Search function is not working, so I can't even find it. If you think Palhares' grappling is overrated you don't understand the ground game, that's plain and simple. Okami's top control is great though, and I was even more impressed by how good he was on his back. he clearly covered his bases for this fight in training.
If you look at my prediction you'll see I wasn't really that far off. I said Okami would get on top and control for a while, and even win the first. If Belcher followed up on the right hand in the 2nd like he normally does in the second round my prediction would have been pin point accurate, and you'd be avoiding every thread I post in (even though I wouldn't care). However, he held back and Okami recovered. It was out of character for Alan to let someone recover like that.
You'll also notice that Belcher reversed all of Okami's takedown attampts from the clinch, except for the ones where he decided to try for a guillotine. Which I also predicted accurately.
I was wrong in the fact that Belcher didn't finish when he got on top, and had Okami hurt. I definitely underestimated Okami's guard game/positional defense, and slightly underestimate Okami's top control; he is definitely still improving. Note that I didn't just pick a winner and give a vague description of what could happen like you. I actually broke the fight down into details which were mostly accurate.
