Mark Munoz is a good fighter, there's no question about that. He's racked up some decent wins over Boetsch, Leben, Maia, Simpson, but he's faltered when faced with serious opposition. This fight he's getting with Lyoto Machida is a god send, and if he's able to overcome Vera syndrome, he'll be considered a legitimate threat to the MW title. If he loses here, chances are he'll suffer the same fate as Okami. Maybe not immediately, he will probably hang around for a few years as the protector of the belt holder, a stepping stone, until Dana's had enough of him.. As for his chances of winning.. very slim.