Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series- Season 3

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jun 13, 2019.

  1. OneWarrior1

    OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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  2. Bastaille

    Bastaille White Belt

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    0/4 what a shitty night
     
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  3. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    PolarBearPaulVarelans Purple Belt

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    Bleh. Gianni the cooler strikes again.

    -6.4u, and in both cases it was all due to the cardio.
     
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  4. thesharktank

    thesharktank Brown Belt

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    actually incredibly impressive given his 15 month career. Amazing athleticism and cardio. Rapid guard passes and nice scrambles. Huge room for improvement.
     
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  5. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Yes, Knight!

     
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  6. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    PolarBearPaulVarelans Purple Belt

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    That's one way to look at it. Another way to look at it is that his long amateur career (8 fights) started in January 2016, so he is actually 13 fights and over 3.5 years in. Oh, and he's already 31 years old.
     
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  7. Jordan3399

    Jordan3399 Purple Belt

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    -0.8u, Reed cost me a bunch first by gassing then going full pussy and quitting just before the GTD hit. Glad I freerolled for guaranteed profit rather than just playing Smythe, another quitter.

    Need to factor in heart and cardio a lot more. Domestic abuse victim Alpar has that toughness and my one win of the night. Should have gone more on her after seeing that Young barely beat Moriel Charneski and looking like she graduated the Derek Brunson School of Striking.
     
    Last edited: Aug 13, 2019
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  8. thesharktank

    thesharktank Brown Belt

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    Stand corrected on the proper timeline of his career, but given the weight class and his current shape I would not be surprised if he was still near this level of athleticism in his late 30s.
     
  9. Sono07

    Sono07 White Belt

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    Knew I had too much action on Young. Anyone who spends that much time on eye make up. Down a few units but I had a little more fun watching that one
     
    Last edited: Aug 14, 2019
  10. ill800

    ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

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    Alacabek dominates most of the fight and gets out cardiod by a a guy who I thought would be dying by rd 3

    My pre tape reads are fine. My bets have sucked. Trying way too hard to make extra money for this trip.

    Very Undisciplined
     
  11. Sadistics

    Sadistics Purple Belt

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    +$9.71, savages are the way to go on DWCS. Wanted to play the Reed/Julius O1.5 but other books didn't open totals til after. Played the Weaver/Smith O2.5 small which kept me in miniscule profit.
     
  12. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    PolarBearPaulVarelans Purple Belt

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    Eh, don't beat yourself up over it. There are certain outcomes which you simply can't predict based on the tape.

    Alcabek had never displayed his cardio level, smashing all his opponents early, but the same is true of Knight. Both were unknowns in that regard. Based on body type, Knight's was more likely to be bad, if that were to even become a factor.

    Turns out that after dominating and almost stopping Knight in round 1, it was a factor, and it was in Knight's favor. But again, there was no way to know this.
     
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  13. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I was originally on Brok Weaver who I remembered from his bouts in Island Fights, but allowed myself to be talked into switching to Devin Smyth, which was a big mistake. William Knight's big comeback TKO in round 3 in the main event saved it from being a disastrous card for me, and limited me to a loss of only 4.26 units.

    DWTNCS S03E08 Results
    Risk $3,315.00

    William Knight (+150) vs Herdem Alacabek $250.00 for $375.00= $375.00
    William Knight (+142) vs Herdem Alacabek $300.00 for $426.00= $426.00
    William Knight wins inside distance (+180) $50.00 for $90.00= $90.00
    Herdem Alacabek (-190) vs William Knight $190.00 for $100.00= -$190.00
    William Knight/Herdem Alacabek Over 1½ (+110) $50.00 for $55.00= $55.00

    Devin Smyth (-105) vs Brok Weaver $262.50 for $250.00= -$262.50
    Devin Smyth (-105) vs Brok Weaver $262.50 for $250.00= -$262.50
    Devin Smyth (-110) vs Brok Weaver $275.00 for $250.00= -$275.00
    Devin Smyth wins by 3 round decision (+325) $50.00 for $162.50= -$50.00
    Brok Weaver (-120) vs Devin Smyth $240.00 for $200.00= $200.00

    Sarah Alpar/Shanna Young Over 2½ (-305) $152.50 for $50.00= -$152.50
    Sarah Alpar/Shanna Young goes 3 round distance (-215) $107.50 for $50.00= -$107.50
    Sarah Alpar/Shanna Young goes 3 round distance (-245) $122.50 for $50.00= -$122.50

    Tony Gravely vs Ray Rodriguez: No Bet

    Karl Reed (+169) vs Julius Anglickas $200.00 for $338.00= -$200.00
    Karl Reed (+165) vs Julius Anglickas $250.00 for $412.50= -$250.00
    Julius Anglickas (-145) vs Karl Reed $362.50 for $250.00= $250.00
    Julius Anglickas wins by 3 round decision (+550) $50.00 for $275.00= -$50.00
    Karl Reed/Julius Anglickas Over 1½ (-125) $62.50 for $50.00= $50.00
    Karl Reed/Julius Anglickas Over 1½ (-155) $77.50 for $50.00= $50.00
    -----

    Total Loss= -$426.50
     
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  14. hugdeeznuts

    hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    Can't believe I bet on a mother who abandoned her child and got out grappled by a barista
     
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  15. Broe.

    Broe. Blue Belt

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    Just playing the dogs would have been a fine strategy again.
     
  16. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I started out this season really strong and now it's turning into a dud for me.
     
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  17. ill800

    ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

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    Same. I’m going to have to go way smaller and less plays. Find good props

    Weaver dec was +365 and i hit that but only as a semi hedge

    Not many of these guys are worth anything above evens
     
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  18. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Honestly, I don't even know why I'm playing it at all. I'm not really excited for the fights, so I'm not even looking into them much at all. Last night I didn't even bother staying up to watch the last two. I caught those in the morning.
     
  19. mposhtkouhi

    mposhtkouhi Green Belt

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    next tuesday picks just what I like no idea what the odds are just throwing them out there

    Rowe-TKO2
    Pogues-TKO2
    Montes-Dec
    Martin-Tko2
    Caracappa-Dec
     
  20. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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