feb. 2, 2013: Defeats Frankie Edgar via UD, defends title
Aug. 3, 2013: Defeats Chan Sung-Jung via TKO, defends title
Renan Barao
Feb. 16, 2013: Defeats Michael McDonald via submission, defends interim title
Sep. 21, 2013: Defeats Eddie Wineland via KO/TKO, defends interim title
Demetrious Johnson
Jan. 26, 2013: Defeats John Dodson via decision, defends title
Jul. 26, 2013: Defeats John Moraga via submission, defends title
Now let's get into the general criteria for determining Fighter of the Year....
1. Number of wins. Normally, a Fighter of the Year tends to have at least three wins in a calendar year. This year's a bit different, however, so I won't cut those with only two wins. One win is not enough to make Weidman Fighter of the Year, however. He's cut. JDS, even if he beats Cain, still has a loss to Cain in the same calendar year. Cut.
2. Quality wins. Matt Brown's been doing well, but only beating gatekeepers. Even a win over Condit likely won't put him over the top. Cut. GSP = too many decisions. Cut.
3. Wow factor. Jones's, Aldo's, and Johnson's wins this year have been pretty workmanlike. Cut.
This leaves Cain, Hendricks, Pettis, and Barao as our potential fighters of the year. Barao is done for the year with only two wins. If Hendricks beats GSP, he also will have only two wins, but they will be over Condit and GSP. Extremely impressive. If Cain and Pettis each win their next fight, they will have both won a title and defended the title against quality opponents.
Who ends up Fighter of the Year? Have at it.