I think that he's going to fight a completely different way this time. He will be light on his feet and move in and out. He won't attack as much in the first round, and he will allow Nate to get comfortable with his striking. Then he will start timing him and countering him until he gets the KO. I think he needs to play the counter striker this time and catch Nate coming in to put him down. If you watch the first fight, every time Conor was leading, Nate was able to step out of range or use his head movement to slip or roll with punches. But when Nate first started getting loose, Conor began timing him and countering him, especially his jab. Diaz has an iron chin, but some of the counters Conor landed were fucking solid and nobody can take repeated shots like that. He only really landed about 3-4 flush shots during the fight, at most, and most of them were counter strikes. Nate has effective boxing but it is still sloppy compared to Conor's and when they are both fresh Conor proves to be faster and more accurate than him. But this time around Nate will also have a full training camp, which could definitely tidy up his striking and Conor may not be as successful as he was last time when they were both fresh. I am still picking Nate to win, but if Conor plays the counter striker more in this, and leads mostly to create distance instead of headhunting, he has a good shot at winning.