George Jetson
Orange Belt
- Joined
- Jul 7, 2015
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Holm is a great boxer and could easily out-point Ronda if she could last for 5 rounds on the feet.
However, without one-punch KO power there's no other way to win except by points.
So why the steep odds?
Because a conservative guess would say that Ronda would force an 'exchange' with Holm at least 4 times per minute (since Ronda's an active fighter).
Over 25 minutes, that means Holm would face a minimum of 100 different exchanges with Ronda (or more) where she'd have to carefully avoid clinching EVERY single time.
...And while she can theoretically use jabs and footwork to circle away successfully during a few of those exchanges, it's virtually impossible to think she can do it for all 100 exchanges.
Therein lies the problem for Holly.
History has taught us that guys like JDS can get away from Cain's clinches and TD's several times during a fight, but a bullrusher like Cain will eventually get a hold of you if he keeps trying (especially when you tire out).
Some MMA analysts think Ronda may get tired or discouraged and give up on clinching altogether if she can be stuffed for a round or two.
But if you watch the video below Ronda doesn't ever give up trying to clinch.
Go to 3:07 on the above video.
At the 3:07 mark, Ronda is exhausted and has just 30 seconds left before Edith Bosch beats her in the 2007 world championships.
But if you look at Ronda's eyes, you'll see she has no quit in her. ...And in the final seconds of the match she throws Edith Bosch for Ippon and wins.
But hasn't Holm avoided every clinch and TD in her previous UFC fights?
Answer: Reneau and Pennington are 2 very crude grapplers with poor takedown skills. Reneau's a BJJ brown belt but has poor wrestling and takedowns. Pennington has even poorer grappling.
Ronda is not just a step up.
Ronda's grappling is 10 steps up from them.
Sarah Kaufman was trained by Greg Jackson and had a brown belt in BJJ when she faced Ronda -- yet she got sub'd in less than a minute.
Holm's grappling might be okay but she's not going to outgrapple Sarah Kaufman even.
I just don't see any bets on Holm paying off. I don't see any value in Holm on this fight.
Now Amanda Nunes would have value against Ronda, cuz she has 1 punch KO power and has a chance to KO Ronda when she tries to clinch. Holm doesn't.
However, without one-punch KO power there's no other way to win except by points.
So why the steep odds?
Because a conservative guess would say that Ronda would force an 'exchange' with Holm at least 4 times per minute (since Ronda's an active fighter).
Over 25 minutes, that means Holm would face a minimum of 100 different exchanges with Ronda (or more) where she'd have to carefully avoid clinching EVERY single time.
...And while she can theoretically use jabs and footwork to circle away successfully during a few of those exchanges, it's virtually impossible to think she can do it for all 100 exchanges.
Therein lies the problem for Holly.
History has taught us that guys like JDS can get away from Cain's clinches and TD's several times during a fight, but a bullrusher like Cain will eventually get a hold of you if he keeps trying (especially when you tire out).
Some MMA analysts think Ronda may get tired or discouraged and give up on clinching altogether if she can be stuffed for a round or two.
But if you watch the video below Ronda doesn't ever give up trying to clinch.
Go to 3:07 on the above video.
At the 3:07 mark, Ronda is exhausted and has just 30 seconds left before Edith Bosch beats her in the 2007 world championships.
But if you look at Ronda's eyes, you'll see she has no quit in her. ...And in the final seconds of the match she throws Edith Bosch for Ippon and wins.
But hasn't Holm avoided every clinch and TD in her previous UFC fights?
Answer: Reneau and Pennington are 2 very crude grapplers with poor takedown skills. Reneau's a BJJ brown belt but has poor wrestling and takedowns. Pennington has even poorer grappling.
Ronda is not just a step up.
Ronda's grappling is 10 steps up from them.
Sarah Kaufman was trained by Greg Jackson and had a brown belt in BJJ when she faced Ronda -- yet she got sub'd in less than a minute.
Holm's grappling might be okay but she's not going to outgrapple Sarah Kaufman even.
I just don't see any bets on Holm paying off. I don't see any value in Holm on this fight.
Now Amanda Nunes would have value against Ronda, cuz she has 1 punch KO power and has a chance to KO Ronda when she tries to clinch. Holm doesn't.
