Eh, Chael these days hardly commits to predictions.
He has the skills to be an amazing analyst. However, most of the time he settles for the role of hypeman. I also suspect he likes to introduce uncertainty into relatively sure outcomes to move the betting line his way.
All of these analysts are in the weird position of having to build up MMA, since it still isn't secure as a sport in the hearts and minds of American citizens. If MMA were more secure and the fighters were paid far more, these guys like Chael, Rogan, and Bisping could speak their minds without having to hype or filter. But not yet