He won't get a long ban. That's why he and his teammates have been spamming bullshit 'Jon is such a great guy' propaganda on instagram the last week. They know the USADA ruling is going to happen, and behind closed doors they probably already know the UFC has influenced USADA to give Jon a lesser sentence ... so lets spam pics of Jon giving away 10 dollar backpacks and Holly Holm posting about how generous and great he is and blah blah blah.
Grooming the audience in general to accept a slap on the wrist for like the 50th time for this scumbag. Probably also why they dragged this shit out so long, so people would forget.
2021 isn't that long really.