xMaxPower
Red Belt
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2013
- Messages
- 7,932
- Reaction score
- 467
When it comes to MMA and gambling, you have to be quick at jumping on the betting lines because sometimes, you can find a goldmine of a betting line.
This is what I expect them to open at:
Nate +350 (People are just too quick to discredit Diaz because of his losses to guys who were bad match ups stylistically)
Cucuy +200
Pettis +200
Cowboy +250
These are my personal lines for them:
Nate +200
Nate has a longer reach, good boxing, good chin. The key to beating a Diaz is heavy leg kicks, or being high level at wrestling AND BJJ... Conor has niether. Another key to beating Diaz is just with good movement and using the whole cage to move around (Condit vs Nick), but Conor doesn't really use his movement to run.
Cucuy +200
Very unpredictable but he gets hit way to often. He can win this on the ground if he can get it there.
Pettis +200
His footwork is overrated, this will be a standup battle and Conor would most likely win with his pressure as Pettis wont be able to get his kicks off.
Cowboy +300
McGregor's style has a bit of Pettis and Diaz, both of which raped Cowboy. Cowboy is also a slow starter while Conor is a fast starter.
All of these guys also have great BJJ but their wrestling just isn't high level. Nate has some decent Judo, Cucuy can get tricky and get people down. I don't think Pettis will take Conor down. Cowboy... he's taller than Conor and it will be harder to change levels on a guy thats shorter than him. Either way all of these guys are more than likely to be standing with Conor most of the time.
I think overall there will probably be good value on Nate, but Cowboy is the easiest match up for Conor and the value is with Conor most likely for that one.
This is what I expect them to open at:
Nate +350 (People are just too quick to discredit Diaz because of his losses to guys who were bad match ups stylistically)
Cucuy +200
Pettis +200
Cowboy +250
These are my personal lines for them:
Nate +200
Nate has a longer reach, good boxing, good chin. The key to beating a Diaz is heavy leg kicks, or being high level at wrestling AND BJJ... Conor has niether. Another key to beating Diaz is just with good movement and using the whole cage to move around (Condit vs Nick), but Conor doesn't really use his movement to run.
Cucuy +200
Very unpredictable but he gets hit way to often. He can win this on the ground if he can get it there.
Pettis +200
His footwork is overrated, this will be a standup battle and Conor would most likely win with his pressure as Pettis wont be able to get his kicks off.
Cowboy +300
McGregor's style has a bit of Pettis and Diaz, both of which raped Cowboy. Cowboy is also a slow starter while Conor is a fast starter.
All of these guys also have great BJJ but their wrestling just isn't high level. Nate has some decent Judo, Cucuy can get tricky and get people down. I don't think Pettis will take Conor down. Cowboy... he's taller than Conor and it will be harder to change levels on a guy thats shorter than him. Either way all of these guys are more than likely to be standing with Conor most of the time.
I think overall there will probably be good value on Nate, but Cowboy is the easiest match up for Conor and the value is with Conor most likely for that one.
