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I would bet the house on Rosta beating Smith even at LHW.
Legitimately was going to post this before I saw that you did. Rosta is an elite level athlete, dudes got far quicker hands than Smith and is the superior wrestler/grappler. Dude outdid Brundage and Romero Cotton in the wrestling department and he's only 26 still learning on the job, not enough hype behind him yet.