ADCC 2015 preview: -66kg (Part 5)

mattandbenny

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Part 1, 99+kg: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f12/adcc-2015-preview-99kg-3054069/
Part 2, -99kg: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f12/adcc-2015-preview-99kg-part-2-a-3054537//
Part 3, -88kg: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f12/adcc-2015-preview-88kg-part-3-a-3055261/
Part 4, -77kg: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f12/adcc-2015-preview-77kg-part-4-a-3056209/

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-66kg

ADCC_2015_66kg.jpg

(click this link to see full size: http://s18.postimg.org/k227xtyfd/ADCC_2015_66kg.jpg)


Rubens Charles (Brazil)
Age: 35 Record at Black Belt: 82-17 (47 Sub) Record in 14/15: 6-2 (3 Sub)
Achievements: 4x World Champion (2009, 2008, 2007, 2006), 4x No-Gi World Champion (2012, 2011, 2008, 2007), 4x Pan American Champion (2010, 2009, 2008, 2007)
ADCC History: Winner (2013), Runner Up (2011), Runner Up (2009)
Key wins: Rafael Mendes, Justin Rader, Augusto Mendes, Jeff Glover, Claudio Calasans, Bruno Frazatto, Rany Yahya, Guilherme Mendes, Augusto Mendes

Jeff Glover (USA)
Age: 32 Record at Black Belt: 28-12 (19 Sub) Record in 14/15: 4-1-1 (4 Sub)
Achievements: 1x No-Gi World Champion (2007), 2x Pan American Champion Brown Belt (2006, 2005)
ADCC History: 3rd (2011), 4th (2009), Quarter Finals (2007)
Key wins: Caio Terra, Fredson Paixao

Justin Rader (USA)
Age: 28 Record at Black Belt: 19-10 (4 Sub) Record in 14/15: 1-1 (0 Sub)
Achievements: 1x No-Gi World Champion (2010),
ADCC History: 3rd (2013), Quarter Final (2011), Quarter Final (2009)
Key wins: Joao Miyao, Augusto Mendes, Baret Yoshida

Augusto Mendes (Brazil)
Age: 32 Record at Black Belt: 39-15 (8 Sub) Record in 14/15: 2-0 (0 Sub)
Achievements: 1x World Champion (2013), 1x No-Gi World Champion (2012)
ADCC History: 1st Round (2013)
Key wins: Gianni Grippo, Rafael Mendes, Rubens Charles, JT Torres, Leandro Lo, Bruno Frazatto, Ryan Hall, Guilherme Mendes

Geovanny Martinez (USA)
Age: 27 Record at Black Belt: 13-1 (12 Sub) Record in 14/15: 13-1 (12 Sub)
Achievements: N/A
ADCC History: Debut
Key wins: Jeff Glover

Gianni Grippo (USA)
Age: 23 Record at Black Belt: 28-16 (5 Sub) Record in 14/15: 28-16 (5 Sub)
Achievements: 2x Pan American Champion (2015, 2014), 2x World Champion Brown Belt (2013, 2012)
ADCC History: Debut
Key wins: Garry Tonon, AJ Agazarm

Eddie Cummings (USA)
Age: ?? Record at Black Belt: ?-? (? Sub) Record in 14/15: ?-? (? Sub)
Achievements: N/A
ADCC History: Debut
Key wins: N/A

Bruno Frazatto (Brazil)
Age: 31 Record at Black Belt: 14-11 (3 Sub) Record in 14/15: 1-0 (0 Sub)
Achievements: 1x Pan American Champion (2011)
ADCC History: 1st rd (2011)
Key wins: AJ Agazarm, Augusto Mendes

The Rest: Mark Ramos (USA), Alexandre Vieira (Brazil), Nocolas Renier (France), Renan Sancar (Brazil), Gabriel Marangoni (Brazil), Tezekbaev Rasul (Kyrgysztan), Asadulaev Surkhay (Russia), Yuti Hirao (Japan)


With biggest rival Rafael Mendes ruled out of this year’s ADCC’s through injury, Rubens Charles has a great chance to make it consecutive ADCC titles. A finalist in each of the last 3 ADCC tournaments at 66kg, Charles is still going strong at 35 years old and looks as good as ever. In the last 4 years he has only lost to 2 men – Rafael Mendes and Augusto Mendes, and will be looking to maintain that record this tournament. He is the favourite to take the crown again this year.

In each of his 3 ADCC appearances, Jeff Glover has improved his position each time – moving from Quarter Finalist to 4th place to 3rd place – and will be looking to continue that trend here. In his most recent performance he lost in the final of the Eddie Bravo Invitational to Geovanny Martinez, and will be looking to avenge that loss in this tournament.

Competing in his 4th ADCC tournament, Justin Rader will be looking build on 2013’s 3rd place finish and attempt to make the final this year, a fate that has eluded him so far. A black belt under Rafael Lovato Jr, he has not competed in many competitions lately, with just 2 fights in the past 18 months. However he has an incredible ability, especially in No-Gi, and hodls wins over Augusto Mendes & Joao Miyao.

Augusto Mendes is a former World Champion looking to prove he still has the game to win big tournaments. During his career he has beaten many top fighters, such as Rafael Mendes, JT Torres & Leandro Lo. He had an disappointing tournament in 2013 when he was defeated in the 1st round, however is was to the tough Justin Rader. He quit the sport after this loss in 2013 to focus on his MMA career, where he has gone a perfect 5-0.

Geovanny Martinez is one of the up and coming American fighters that everybody will be looking to avoid in the bracket. An Eddie Bravo black belt and leg lock specialist, his most impressive performance came last year when he defeated Jeff Glover to win the Eddie Bravo Invitational, and followed it up by winning the second invitational event too. One worry to his fans will be the surprise loss to MMA fighter Joe Soto last month.

Young American competitor Gianni Grippo is a 4x World Champion from blue – brown belt and has been one of the most active competitors, fighting 44 times in the past 18 months. He is making his ADCC debut and will look to progress in this tournament, however could have a tough time depending on the draw.

Eddie Cummings is another up and coming American fighter than could spring a surprise or 2 in the bracket. Another man who loves his leg locks, although not many fancy him to win the tournament, nobody would be surprised if he upset one of the bigger names. Many are looking forward to seeing how he does against the step up in competition.

Bruno Frazatto has turned his attention towards MMA in recent years, compiling a 7-2 record under the RFA banner. However he has a traditional BJJ background and is a former Pan American Champion. He will be looking to improve upon his 2011 ADCC appearance where he went 0-2, losing to Rafael Mendes & Gunnar Nelson.

Final Prediction: Rubens Charles defeats Geovanny Martinez
Dark Horse: Eddie Cummings
MMA Fighters: Augusto Mendes (5-0), Bruno Frazatto (7-2), Justin Rader (3-2)
 
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I'm rooting for Cummings, but I think ADCC rules will not be kind to him. All his opponents have to do is avoid the heel hook for 10 minutes and after that he can't pull guard without losing a point (and I've never seen him wrestle). My guess is that he loses in incredibly boring fashion to someone stalling him out.
 
No way Martinez comes anywhere close to medaling in this bracket, much less getting second as you suggest. He just doesn't yet have a varied enough game to submit any of the top players here, and could be a first round exit if he draws somebody like Rader or Grippo. I get a weird feeling that Cummings is going to win it all, or at least pull off a gigantic upset, such as heel hooking Cobrinha.
 
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mattandbenny, you gonna do a write-up for the female divisions too?

Gabi in the 60+ kilo category, once again competing against women 60 pounds lighter and a head shorter than her. What a joke.
 
No write up for be women i'm afraid. Being honest, i dont know much about any of them apart from Gabi.
 
"Geovanny Martinez is one of the up and coming American fighters that everybody will be looking to avoid in the bracket"

I'm willing to bet the Brazilians in the division don't even know who he is, much less are hoping to "avoid" him
 
Rafa is out because of an injury, I thought he chose not to compete?

With biggest rival Rafael Mendes ruled out of this year’s ADCC’s through injury
 
Geovanny Martinez is one of the up and coming American fighters that everybody will be looking to avoid in the bracket"

I'm willing to bet the Brazilians in the division don't even know who he is, much less are hoping to "avoid" him

Yeah, no offense to Eddie or Geo, but EBI is not on anyone's radar in Brazil. Geo has yet to win anything or beat anyone that would make the ultra elite notice him.
 
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