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- Jan 20, 2014
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You're aware that I can think Francis should be around -150 to -200 and Gane at should be around +125 to +160, and independently believe that Gane has a 10% chance of winning in my own personal opinion, right? That those are completely independent things that have no bearing on one another.
Seriously?
Both statements are your personal opinion, man. In one opinion you say Gane should be +125 to +160 which is directly implying he has a 44-37% chance of winning and then say in your opinion he has a 10% chance of winning. Money lines have implied probability so it makes no sense to think he should be at a +125 to +160 money line AND think he has a 10% chance of winning. Your opinion is that you think he has two very different probabilities of winning.