Things to watch for.
The Nevada race has very little polling to go off of but shows it fairly close. This is Bernies first test in a more ethnically diverse states.
South Carolina has Trump with a huge lead so it could become another NH where other candidates claim 2nd place as a victory.
Again like Nee Hampshire, where will the three remaining establishment republicans place. Jeb Bush put a lot investment into this state and has hyped it up during Iowa and NH. Rubio got Governor Haleys endorsement a couple days out to try to bounce back from a previous disappointing showing.
hi Lead Salad,
i have no feeling for the race on the Democratic side as to who will win. it's starting to feel alot like Iowa, where Mrs. Clinton had a titanic lead, only to see the race tighten considerably in the closing days.
a hard pick.
in terms of the GOP, i'm curious to see how Mr. Bush fares. i've long predicted he'd emerge as the consensus nominee, because i believe that the GOP voters ultimately always fall in line with the establishment...but if the new establishment choice is Mr Rubio (as Governor Haley's endorsement seems to suggest it is), then this is the race that elicits the most interest from me.
who do you see coming out on top, between Mr. Bush and Mr. Rubio?
- IGIT
The whiplash induced by the American presidential primary season is harrowing. One week we are inundated by the snowy charms of Iowa and New Hampshire, beholden to king corn and, wrenchingly, dark prince heroin, and the next we are thrown headlong into Nevada, red-rocked, chalk-dry and notched out like an X-Acto knife in the mountains of the West. It is brimming with standing armies of hotel workers, newly arrived immigrants and ill-fated quickie marriages.
What it is not brimming with is polls.
Nevada precincts could become a house of cards today.
In a quirk of the Democratic caucuses in the state, a deck of cards will be used to determine whether Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders claims a win in tied precincts. And with the race shaping up to be a virtual dead heat in Nevada, a good number of decks could be broken out.
“In the rare circumstances where two or more presidential preference groups are tied for the loss or gain of a precinct-level delegate and have the same lowest or highest decimal, groups must draw a single card from a deck of cards to break the tie,” the Nevada Democratic Party said in a memo of frequently asked questions. “High card determines the winner.”
I think Clinton wins Nevada simply because it's a caucus, and they are easily manipulated. Yes, I'm saying she will cheat.