Hacran's usual kryptonite are hard nosed grinders. If you don't stifle him then he usually picks apart your legs, sticks a jab in your face repeatedly, and bullies you if he gets ahold of you.
Cub seems like a big question mark lately. Leaving Jackson's seemed like a mistake, it's good that he's returning. He's been looking alot more one-dimensional lately. His boxing has always been his best asset but he used to mix things up much better. His TDD is pretty exploitable and if he can't keep Hacran at distance and control the exchanges then it's going to be a long night for him. Dias' top control and sub defense are good enough to ground him for 2 or more rounds here.
Dias has the advantage on paper but I'm pulling for Cub.