If Stipe wins this fight, how do you see him winning?
by winning the fight and/or not losing
If you want to win, you must not lose.
Negative. Stipe's most realistic chance is to aim for a decision win. Why do you think he cut that extra 12lbs and weighed in at 230.5?? Because he knows, his camp knows. You don't go out there and one punch DC. For sure not in the first round. His head is made out of stone. It took a smartly set up headkick from Jonny Bones in the 3rd round, after he tired him out and confused him with bodykicks. And still DC didn't fall from that kick alone. Jon had to finish him with hellacious GnP.Knockout... Just don't see him grinding DC to a decision. But wild how much lighter both are for this fight... so hoping for some more bang for my buck tonight.
Considering how much lighter Stipe is than in their last fight, he'll probably try to use his range and pick cormier apart while avoiding clinching with Cormier. If he's successful with that strategy he could potentially TKO Cormier in the later rounds. DC has however a great chin and really good cardio for a hw, so Stipe really has to be very measured with his output, because if he fights like that he needs to move a lot and can't allow himself to gas.
Negative. Stipe's most realistic chance is to aim for a decision win. Why do you think he cut that extra 12lbs and weighed in at 230.5?? Because he knows, his camp knows. You don't go out there and one punch DC. For sure not in the first round. His head is made out of stone. It took a smartly set up headkick from Jonny Bones in the 3rd round, after he tired him out and confused him with bodykicks. And still DC didn't fall from that kick alone. Jon had to finish him with hellacious GnP.
I think Stipe's gameplan is revolving around winning rounds. And if opportunity arrives, OK he'll take it. But he won't force it. Stipe is not a power puncher, he is not a Ngannou type. And DC had strong chin down at LHW, what do you think will take to KO him @ HW? A sledgehammer?
Stay on the outside, use your reach advantage. Work legkicks and throw some bodyshots here and there and win rounds. That is the recepie. Anything else is very very risky and it's shown to not work on Daniel.
Stipe path to victory in my view is a KO in the first 3 rounds.Hello Sherteam,
If Stipe wins this fight, do you see him getting an early finish? What successful outcomes can you see for Stipe and in what rounds?
Even with the reduced weight and obviously an emphasis on cardio training - point fighting in a pure striking battle for 5rds @ HW is a tall task, so it's a guess if he'll have the cardio even for that. But it's not a guarantee that even DC will have the cardio needed. We know that last time he fought for 5rds was in 2015 (and @ LHW), and we know that he is not a young buck anymore. I would say there is a questionmark around his cardio.Does he have cardio for it, though?
I would say that he has it, provided DC doesn't turn the fight into a wrestling match somewhere along the way.
Even with the reduced weight and obviously an emphasis on cardio training - point fighting in a pure striking battle for 5rds @ HW is a tall task, so it's a guess if he'll have the cardio even for that. But it's not a guarantee that even DC will have the cardio needed. We know that last time he fought for 5rds was in 2015 (and @ LHW), and we know that he is not a young buck anymore. I would say there is a questionmark around his cardio.
Could this turn into a wrestling match? I've watched some tape to refresh my memory and DC's takedowns are not too sophisticated. At least the entries. After each round his TDs gets more and more easily stuffed. And his control on the ground is not exactly top notch. The area where he really shines and do the real damage is in the clinch. His right uppercut is too powerful when he has his left hand to control your neck. His shots in close are powerful in general.
To be honest I think DC's chances to win a decision are worse than getting the KO again. I know it sounds a little bit crazy. But Stipe is not your average HW sack of lard - you have to work hard to outpoint him. He lost twice by finish and once by decision and was a war with JDS, remember? Closest comparison to Miocic in DC's UFC run I would say is Gus. And DC went through the grinder to win that. I think you have to be a lot better than Miocic to win a comfortable decision. You don't need a big margin to knock him out, tho. And opposite to popular belief, I think Miocic and DC are not that far apart in skills. Depending on the day and the preparation, both can win or lose. At least this is what I think, Harmonica.