Your Official UFN 124 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 8, 2018.

  1. And

    And White Belt

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    Total risk: 21.3877u

    Final pre-event bets:


    1u Stephens ML +160
    1.5u Stephens (SC=NA) +168
    0.35u Choi R1 +400
    0.3u Choi-Stephens GTD +230
    0.25u Choi R2 +650
    0.25u Stephens DEC +633
    0.1u Stephens split/maj. DEC +1708
    0.1u Stephens R5 +3300
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R4 +4000
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R5 +6600
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2125
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2300

    0.5u Clark ML +100
    0.25u Clark (SC=NA) +210
    0.25u Clark -3.5 +185
    0.1u Clark ITD +774
    0.05u VanZant SUB. +1065
    0.05u Clark SUB. +1450

    0.1u Usman R3 +1000
    0.05u Meek R1 +1600

    0.5u Johnson -3.5 +125
    0.5u Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +140
    0.3u Elkins-Johnson U2.5 +170
    0.15u Johnson R1 +500
    0.1u Elkins R3 +2500

    1u Krause -3.5 +135
    0.2u Krause-White U2.5 +140
    0.2u Krause ITD +293
    0.13u Krause SUB. +480
    0.1u Krause-White won't start R2 +338

    0.45u Frevola SUB. +900
    0.1u Reyes DEC. +650

    1.2u Aldana ML -130
    0.75u Aldana -3.5 +128
    0.15u Bernardo SUB. +1030
    0.06u Aldana SUB. +1050
    0.04u Aldana R3 +1400

    0.2u Kang KO/TKO +525

    3u Eye ML +103
    1.04u Eye (SC=NA) -111
    1u Eye -3.5 +175
    0.1u Eye ITD +408
    0.1u Eye SUB. +865
    0.1u Eye R3 +800

    1u Taylor ML +115

    0.05u Burnell KO/TKO +1250

    0.4u Parlay (Johnson -157, Krause -146, Clark -133) +383

    RR 11x0.1u (Eye +100, Clark -125, Belfort-Hall O1.5 +140, Stephens +140)

    RR 57x0.0161u (Stephens SC=NA +160, Clark SC=NA +195, Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +130, Krause -3.5 +170, Aldana -3.5 +155, Eye -3.5 +175)

    RR 26x0.01u (Eye ITD +350, Santiago ITD +160, Krause ITD +250, Kang ITD +137, Johnson ITD +210)

    0.01u Fights to go distance U1.5 +32300
    0.02u Fights to go distance U2.5 +4825
    0.03u Fights to go distance U3.5 +1308
    0.05u Fights to go distance U4.5 +435
    0.15u Fights to go distance U5.5 +161
    0.05u Fights to go distance O7.5 +413
    0.03u Fights to go distance O8.5 +1288
    0.02u Fights to go distance O9.5 +5400

    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO U1.5 +606
    0.05u Fight to end in KO/TKO O4.5 +405
    0.03u Fight to end in KO/TKO O5.5 +1218
    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO O6.5 +3950
    0.01u Fight to end in KO/TKO O7.5 +20800

    0.1u Fights to end in submission O2.5 +245
    0.05u Fights to end in submission O3.5 +775
    0.03u Fights to end in submission O4.5 +3075
    0.02u Fights to end in submission O5.5 +15800

    Edit: Added 0.15u Bernardo SUB +1030
     
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
  2. hugdeeznuts

    hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

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    How does that make you feel?
    PVZ
    Mads
    Taylor
    Kang itd
    Krause
    Eye
    Aldana
    Usman/Johnson
    Usman/Frevola
     
  3. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Mike Santiago 5u -175
    JJ Aldrich 2.93u -119
    Jessica Eye .75 +105
    Alex White 1u +155
    Irene Aldana 1.3u -130

    Clark/Vanzant GTD/Kang -3.5 2.2u +111
     
  4. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    i fucking hate my action on this card, feels like straight up gambling. oh well, let's see how it turns out.

    Clark £100 returns £208

    clark free bet returns £54

    Hall, kang £225 returns £299

    Mj £200 returns £323

    Frevola sub £35 returns £350

    Meek £50 returns £300

    White £150 returns £345

    Burnell sub £25 returns £137

    Aldrich £100 returns £190

    Kang, Aldrich dec, eye dec, frevola sub, white dec, mj £10 returns £4471
     
  5. clivers

    clivers Green Belt

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  6. streetSub101

    streetSub101 White Belt

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    +43u
     
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  7. Polarize

    Polarize Green Belt

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    +19.5u last event.
    -----

    2u Ho Choi-Stephens o1.5 (1.58)
    2u Rose Clark (1.90)

    0.5u Eye (1.90)
    0.5u Burnell (2.50)
    0.8u Ho Kang ITD (2.37)
    0.5u Krause DEC (2.60)

    parlays:
    0.5u Cummings/Johnson-Elkins o2.5 (2.30)
    0.1u Cummings/Taylor/Eye/Clark/Krause-White o2.5/Johnson-Elkins o2.5 /Ho Kang ITD (46.27)

    Round Robin:
    Eye/Ho kang ITD/Clark/Krause DEC
    0.75u to win 2.85u


    Edit:
    1u Clark (2.00)
     
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
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  8. Barkus

    Barkus Brown Belt

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    1u JRC +100
    1.5u MJ -187
     
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  9. EndlessCritic

    EndlessCritic Gold Belt

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    wow -3.5pts cashes.
     
  10. Joedaman55

    Joedaman55 Don't be homeless

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    $50 PVZ -115
     
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  11. JkMMA

    JkMMA Brown Belt

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    Using draftkings and I picked Marcos Reyes to win, and he did! In the first round by ko! And draftkings isn't giving us the people who chose Reyes the points!! Wtf!!
     
  12. MT6ix

    MT6ix Blue Belt

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    2 out of 3 but up only +1u for the night.

    Remind me never to bet on Michael Johnson again.
     
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
  13. Naught2Sixty

    Naught2Sixty Brown Belt

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    Alex White ML (-1.5u) +135
    Jeremy Stephens ML (+1u) +135
    Mike Santiago ML (-1.7u) -170
    Michael Johnson ML (-1.5u) -170

    -3.7u on the night.
     
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  14. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    1u Stephens +170 +1.7u
    0.1u Stephens RD4 +2300 -0.1u
    0.1u Stephens RD5 +3100 -0.1u

    0.5u Meek NSC +413 0u
    0.1u Usman RD3 +950 -0.1u

    1.5u Johnson -185 -1.5u
    0.5u Johnson -3.5 +130 -0.5u
    0.1u Elkins SUB +1375 +1.38u

    0.1u Johnson ITD/Stephens ITD +1097 -0.1u

    Live: 1u Stephens +175 +1.75u

    NET: +2.43u

    Really liked Stephens as the dog since lines were released but I was a little weary of Choi's early power and figured I'd be able to add live. I was surprised to see him at +175 after the close first round. Should have gone bigger but I thought I'd have more opportunities to add. Oh well, still a good start to the year, I'll take it.

    MJ was a terrible bet at that price though, I really need to be more careful betting favorites. At a minimum I should have hedged Elkins +400 after the first.
     
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  15. And

    And White Belt

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    1u Stephens ML +160 +1.6u
    1.5u Stephens (SC=NA) +168 +2.52u

    0.35u Choi R1 +400
    0.3u Choi-Stephens GTD +230
    0.25u Choi R2 +650
    0.25u Stephens DEC +633
    0.1u Stephens split/maj. DEC +1708
    0.1u Stephens R5 +3300
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R4 +4000
    0.1u Stephens KO/TKO/DQ R5 +6600
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2125
    0.05u Stephens R4 +2300


    0.5u Clark ML +100 +0.5u
    0.25u Clark (SC=NA) +210
    0.25u Clark -3.5 +185 0.463u
    0.1u Clark ITD +774
    0.05u VanZant SUB. +1065
    0.05u Clark SUB. +1450


    0.1u Usman R3 +1000
    0.05u Meek R1 +1600


    0.5u Johnson -3.5 +125
    0.5u Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +140 +0.7u
    0.3u Elkins-Johnson U2.5 +170 +0.51u

    0.15u Johnson R1 +500
    0.1u Elkins R3 +2500


    1u Krause -3.5 +135
    0.2u Krause-White U2.5 +140
    0.2u Krause ITD +293
    0.13u Krause SUB. +480
    0.1u Krause-White won't start R2 +338


    0.45u Frevola SUB. +900
    0.1u Reyes DEC. +650


    1.2u Aldana ML -130 +0.923u
    0.75u Aldana -3.5 +128 +0.96u
    0.15u Bernardo SUB. +1030
    0.06u Aldana SUB. +1050
    0.04u Aldana R3 +1400


    0.2u Kang KO/TKO +525

    3u Eye ML +103 +3.09u
    1.04u Eye (SC=NA) -111
    1u Eye -3.5 +175
    0.1u Eye ITD +408
    0.1u Eye SUB. +865
    0.1u Eye R3 +800


    1u Taylor ML +115

    0.05u Burnell KO/TKO +1250

    0.4u Parlay
    (Johnson -157, Krause -146, Clark -133) +383 -0.4u

    RR 11x0.1u (Eye +100, Clark -125, Belfort-Hall O1.5 +140, Stephens +140) +3.792u

    RR 57x0.0161u (Stephens SC=NA +160, Clark SC=NA +195, Elkins-Johnson ends ITD +130, Krause -3.5 +170, Aldana -3.5 +155, Eye -3.5 +175) +0.288u

    RR 26x0.01u (Eye ITD +350, Santiago ITD +160, Krause ITD +250, Kang ITD +137, Johnson ITD +210) -0.26u

    0.01u Fights to go distance U1.5 +32300
    0.02u Fights to go distance U2.5 +4825
    0.03u Fights to go distance U3.5 +1308
    0.05u Fights to go distance U4.5 +435
    0.15u Fights to go distance U5.5 +161
    0.05u Fights to go distance O7.5 +413
    0.03u Fights to go distance O8.5 +1288
    0.02u Fights to go distance O9.5 +5400

    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO U1.5 +606
    0.05u Fight to end in KO/TKO O4.5 +405
    0.03u Fight to end in KO/TKO O5.5 +1218
    0.02u Fight to end in KO/TKO O6.5 +3950
    0.01u Fight to end in KO/TKO O7.5 +20800

    0.1u Fights to end in submission O2.5 +245
    0.05u Fights to end in submission O3.5 +775
    0.03u Fights to end in submission O4.5 +3075
    0.02u Fights to end in submission O5.5 +15800


    Result: +6.266u

    Edit: Miscalculated a round robin. It should be correct now.
     
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
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  16. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    i don't really regret taking a shot on white, he was live and could have easily won if he'd have handled the anti-grappling a bit better.

    mj though was a terrible bet. i told myself i would never bet on flaky fighters again and yet i did it because i saw a huge skill gap.

    i didn't like this card at all, glad to have made a small profit.

    WINS


    Stephens £200 returns £500

    Stephens £50 returns £125

    Stephens £50 returns £150

    Aldrich £100 returns £190

    Hall, kang £225 returns £299

    Aldana £100 returns £160

    Clark £100 returns £208

    clark free bet returns £54

    LOSSES

    Mj £200 returns £323

    White £150 returns £345

    Meek £50 returns £300

    Meek r1 £20 returns £340

    Kang, Aldrich dec, eye dec, frevola sub, white dec, mj £10 returns £4471

    Frevola sub £35 returns £350

    Burnell sub £25 returns £137

    Aldana, bernardo draw £10 returns £150

    stephens r4 ko £10 returns £260

    stephens r5 ko £10 returns £340

    PROFIT: £341
     
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  17. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

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    2u Stephens ML @ 2.45 - W
    1.5u Alves ML @ 2.67 - P
    0.75u Johnson KO1 @ 6.5 - L

    2.15u profit
     
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  18. Obsidian Fracture

    Obsidian Fracture No sunshine when it's on

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    Decent night for me, I've made back about half of my late 2017 MMA downswing in the last two events (I had lost about 20U over 3 - 4 cards, had around 7.5U each on Lamas and Cub, which made for the bulk of the losses). Steadily building my profits back up, I should probably be a bit more careful with my bet sizing though, try to have 3U be a big bet rather than 5-8U.

    Hit:

    Krause over White = +$93
    Choi/Stephens O1.5 = +$65
    Alrich over Taylor 5U ($200) @ $1.90 (late bet) = +$180
    PVZ/Jessy Jess goes the distance ~6U ($243) @ $1.42 (late bet) = +102.06

    Misses:

    Santiago over Burnell 2.5U ($100) @ $1.54 (late bet) = -$100
    Choi 2.5U ($100) @ 1.43 (live bet) = -$100

    Refund:

    Thiago Alves fight = +$0

    Total = +$240.06 ~ 6U
     
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
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  19. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    Lot of people mocked you for that bet. Must feel sweet :)
     
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  20. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I won every bet on all four ladies fights tonight and then the co-main and main events in particular were huge for me. I saw a lot of people talking about the "myth" of Jeremy Stephens' power online this week, but that knockdown and follow-up bombs sure won big for me tonight, especially with the scorecards= no action prop paying even better than the moneyline. Stephens/Choi even got FOTN. 14.92 units profit for a very good start to the year.

    UFN 124 Results
    Risk $3239.00

    Jeremy Stephens (+150) vs Doo Ho Choi $200.00 for $300.00= $300.00
    Jeremy Stephens scorecards= no action (+170) $200.00 for $340.00= $340.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= $122.50
    Doo Ho Choi wins in round 1 (+500) $40.00 for $200.00= -$40.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 4 (+1850) $10.00 for $185.00= -$10.00
    Jeremy Stephens wins in round 5 (+2350) $10.00 for $235.00= -$10.00
    Not Doo Ho Choi inside distance (-138) $138.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Jessica-Rose Clark (+100) vs Paige VanZant $100.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark (-110) vs Paige VanZant $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark (-115) vs Paige VanZant $115.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark +3½ points (-225) $337.50 for $150.00= $150.00
    Jessica-Rose Clark wins by 3 round decision (+135) $75.00 for $101.25= $101.25

    Kamaru Usman/Emil Weber Meek Under 2½ (+115) $100.00 for $115.00= -$100.00
    Kamaru Usman/Emil Weber Meek fight ends in KO/TKO/DQ (+215) $50.00 for $107.50= -$50.00
    Emil Weber Meek wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+1858) $10.00 for $185.80= -$10.00

    Michael Johnson (-190) vs Darren Elkins $190.00 for $100.00= -$190.00
    Michael Johnson wins by TKO/KO (+244) $40.00 for $97.60= -$40.00
    Michael Johnson wins in round 1 (+475) $25.00 for $118.75= -$25.00
    Darren Elkins wins in round 3 (+1825) $10.00 for $182.50= -$10.00

    James Krause (-160) vs Alex White $160.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    James Krause (-161) vs Alex White $161.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    James Krause wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00

    Matt Frevola wins by submission (+650) vs Marco Polo Reyes $25.00 for $162.50= -$25.00

    Irene Aldana/Talita Bernardo Over 2½ (-225) $90.00 for $40.00= $40.00
    Irene Aldana wins by 3 round decision (+169) $75.00 for $126.75= $126.75

    Kyung Ho Kang (-290) vs Guido Cannetti $145.00 for $50.00= $50.00
    Kyung Ho Kang -3½ points (-195) $97.50 for $50.00= $50.00
    Kyung Ho Kang wins inside distance (+115) $40.00 for $46.00= $46.00

    Jessica Eye (-120) vs Kalindra Faria $120.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Jessica Eye wins by 3 round decision (+181) $75.00 for $135.75= $135.75

    JJ Aldrich (-125) vs Danielle Taylor $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Mike Santiago (-175) vs Mads Burnell $175.00 for $100.00= -$175.00
    Mike Santiago/Mads Burnell Under 2½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= -$110.00

    Jeremy Stephens/Doo Ho Choi FOTN award winner (+250) $20.00 for $50.00= $50.00
    -----
    Total Profit= $1492.25
     
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