Everyone in the know is picking DC

Dominic Cruz is picking DC. When Jones wins my superior prediction ability will stand tall above that puny manlet.
 
Reminds me of when so many people were choosing Weidman over Anderson for their first fight.

The Weidman fight is a good example where I feel like Vegas thought Weidman would win, however the huge name and legacy of Silva still made him a favorite. I could see a similar situation here with Jones in the Anderson role.

I have to say though, I was nearly certain Weidman would beat Silva with his grappling, but in this case I have Jones as the favorite. This could of course be because I don't know my ass from my elbow, but we'll see. Sure hoping Cormier pulls it off, would be bananas.
 
lol everyone in the know, they dont know much then
 
Jones remains the betting favorite. Vegas tends to be in the know.

DC has the far lowest odds out of any contender Jones has faced thus far though. So Vegas thinks differently than the "Jones by murder" fans, they know he's in for a hella test.
 
Who is "everyone"?

Sounds like a bunch of scrubs, because I am picking Jones.

i checked out a Savannah and the earliest generation to be avaliable here in Australia is the F5 and this is due to Australias tough laws regarding importing of felines, they start at $5000. even though theyre F5 they still look special, im keen as fuck
 
Threw $10 straight on DC and $5 on a parlay of DC, Tavares, and Garbrandt.

Think DC wins a decision.
 
i checked out a Savannah and the earliest generation to be avaliable here in Australia is the F5 and this is due to Australias tough laws regarding importing of felines, they start at $5000. even though theyre F5 they still look special, im keen as fuck

The nearest breeder to me sells F2-F5...the F5 ones range from $800-$1500, depending on the color of their coat and features and what not...the breeder near you must have that whole market on lock
 
He opened the favorite and the people willing to put money on it have kept him there. How foolish of me to use a common shorthand.

Lols,

Although betting lines are the most accurate indicator of who will win, MMA is yet a very inefficient market, and the main steam will come in closer to fight time at higher limits. "Vegas" does not shape anything, its the offshore and it simply tries to balance its action.

Claiming being a 60% favorite is a huge deal in MMA, prob the easiest sport to mishandicap terribly, is laughable.
 
Lols,

Although betting lines are the most accurate indicator of who will win, MMA is yet a very inefficient market, and the main steam will come in closer to fight time at higher limits. "Vegas" does not shape anything, its the offshore and it simply tries to balance its action.

Claiming being a 60% favorite is a huge deal in MMA, prob the easiest sport to mishandicap terribly, is laughable.

Who said it was a huge deal, although it's closer to 65%? The thread said 'everyone in the know'. The bookies all opened with Jones favored, and more money has been placed on him. You can be annoyed by this reality if you want, but 'everyone in the know' hasn't chosen DC.
 
Jones remains the betting favorite. Vegas tends to be in the know.

Book makers try to set a line to get equal amounts bet on either side so they don't lose either way, and a lot of what the line is close to an event has to do with public perception. They get their cut from the winners, and hope there are enough losers to give them a nice profit. and, sports books get people inside their casinos where people play other games and lose their asses.
 
I'm picking DC too, but in past fights, in my experience - pro's tend to pick wrong. I think they are more biased than fans because they are in the know, and they feel certain allegiances to fighters of certain styles, training camps, and similarities.
 
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