High risk high reward imo.
He plays a wild game and is able to get away with it because he has insane cardio and he is very good in scrambles and he has a solid wrestling base.
As we are talking about his BJJ in the context of MMA, his cardio and pace are crucial to the success of his BJJ. And like all aspects of Tony’s game, he is most effective when his opponents wilt from his pace/pressure. The flip side of that is that he is at highest risk before his opponents wilt from pressure, or in the nightmare scenario of his Charlie Olives fights, all night in the rare occasion where he encounters a guy who can stay in control of the fight and especially the positioning.
So Oliveira whooped his ass. And Khabib would have whooped his ass too. So? How many guys can do that? How many guys can do that and maintain it for 15-25 min?
The danger, or maybe more accurately, the most concerning danger for Tony is that one has to wonder if he can continue to play his game effectively with higher age and mileage, damage... I love, and admire and enjoy and appreciate the workhorse fighters. The swarmers, pressure fighters, that wear down opponents and ideally break them and finish them.
they say “power is the last thing to go” so logically the other attributes go before that. So how long can Tony win by breaking guys with pace? And if he can’t do that anymore, can he find other paths to victory?
Beneil Dariush is a good test for Tony at this point. A good durable and well rounded guy. Someone vintage Tony would have been pretty locked in to defeat, but also someone not quite so dangerous as to carry a high likelihood of injuring Tony.
May the best man win.