It does not matter if you think the decisions were robberies, the fact remains that Moose has looked like prime Fedor at times, a finishing machine, and then he has looked very human vs some people that have implemented a wrestling heavy attack, and yes, had impressive grappling pedigrees. I never said anyone with wrestling experience or shooting a double leg could trouble Moose, no need to put words in mouth, but it is a fact that 3/4 of his past losses came at the hands of opponents that implemented a wrestling heavy attack.
You also claim he has sealed up these holes, but where is your proof? Him beating Lima - a bjj striker that just got ragdolled by Asomov? John salter - a guy that lost roughly 20% of his fights and was strangled by Lovato? Moose simply has not fought anyone like a prime King Mo or Jacare since, so we do not know what it would really look like if he had.
Eventually you concede "one of his few weaknesses is still td defense", which is really all that I am stating. You also say this only happens vs elite wrestlers and I would counter we simply do not know how good Vanderford is yet. Vanderford was a national champion at NAIA, multi time all American, is undefeated in MMA and has lots of hype via rumors from the gym - we simply do not know how good he is yet, where his ceiling is, and the only way to find that out is to fight a guy like Moose. Maybe he is the next john salter but maybe he is special - that is why they have these fights.
If you are so confident that he has this in the bag, then bet the house. Not sure why you would doubt my being a fan of Moose by simply pointing out facts - he is one of the most well rounded fighters we have ever seen, but no fighter is perfect, and it is no slight to said fighter by pointing out reality. You can nit pick and argue semantics all day, but my original point stands: Moose should win but do not be surprised if Vanderford is able to give him bouts of trouble.
p.s. by 'defensive' vs 'offensive' grappling, I mean the difference between top game and bottom game, using your grappling to get dominant positions (back on vs off vs fence) vs fishing for submissions, being the hammer vs nail and using a more wrestling strong approach.