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You are overly simplifying the fight in a way that downplays what Chris Weidman did in the striking department.
Weidman isn't proven. You could say overutilizes the basic footwork where you step back with your lead leg and circle around and him feinting foward and stepping back and people are seemingly impressed with his "distance control".
Weidman in the first round fought a decent pace against Maia but because of that gassed himself out later on. I don't want to critique Weidman too much but it was a type of fight where you try to pinpoint strikes and not get touched at all by the guy. Cormier is proven, he never lost a round, outmatched everyone on the feet and on the ground. I'm not trying to say Weidman is a terrible striker but I feel Cormier is a better boxer than Weidman technically, but Weidman can very well prove me wrong. Cormier lands very "safe" overhands
Timing can be emphaized on success during exchanges. Boxing is the very essence of timing, it is what its all about thats what seperates it from other traditional martial arts...Silva vs Weidman looked nothing like a boxing fight. It takes good timing to land takedowns, and Weidman successfully done that, but can you say how good Weidman is at fighting from the distance? You could grasp some of it from the Maia fight but then again you could say he took the fight on short notice...
This is where he is unproven.
Cormier isn't just gonna win the fight because he's bigger he's also gonna win because he's a better technically as a striker. Strength alone doesnt give you a fight