I think he's going to sleep Tony or crack him good then just beat on him or cruise. Tony's downfall is going the way I thought it might so far. Bad defense but amazing chin - once the chin starts to go for a guy like that, its not long before he's wearing a helmet in the lunch line and losing to guys he would have killed a few years prior. I think he's taken too much damage at this point. Even in his amazing performances he ate some seriously hard shots to the dome. Gaethje was the tipping point, and that beatdown by Oliviera added to it.