Elections 2020 Democratic Primary Thread v2: Live Drawings for 2nd Debate

Discussion in 'The War Room' started by Lead, Apr 27, 2019.

?

2019 WR Democratic Straw Poll (Pick Up to 3)

Poll closed May 7, 2019.
  1. Joe Biden (Former Vice President)

    13.8%
  2. Bernie Sanders (Senator VT)

    58.6%
  3. Elizabeth Warren (Senator MA)

    27.6%
  4. Kamala Harris (Senator CA)

    4.6%
  5. Corey Booker (Senator NJ)

    1.1%
  6. Amy Klobuchar (Senator MN)

    2.3%
  7. Kirsten Gillibrand (Senator NY)

    1.1%
  8. Julian Castro (Former Secretary of HUD)

    4.6%
  9. Tim Ryan (US Congressman OH)

    4.6%
  10. Tulsi Gabbard (US Congresswoman HI)

    40.2%
  11. John Delaney (US Congressman MD)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  12. Eric Swalwell (US Congressman CA)

    1.1%
  13. Pete Buttigieg (Mayor South Bend, IN)

    21.8%
  14. Mike Gravel (Former Senator AK)

    2.3%
  15. John Hickenlooper (Former Governor CO)

    1.1%
  16. Jay Islee (Former Governor WA)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  17. Beto O'Rourke (Former US Congressman TX)

    2.3%
  18. Andrew Yang (Entrepreneur)

    25.3%
  19. Marianne Williamson (Entrepreneur)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  20. Wayne Messam (Mayor Miramar, FL)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  21. Steve Bullock (Governor MT) *Hasn't decided yet*

    1.1%
  22. Michael Bennet (Senator CO) *Hasn't decided yet*

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  23. Bill DeBlasio (Mayor New York, NY) *Hasn't decided yet*

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  24. Other (Please Post)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  25. I do not like any of the option in the 2020 Democratic Primary

    10.3%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Trotsky

    Trotsky Gold Belt

    Joined:
    May 20, 2016
    Messages:
    20,562
    Likes Received:
    51,664
    That show has some real LOL moments.

    I LOL'd at:

    1. "I'm Tim Ryan and every minute feels like an hour!"
    2. "Julian Castro has asked to save his introduction time to later destroy Beto O'Rourke" Beto: "Wait, what?!"
    3. "I'm Cory Booker and if you don't vote for me, I'll come to your house and ask 'why not?'"
    4. "Please don't call me bitch."

    I've only seen one episode, but their impression of Chuck Schumer is out. standing.
     
    Lead likes this.
  2. waiguoren

    waiguoren Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    13,227
    Likes Received:
    9,087
    BOOM. Here we go! Candidate #25 has joined!

     
  3. JDragon

    JDragon DOX News Anchor Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
    12,578
    Likes Received:
    14,786
    Location:
    Germany
    Who?
    Why?
     
    xcvbn, Fawlty and Gregolian like this.
  4. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    35,186
    Likes Received:
    23,280
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    I think the episodes are hit and miss but if you can, watch this one (it’s called “Climate change”. The jokes per minute ratio is super high and most of them were pretty good. I’d be laughing still by the time something else funny got said. They are so cruel to Booker. If you think that one line by him was good, there a burn Schumer gives that felt so accurate to Booker.
     
  5. Farmer Br0wn

    Farmer Br0wn Farmer Br0wn belt

    Joined:
    Mar 26, 2013
    Messages:
    6,464
    Likes Received:
    8,127
    Location:
    Earth
    Swalwells out.

    That barely deserves a mention, let alone its own thread.
     
    7437, bobgeese, waiguoren and 2 others like this.
  6. Trotsky

    Trotsky Gold Belt

    Joined:
    May 20, 2016
    Messages:
    20,562
    Likes Received:
    51,664
    Steve Bullock is by far the strangest candidate of the field in terms of....how little support he has.

    Just look at his Twitter. The guy is a governor who is running for POTUS and almost none of his tweets get more than 30-40 likes.
     
    7437, Fawlty and waiguoren like this.
  7. waiguoren

    waiguoren Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    13,227
    Likes Received:
    9,087
    Steyer is taking his place though. I'm guessing his campaign will be centered on impeachment.
     
  8. Jack V Savage

    Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2004
    Messages:
    67,095
    Likes Received:
    34,754
    There are actually 758 candidates running now, according to Nate Silver.

    How would that work? "If I win, I promise to kick the guy who lost out of office?"
     
    sickc0d3r and Fawlty like this.
  9. HereticBD

    HereticBD Titanium Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2010
    Messages:
    37,543
    Likes Received:
    55,984
    I can just picture it now...

    "Mr Steyer, what would be your first action as President?"

    "Impeaching President Trump."
     
    Lead and Fawlty like this.
  10. waiguoren

    waiguoren Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    13,227
    Likes Received:
    9,087
    Yes, Silver got that from the FEC website. I am referring to "major" candidates, which I have defined in a previous post. (Actually, Silver has a definition of "major" very similar to my own.)

    Just emphasize that impeachment now is the proper path in his rallies, criticize other prominent Democrats for refusing to call for impeachment, and otherwise run an anti-Trump campaign instead of a pro-policy campaign.

    Reminiscent of Biden in the most recent debate.

    Chuck Todd: If you only get one shot to pass something as president, what would you want that thing to be?

    Biden: The first thing I would do is to defeat Donald Trump. Period.
     
  11. Jack V Savage

    Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2004
    Messages:
    67,095
    Likes Received:
    34,754
    Does Steyer fit?
     
  12. waiguoren

    waiguoren Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    13,227
    Likes Received:
    9,087
    He fits my definition due to his wealth. Not sure about Silver's. I'll be curious to see if he can make any of the debates.
     
  13. JDragon

    JDragon DOX News Anchor Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
    12,578
    Likes Received:
    14,786
    Location:
    Germany
    Making room for Steyer
     
  14. Rob Battisti

    Rob Battisti HR for HR

    Joined:
    Jun 1, 2007
    Messages:
    8,368
    Likes Received:
    2,982
    What ever became of Shultz?
     
  15. waiguoren

    waiguoren Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2009
    Messages:
    13,227
    Likes Received:
    9,087
    Was never planning to run as a Democrat. Has said he won't run if Biden gets the nomination.

    I was referring to Democratic candidates. There are currently 273 of them running, but I only consider 24 of them to be "major":

    Williamson, Yang, Bennet, Harris, Buttigieg, Sanders, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Delaney, Ryan, Moulton, Bullock, Warren, Inslee, de Blasio, Steyer, Gravel, Booker, Castro, O'Rourke, Klobuchar, Biden, Sestak.
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2019
  16. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    35,186
    Likes Received:
    23,280
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    <[analyzed}>
     
  17. Fawlty

    Fawlty moist robot Yellow Card

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    33,069
    Likes Received:
    65,137
    Location:
    War Room Lounge
    National Polls for 7/9 - 7/11.


    The top 4 have separated themselves, especially with Warren and Harris pulling clear of the tier 2 pack. Biden remains the clear leader with second place a three-way toss-up. Buttigieg is spinning his wheels and unable to break through to the top tier despite killing the fundraising game, and nobody else is doing well at all. Beto has been in decline and Booker is inexplicably far back for a person with his level of media exposure and speaking ability.



    NBC News/WSJ, 11 July:

    Biden 26, Warren 19, Sanders 13, Harris 13, Buttigieg 7, O'Rourke 2, Booker 1, Yang 2, Castro 1, Gabbard 0, Klobuchar 1, Inslee 1, Bennet 1


    Economist/YouGov, 10 July:

    Biden 22, Warren 18, Harris 15, Sanders 12, Buttigieg 6, O'Rourke 1, Booker 2, Yang 1, Castro 2, Gabbard 3, Klobuchar 1, Inslee 1, Bennet 0


    Emerson, 9 July:

    Biden 30, Sanders 15, Harris 15, Warren 15, Buttigieg 5, O'Rourke 4, Booker 2, Yang 3, Castro 0, Gabbard 2, Klobuchar 1, Inslee 1, Bennet 1


    Politico/Morning Consult, 9 July:

    Biden 31, Sanders 19, Harris 14, Warren 13, Buttigieg 6, O'Rourke 3, Booker 2, Yang 1, Castro 1, Gabbard 1, Klobuchar 1, Inslee 0, Bennet 0

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/democratic_nomination_polls/
     
    Last edited: Jul 11, 2019
    luckyshot, Lead and waiguoren like this.
  18. Trotsky

    Trotsky Gold Belt

    Joined:
    May 20, 2016
    Messages:
    20,562
    Likes Received:
    51,664
    I just don't get Harris' popularity, man. Her experience isn't even in the same world as Biden/Sanders/Warren.
     
    method115 likes this.
  19. Fawlty

    Fawlty moist robot Yellow Card

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2015
    Messages:
    33,069
    Likes Received:
    65,137
    Location:
    War Room Lounge
    I thought Castro won his night almost as handily as Harris won hers, but he didn't get a bump. All I can surmise is that she was on the cusp of breaking through on name recognition. She obviously took mostly from Biden, so I wonder which votes she took. The south/AA's? More evenly across the board? Warren was already moving up in the weeks leading to the debate, so her improvement is easily explained, as her debate performance left the best net impression on people in terms of change in favorability.
     
  20. xcvbn

    xcvbn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 3, 2006
    Messages:
    13,542
    Likes Received:
    11,205
    Just wait until other candidates put her anti-progressive AG and DA record on full display. She doesn't stand a chance.

    It's Buttjudge or nothing for the corporate Dems.
     

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.