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Siver has struggled with big punchers with better range (cowboy, cub). Connor is nothing if not those 2 things. However Connor is much more flashy and open to counters than those guys.
Siver also hasn't finished anyone since 2010 and has lost when facing the top 10 or top 5 guys.
The odds of Siver winning are poor, the odds of him catching his first stoppage in nearly 5 years is abysmal.
So now the level headed people come out. Solid argument my friend. I cannot argue against this...well I could but solid argument. If people spoke rational stuff like this, more would think Conor isn't just simply hype.
With that said.
Conor still shows off in the ring, still prances with his hands down and is open to getting caught. So is Siver since he stands square in a fighters range and doesn't have good movement. 50/50
Conor is untested and unknown really on the ground for both tkd and on the ground. We all know Siver has improved leaps and bounds on take downs, and on the ground. Since it is safe to assume Conor has been training ground game and take down defense, I would be ok to say, 50/50
Striking is a funny thing and so is clinch. I am not worried about either in the clinch. Neither have shown any propensity there. In striking we have very different styles that I could go on in depth about. I won't but to say that at the end of the day, one hits staggers the other it is close but lets call it a draw.
So we really have a 50/50 match. In some time from now if Conor really is what the hype says we can look back at this and laugh but for now he is just too much of an unknown. Solid 50/50 in this match.
I go with Siver since I go with experience