Nate's a smart fighter and I think this is his first rematch, so he gets to go in there making adaptations to Conor's style. He'll probably dominate from the start this time. It sounds like Conor is putting his hope in the Josh Thompson fight and thinking that's how he can beat Nate. Bad move. He can only win by a good punch or by implementing Condit's strategy against Nick, and Conor won't do that, he's too impatient. Trying for a headkick KO is a hail mary sort of thing and it shows immaturity in his game even still.