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Hamilton is ranked 30th and Grabowski 33rd. Both fighters are coming off losses and will want a convincing win to secure their places in the UFC and move foward up the rankings ladder. Freight Train is 14-5 and Grabowski an impressive 20-3. Grabowski made his UFC debut against Derrick Lewis in February.
As the shorter, stockier, stronger fighter and also having solid TDs and subs Grabowski will want to get inside to the clinch, run Freight Train up against the cage, secure the TD and work from there. I think it's pretty clear what each fighter's gameplan is going to be, Hamilton wants the Polish Pitbull on the outside where he can move and throw short straight combinations and rack up points and damage.
I think Grabowski will pull it off, I think he can probably get the sub, Hamilton has been subbed twice before including by Aleksei Oleinik's scarf-hold neck crank. If not I still think he can force Hamilton to grapple with him enough to get the decision in the worst case scenario.
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