Your Official UFN 124 Bets | Page 3

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 8, 2018.

  1. And White Belt

    And
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    Total risk: 21.3877u

    Final pre-event bets:


    1u Stephens ML +160
    1.5u Stephens (SC=NA) +168
    0.35u Choi R1 +400
    0.3u Choi-Stephens GTD +230
    0.25u Choi R2 +650
    0.25u Stephens DEC +633
    0.1u Stephens split/maj. DEC +1708
    0.1u Stephens R5 +3300
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R4 +4000
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R5 +6600
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2125
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2300

    0.5u Clark ML +100
    0.25u Clark (SC=NA) +210
    0.25u Clark -3.5 +185
    0.1u Clark ITD +774
    0.05u VanZant SUB. +1065
    0.05u Clark SUB. +1450

    0.1u Usman R3 +1000
    0.05u Meek R1 +1600

    0.5u Johnson -3.5 +125
    0.5u Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +140
    0.3u Elkins-Johnson U2.5 +170
    0.15u Johnson R1 +500
    0.1u Elkins R3 +2500

    1u Krause -3.5 +135
    0.2u Krause-White U2.5 +140
    0.2u Krause ITD +293
    0.13u Krause SUB. +480
    0.1u Krause-White won't start R2 +338

    0.45u Frevola SUB. +900
    0.1u Reyes DEC. +650

    1.2u Aldana ML -130
    0.75u Aldana -3.5 +128
    0.15u Bernardo SUB. +1030
    0.06u Aldana SUB. +1050
    0.04u Aldana R3 +1400

    0.2u Kang KO/TKO +525

    3u Eye ML +103
    1.04u Eye (SC=NA) -111
    1u Eye -3.5 +175
    0.1u Eye ITD +408
    0.1u Eye SUB. +865
    0.1u Eye R3 +800

    1u Taylor ML +115

    0.05u Burnell KO/TKO +1250

    0.4u Parlay (Johnson -157, Krause -146, Clark -133) +383

    RR 11x0.1u (Eye +100, Clark -125, Belfort-Hall O1.5 +140, Stephens +140)

    RR 57x0.0161u (Stephens SC=NA +160, Clark SC=NA +195, Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +130, Krause -3.5 +170, Aldana -3.5 +155, Eye -3.5 +175)

    RR 26x0.01u (Eye ITD +350, Santiago ITD +160, Krause ITD +250, Kang ITD +137, Johnson ITD +210)

    0.01u Fights to go distance U1.5 +32300
    0.02u Fights to go distance U2.5 +4825
    0.03u Fights to go distance U3.5 +1308
    0.05u Fights to go distance U4.5 +435
    0.15u Fights to go distance U5.5 +161
    0.05u Fights to go distance O7.5 +413
    0.03u Fights to go distance O8.5 +1288
    0.02u Fights to go distance O9.5 +5400

    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO U1.5 +606
    0.05u Fight to end in KO/TKO O4.5 +405
    0.03u Fight to end in KO/TKO O5.5 +1218
    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO O6.5 +3950
    0.01u Fight to end in KO/TKO O7.5 +20800

    0.1u Fights to end in submission O2.5 +245
    0.05u Fights to end in submission O3.5 +775
    0.03u Fights to end in submission O4.5 +3075
    0.02u Fights to end in submission O5.5 +15800

    Edit: Added 0.15u Bernardo SUB +1030
     
    #41
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
  2. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

    hugdeeznuts
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    How does that make you feel?
    PVZ
    Mads
    Taylor
    Kang itd
    Krause
    Eye
    Aldana
    Usman/Johnson
    Usman/Frevola
     
    #42
  3. BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    BatBoyJG
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    Mike Santiago 5u -175
    JJ Aldrich 2.93u -119
    Jessica Eye .75 +105
    Alex White 1u +155
    Irene Aldana 1.3u -130

    Clark/Vanzant GTD/Kang -3.5 2.2u +111
     
    #43
  4. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    i fucking hate my action on this card, feels like straight up gambling. oh well, let's see how it turns out.

    Clark £100 returns £208

    clark free bet returns £54

    Hall, kang £225 returns £299

    Mj £200 returns £323

    Frevola sub £35 returns £350

    Meek £50 returns £300

    White £150 returns £345

    Burnell sub £25 returns £137

    Aldrich £100 returns £190

    Kang, Aldrich dec, eye dec, frevola sub, white dec, mj £10 returns £4471
     
    #44
  5. clivers Blue Belt

    clivers
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  6. streetSub101 White Belt

    streetSub101
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    +43u
     
    #46
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  7. Polarize Green Belt

    Polarize
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    +19.5u last event.
    -----

    2u Ho Choi-Stephens o1.5 (1.58)
    2u Rose Clark (1.90)

    0.5u Eye (1.90)
    0.5u Burnell (2.50)
    0.8u Ho Kang ITD (2.37)
    0.5u Krause DEC (2.60)

    parlays:
    0.5u Cummings/Johnson-Elkins o2.5 (2.30)
    0.1u Cummings/Taylor/Eye/Clark/Krause-White o2.5/Johnson-Elkins o2.5 /Ho Kang ITD (46.27)

    Round Robin:
    Eye/Ho kang ITD/Clark/Krause DEC
    0.75u to win 2.85u


    Edit:
    1u Clark (2.00)
     
    #47
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
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  8. Barkus Brown Belt

    Barkus
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    1u JRC +100
    1.5u MJ -187
     
    #48
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  9. EndlessCritic Gold Belt

    EndlessCritic
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    wow -3.5pts cashes.
     
    #49
  10. Joedaman55 Don't be homeless

    Joedaman55
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    $50 PVZ -115
     
    #50
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  11. JkMMA Brown Belt

    JkMMA
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    Using draftkings and I picked Marcos Reyes to win, and he did! In the first round by ko! And draftkings isn't giving us the people who chose Reyes the points!! Wtf!!
     
    #51
  12. MT6ix Orange Belt

    MT6ix
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    2 out of 3 but up only +1u for the night.

    Remind me never to bet on Michael Johnson again.
     
    #52
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
  13. Naught2Sixty Orange Belt

    Naught2Sixty
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    Alex White ML (-1.5u) +135
    Jeremy Stephens ML (+1u) +135
    Mike Santiago ML (-1.7u) -170
    Michael Johnson ML (-1.5u) -170

    -3.7u on the night.
     
    #53
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  14. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    1u Stephens +170 +1.7u
    0.1u Stephens RD4 +2300 -0.1u
    0.1u Stephens RD5 +3100 -0.1u

    0.5u Meek NSC +413 0u
    0.1u Usman RD3 +950 -0.1u

    1.5u Johnson -185 -1.5u
    0.5u Johnson -3.5 +130 -0.5u
    0.1u Elkins SUB +1375 +1.38u

    0.1u Johnson ITD/Stephens ITD +1097 -0.1u

    Live: 1u Stephens +175 +1.75u

    NET: +2.43u

    Really liked Stephens as the dog since lines were released but I was a little weary of Choi's early power and figured I'd be able to add live. I was surprised to see him at +175 after the close first round. Should have gone bigger but I thought I'd have more opportunities to add. Oh well, still a good start to the year, I'll take it.

    MJ was a terrible bet at that price though, I really need to be more careful betting favorites. At a minimum I should have hedged Elkins +400 after the first.
     
    #54
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  15. And White Belt

    And
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    1u Stephens ML +160 +1.6u
    1.5u Stephens (SC=NA) +168 +2.52u

    0.35u Choi R1 +400
    0.3u Choi-Stephens GTD +230
    0.25u Choi R2 +650
    0.25u Stephens DEC +633
    0.1u Stephens split/maj. DEC +1708
    0.1u Stephens R5 +3300
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R4 +4000
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R5 +6600
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2125
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2300


    0.5u Clark ML +100 +0.5u
    0.25u Clark (SC=NA) +210
    0.25u Clark -3.5 +185 0.463u
    0.1u Clark ITD +774
    0.05u VanZant SUB. +1065
    0.05u Clark SUB. +1450


    0.1u Usman R3 +1000
    0.05u Meek R1 +1600


    0.5u Johnson -3.5 +125
    0.5u Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +140 +0.7u
    0.3u Elkins-Johnson U2.5 +170 +0.51u

    0.15u Johnson R1 +500
    0.1u Elkins R3 +2500


    1u Krause -3.5 +135
    0.2u Krause-White U2.5 +140
    0.2u Krause ITD +293
    0.13u Krause SUB. +480
    0.1u Krause-White won't start R2 +338


    0.45u Frevola SUB. +900
    0.1u Reyes DEC. +650


    1.2u Aldana ML -130 +0.923u
    0.75u Aldana -3.5 +128 +0.96u
    0.15u Bernardo SUB. +1030
    0.06u Aldana SUB. +1050
    0.04u Aldana R3 +1400


    0.2u Kang KO/TKO +525

    3u Eye ML +103 +3.09u
    1.04u Eye (SC=NA) -111
    1u Eye -3.5 +175
    0.1u Eye ITD +408
    0.1u Eye SUB. +865
    0.1u Eye R3 +800


    1u Taylor ML +115

    0.05u Burnell KO/TKO +1250

    0.4u Parlay
    (Johnson -157, Krause -146, Clark -133) +383 -0.4u

    RR 11x0.1u (Eye +100, Clark -125, Belfort-Hall O1.5 +140, Stephens +140) +3.792u

    RR 57x0.0161u (Stephens SC=NA +160, Clark SC=NA +195, Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +130, Krause -3.5 +170, Aldana -3.5 +155, Eye -3.5 +175) +0.288u

    RR 26x0.01u (Eye ITD +350, Santiago ITD +160, Krause ITD +250, Kang ITD +137, Johnson ITD +210) -0.26u

    0.01u Fights to go distance U1.5 +32300
    0.02u Fights to go distance U2.5 +4825
    0.03u Fights to go distance U3.5 +1308
    0.05u Fights to go distance U4.5 +435
    0.15u Fights to go distance U5.5 +161
    0.05u Fights to go distance O7.5 +413
    0.03u Fights to go distance O8.5 +1288
    0.02u Fights to go distance O9.5 +5400

    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO U1.5 +606
    0.05u Fight to end in KO/TKO O4.5 +405
    0.03u Fight to end in KO/TKO O5.5 +1218
    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO O6.5 +3950
    0.01u Fight to end in KO/TKO O7.5 +20800

    0.1u Fights to end in submission O2.5 +245
    0.05u Fights to end in submission O3.5 +775
    0.03u Fights to end in submission O4.5 +3075
    0.02u Fights to end in submission O5.5 +15800


    Result: +6.266u

    Edit: Miscalculated a round robin. It should be correct now.
     
    #55
    Last edited: Jan 15, 2018
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  16. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    i don't really regret taking a shot on white, he was live and could have easily won if he'd have handled the anti-grappling a bit better.

    mj though was a terrible bet. i told myself i would never bet on flaky fighters again and yet i did it because i saw a huge skill gap.

    i didn't like this card at all, glad to have made a small profit.

    WINS


    Stephens £200 returns £500

    Stephens £50 returns £125

    Stephens £50 returns £150

    Aldrich £100 returns £190

    Hall, kang £225 returns £299

    Aldana £100 returns £160

    Clark £100 returns £208

    clark free bet returns £54

    LOSSES

    Mj £200 returns £323

    White £150 returns £345

    Meek £50 returns £300

    Meek r1 £20 returns £340

    Kang, Aldrich dec, eye dec, frevola sub, white dec, mj £10 returns £4471

    Frevola sub £35 returns £350

    Burnell sub £25 returns £137

    Aldana, bernardo draw £10 returns £150

    stephens r4 ko £10 returns £260

    stephens r5 ko £10 returns £340

    PROFIT: £341
     
    #56
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  17. Gugabe Blue Belt

    Gugabe
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    2u Stephens ML @ 2.45 - W
    1.5u Alves ML @ 2.67 - P
    0.75u Johnson KO1 @ 6.5 - L

    2.15u profit
     
    #57
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  18. Obsidian Fracture No sunshine when it's on

    Obsidian Fracture
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    Decent night for me, I've made back about half of my late 2017 MMA downswing in the last two events (I had lost about 20U over 3 - 4 cards, had around 7.5U each on Lamas and Cub, which made for the bulk of the losses). Steadily building my profits back up, I should probably be a bit more careful with my bet sizing though, try to have 3U be a big bet rather than 5-8U.

    Hit:

    Krause over White = +$93
    Choi/Stephens O1.5 = +$65
    Alrich over Taylor 5U ($200) @ $1.90 (late bet) = +$180
    PVZ/Jessy Jess goes the distance ~6U ($243) @ $1.42 (late bet) = +102.06

    Misses:

    Santiago over Burnell 2.5U ($100) @ $1.54 (late bet) = -$100
    Choi 2.5U ($100) @ 1.43 (live bet) = -$100

    Refund:

    Thiago Alves fight = +$0

    Total = +$240.06 ~ 6U
     
    #58
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
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  19. NinjaCat456 Green Belt

    NinjaCat456
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    Lot of people mocked you for that bet. Must feel sweet :)
     
    #59
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  20. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
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    I won every bet on all four ladies fights tonight and then the co-main and main events in particular were huge for me. I saw a lot of people talking about the "myth" of Jeremy Stephens' power online this week, but that knockdown and follow-up bombs sure won big for me tonight, especially with the scorecards= no action prop paying even better than the moneyline. Stephens/Choi even got FOTN. 14.92 units profit for a very good start to the year.

    UFN 124 Results
    Risk $3239.00

    Jeremy Stephens (+150) vs Doo Ho Choi $200.00 for $300.00= $300.00
    Jeremy Stephens scorecards= no action (+170) $200.00 for $340.00= $340.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= $122.50
    Doo Ho Choi wins in round 1 (+500) $40.00 for $200.00= -$40.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 4 (+1850) $10.00 for $185.00= -$10.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 5 (+2350) $10.00 for $235.00= -$10.00
    Not Doo Ho Choi inside distance (-138) $138.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Jessica-Rose Clark (+100) vs Paige VanZant $100.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark (-110) vs Paige VanZant $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark (-115) vs Paige VanZant $115.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark +3½ points (-225) $337.50 for $150.00= $150.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark wins by 3 round decision (+135) $75.00 for $101.25= $101.25

    Kamaru Usman/Emil Weber Meek Under 2½ (+115) $100.00 for $115.00= -$100.00
    Kamaru Usman/Emil Weber Meek fight ends in KO/TKO/DQ (+215) $50.00 for $107.50= -$50.00
    Emil Weber Meek wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+1858) $10.00 for $185.80= -$10.00

    Michael Johnson (-190) vs Darren Elkins $190.00 for $100.00= -$190.00
    Michael Johnson wins by TKO/KO (+244) $40.00 for $97.60= -$40.00
    Michael Johnson wins in round 1 (+475) $25.00 for $118.75= -$25.00
    Darren Elkins wins in round 3 (+1825) $10.00 for $182.50= -$10.00

    James Krause (-160) vs Alex White $160.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    James Krause (-161) vs Alex White $161.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    James Krause wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00

    Matt Frevola wins by submission (+650) vs Marco Polo Reyes $25.00 for $162.50= -$25.00

    Irene Aldana/Talita Bernardo Over 2½ (-225) $90.00 for $40.00= $40.00
    Irene Aldana wins by 3 round decision (+169) $75.00 for $126.75= $126.75

    Kyung Ho Kang (-290) vs Guido Cannetti $145.00 for $50.00= $50.00
    Kyung Ho Kang -3½ points (-195) $97.50 for $50.00= $50.00
    Kyung Ho Kang wins inside distance (+115) $40.00 for $46.00= $46.00

    Jessica Eye (-120) vs Kalindra Faria $120.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica Eye wins by 3 round decision (+181) $75.00 for $135.75= $135.75

    JJ Aldrich (-125) vs Danielle Taylor $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Mike Santiago (-175) vs Mads Burnell $175.00 for $100.00= -$175.00
    Mike Santiago/Mads Burnell Under 2½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= -$110.00

    Jeremy Stephens/Doo Ho Choi FOTN award winner (+250) $20.00 for $50.00= $50.00
    -----
    Total Profit= $1492.25
     
    #60
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