Elections 2016 GOP Nevada Caucus Thread

Discussion in 'The War Room' started by Lead, Feb 22, 2016.

?

Who wins the 2016 GOP Nevada Caucus?

Poll closed Feb 23, 2016.
  1. Donald Trump

    92.9%
  2. Ted Cruz

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Marco Rubio

    7.1%
  4. John Kasich

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. Ben Carson

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    34,592
    Likes Received:
    22,174
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
  2. VivaRevolution

    VivaRevolution Whoopin' Belt Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Feb 2, 2016
    Messages:
    26,951
    Likes Received:
    31,387
    I think it is going to be Trump, and I think if he wins here, the nomination is basically over.
     
  3. Anung Un Rama

    Anung Un Rama Idol of Millions Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2009
    Messages:
    66,637
    Likes Received:
    59,634
    Location:
    177A Bleeker St
    Agreed. I think Trump would be less surprising if there was a legit candidate to run against. Cruz? Rubio?
     
    VivaRevolution likes this.
  4. Diamond Jim

    Diamond Jim Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 11, 2011
    Messages:
    11,466
    Likes Received:
    16,127
    Location:
    Austin, Tx
    Trump should win. I read one article saying the only chance to really stop him is if Cruz can do well on Super Tuesday.
     
  5. Trump he is on fire it seems. I am curious how he will do with the large Latino voting block in NV though. Although it is a less diverse Latino group than say Florida, Texas, or California. So anti-Mexican sentiments can carry more weight.

    I would of pegged NV as a state for Rubio to win but who knows.
     
  6. Frontschwein

    Frontschwein Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

    Joined:
    Feb 1, 2016
    Messages:
    81
    Likes Received:
    23
    You'd be surprised how many Latinos despise illegal immigrants.
     
    Rex Kwon Do likes this.
  7. Rex Kwon Do

    Rex Kwon Do ál-ḥámdúlílláh

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2005
    Messages:
    14,127
    Likes Received:
    121,684
    Location:
    Tíshník
    Trump.

    I think Cruzsdadgate is going to hurt Cruz and it's going to be irreparable. If a guy like Ben Carson ran some shady ads that fabricated quotes, people would be willing to write it off as the fault of Carson's people because they believe the doctor is such a good guy. He couldn't possibly have anything to do with it himself, he's too nice.

    With Cruz, most people believe he's shady and weasely. He can't afford any controversy that confirms that suspicion. And now we have a second instance of his ads filled with fallacious quotes meant to smear somebody. This confirms the biases against him people already had, and they're not going to give him the benefit of the doubt like they would Carson. They're going to say, "That Cruz...I knew that guy was a snake! I don't believe for one second that he didn't know what was going into those ads and that they were bogus."
     
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2016
  8. Trump just needs to call Ted Cruz out on being insecure about his height. And boom Trump ends Cruz's campaign. Ted is pegged as 5'8 by everyone and is shorter than "5'10 rubio".

    Yet Ted has started looking taller and taller. What can it be? Can't just be cowboy boots that wouldn't make him 4 inches taller.

    [​IMG]
     
  9. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    34,592
    Likes Received:
    22,174
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    Not much data but picked Trump too. Would like to see an upset but Nevada never really has mattered much. This actually may be the most attention Nevada's gotten in a long time because the race usually is somewhat decided by now or down to two candidates.
     
  10. Oh I know. But my point is that Trump's comments have been mostly 'anti-Mexican'. Even many legal Mexicans unless they are GOP voters are going to write Trump off for his comments unless he does some major repair. In NV it's largely Mexicans which I believe hurts him. It isn't like Florida, TX or NY.


    I think Trump and Rubio bury Cruz in the next debate. Trump is the alpha of the group but Rubios appeal isn't in being an alpha but in being 'moderate, sensible and 'smart'. Trump's appeal is in being anti establishment, alpha, and a deal maker. Cruz losses the alpha war against Trump.
     
  11. Fatt Hughes

    Fatt Hughes Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2006
    Messages:
    3,804
    Likes Received:
    2,256
    [​IMG]
     
  12. in the

    in the Steel Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2006
    Messages:
    30,130
    Likes Received:
    38,802
    Trump will win, I just hope Rubio makes it close. And considering how I'll probably vote for him tomorrow, I hope Kasich surprises and gets some momentum.
     
    Gandhi likes this.
  13. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    34,592
    Likes Received:
    22,174
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    Caucus starts around 5pm est. unsure why democratic one was at 2pm in comparison but it was a weekend
     
  14. in the

    in the Steel Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2006
    Messages:
    30,130
    Likes Received:
    38,802
    Bump. Would like to see surprises tonight.
     
  15. ShoelessRye

    ShoelessRye Gold Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 18, 2005
    Messages:
    15,292
    Likes Received:
    12,082
    Ralston has seen internals and said Trump should win big. But it's a caucus, so who knows - grown game matters and establishment desperation is kicking in for Rubio so that might get more votes out as well.

    Rubio NEEDS second if Trump is winning. He needs to show some positive momentum from SC heading into Super Tuesday.
     
  16. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    34,592
    Likes Received:
    22,174
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    Very high turnout from initial reports
     
  17. COTUR1@43

    [email protected] Brown Belt

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    4,307
    Likes Received:
    1,059
    Megyn Kelly just reported 39% of "late deciders" broke for Rubio.
     
  18. Lead

    Lead /Led/ Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2009
    Messages:
    34,592
    Likes Received:
    22,174
    Location:
    Around Pittsburgh
    This has been a pattern with all the other states. The people who decide close to the actual day go to Rubio. CNN was saying most people weren't late deciders though so that number might not be high in proportion to the rest of the voters.
     
  19. JudoThrowFiasco

    JudoThrowFiasco Charming Quark Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Jan 20, 2014
    Messages:
    24,533
    Likes Received:
    28,278
    10 000 more voters than in 2012 - Nevada is motivated.
     
  20. COTUR1@43

    [email protected] Brown Belt

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    4,307
    Likes Received:
    1,059
    Wow...Fox saying Trump got 41% of Hispanic vote. The Trump appeal is crossing a lot of demographic lines.
     

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.