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No. He'll win best Actor but the film is just OK. There are much better films this year.
Hard to say. It was one of the biggest movies of the year(and fairly respected), so the Oscars might nominate it for a bunch, just for the attention. Best Director/Picture aren't out of the question, to go along with Phoenix's sure Best Actor nom.
Anyways, I think "1917" is gonna win the big two Director/Picture awards.