To complete my parlay this is the last fight I need to decide on and I'm having the most trouble. Cummins wrestles him for three rounds or Rafael gets it done in the first. Who do you guys have?
Good fight. Hard to pick. I'll go with Feijao, but I really wouldn't bet on this one if the odds are close to even. If someone's a somewhat heavy underdog, I'd pick him.
Wayyy too many people are assuming Cummins will win just because Bader, who continues to be grossly underrated, out-wrestled him. As I recall, Bader was an underdog in that fight and everyone was claiming Feijao "ate wrestlers"; funny how things change so quickly. OSP KO'd Cummins and he's not nearly the striker/doesn't have near the takedown defense Feijao has. Cummins takes a nap about 2 minutes in Edit: NOT a good betting fight. If you insist on betting on this fight, at least take a prop on Feijao by KO or Cummins by decision to get some value because betting on a 50/50 fight at even odds = might as well bet money on a coin toss
If you get more than +200 for Feijao by tko/KO/DQ, go for it. This fight is about 50/50 or Feijao should be a slight favourite, but it seems that Cummins is a slight favourite in betting lines at the moment. So I would go for Feijao by knock out (if the line is at least +200).
If Cummins can take Feijao down he can win this fight. Rafael has gassed out quickly in his last couple of fights. On the other side, if Feijao can keep it standing he can probably finish in the first round. Tough fight to call. Go with your gut on this one.
Cummings is not as fast or athletic as Bader. He will move forward with bad double attempts and Feijao will get the underhooks and eventually stop him with knees
Feijao the Veteran vs Cummins the "up and comer". I think it's a real good test for Cummins. After Dana and the UFC signed him to fight DC, he's been spoon fed. I think Feijao gets it done, a finish
