Your Official UFN 119 Bets

[Subli]

Ohmbet has a promotion offering Hermansson at +400, small limits but I've been maxing it whenever it would let me. My action on that fight is now
Hermansson 0 for .5u
Santos 0 for 1.5u

Also added ACJ ITD +134 1u (Bet365 had -125 while 5D had not acj ITD +190)

Will see how I'm doing mid-event before deciding if I bet Brunson

Thanks for the heads up !

 

[Jamah]

1u Thiago Santos @2.20
1u Figueiredo @2.62

0.8u Griffin @2.80
0.5u Maia @2.40 / 0.1u Draw @67.00

0.3u Chito Vera @5.00
0.3u Marshman @4.80

 

[2bet]

0,25u
Maia/CC O2.5 + Santos/Hermansson O1.5 + Munhoz/Font O2.5 + AJC/Marshman O1.5 + Figueiredo/Brooks O2.5 + Brunson/Machida O1.5 + Trinaldo/Miller O2.5 27,71

lotto over-props parlay ftw

0,25u
Santos/Hermansson O1.5 + AJC/Marshman O1.5 + Brunson/Machida O1.5 4,98

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Gordon
Brooks
Luque
Carlos Junior/Lineker
Santos
Trinaldo
Colby
Munhoz
Brunson

 

[Polarize]

-3.5u last event.
---

Very little research this week, so 3-4 bets and livebet. Solid card for a UFN.

0.5u Marshman (4.80)
1u Santos (2.00)
0.5u Trinaldo DEC (2.20)
2u Font (1.62)

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Machida wins in round 3 +1150 $50 $575

Machida wins in round 4 +1824 $30 $547

Machida wins in round 5 +2917 $20 $583

Munhoz (Pedro Munhoz vrs Rob Font) +137 $80 $109

Munhoz By Submission +505 $30 $151

Miller v Francisco Trinaldo o2.5 +160 $50 $80

Miller wins in round 3 +1659 $30 $490

"Marreta" V Hermansson o1.5 -125 $125 $100

"Marreta" -106 $120 $113

"Marreta" wins in round 2 +625 $30 $180

Lineker By Decision +215 $20 $43

Dias +131 $70 $91.70

Figueiredo +140 $70.00 $98.00

Covington $540 to win $400

Maia wins in round 1 +650 $120 to win $780

Covington wins in round 3 +1400 $20 to win $280


Parlay

Jack Marshman v Antonio Carlos Junior o1.5 -145

Hacran Dias v Jared Gordon 2.5 -220

Risking: $350 To Win: $510


APOCALYPSE PARLAY (IF I LOSE ALL OTHERS LOL)

Maia +113 + Font -168+ Miller + Hermansson -124+ Gordon -164 + Brooks -180 Risking: $70 To Win: $1540

 

[BarArm]

2U Maia +150
2U Font -147

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Covington $540 to win $400


Maia wins in round 1 +650 $120 to win $780


Covington wins in round 3 +1400 $20 to win $280

 

[null]

UFN 119 Risk $2393.50

Lyoto Machida (+135) vs Derek Brunson $100.00 for $135.00
Lyoto Machida wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+275) $40.00 for $110.00
Derek Brunson wins in round 1 (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Lyoto Machida wins in round 2 (+913) $20.00 for $182.60
Lyoto Machida wins in round 3 (+1150) $15.00 for $172.50
Lyoto Machida wins in round 4 (+1824) $15.00 for $273.60
Lyoto Machida/Derek Brunson Under 2½ (-147) $147.00 for $100.00

Demian Maia (+120) vs Colby Covington $100.00 for $120.00
Demian Maia wins by submission (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Colby Covington wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 3 (+1700) ~$18.00 for ~$306.00
Demian Maia/Colby Covington Draw (+7000) $30.00 for $2,100.00

Rob Font (-140) vs Pedro Munhoz $280.00 for $200.00
Rob Font wins by TKO/KO (+315) $35.00 for $110.25

Francisco Trinaldo (-215) Jim Miller $215.00 for $100.00

Thiago Santos (+110) vs Jack Hermansson $100.00 for $110.00
Thiago Santos wins by 3 round decision (+600) $30.00 for $180.00

Marlon Vera (+480) vs John Lineker $50.00 for $240.00
Marlon Vera wins by submission (+950) $50.00 for $475.00

Vicente Luque (-135) vs Niko Price $135.00 for $100.00

Jack Marshman wins by TKO/KO (+800) $35.00 for $280.00
Jack Marshman wins in round 3 (+2225) $25.00 for $556.25
Jack Marshman/Antonio Carlos Junior won’t start round 3 (-138) $138.00 for $100.00

Jared Gordon (-160) vs Hacran Dias $80.00 for $50.00

Elizeu Zaleski (-215) vs Max Griffin $215.00 for $100.00
Elizeu Zaleski scorecards = no action (-183) $183.00 for $100.00
Elizeu Zaleski wins in round 3 (+1450) $15.00 for $217.50
Elizeu Zaleski wins in round 3 (+1100) $20.00 for $220.00

Deiveson Figueiredo (+140) vs Jarred Brooks $100.00 for $40.00

Marcelo Golm (-235) vs Christian Colombo $117.50 for $50.00

Vicente Luque/Niko Price FOTN award winner (+700) $15.00 for $105.00

 

[And]

1u Maia ITD +400
1u Maia +160
0.2u Maia R3 +3300
1u Covington NSC +160

1u Munhoz +162
0.5u Munhoz NSC +210

1u Trinaldo -160
0.5u Trinaldo NSC -123

1.5u Santos +120
0.5u Santos NSC +107
0.2u Santos R3 +2500
0.2u Santos-Hermansson GTD +240

2u Luque -130
0.2u Price R3 +1400

0.4u Dias dec +267

2u Figueiredo +162

 

[Antagonist88]

2u Maia +160
5.37u Maia NSC -173ish
1u Maia ITD +434
7u Rob Font -150 (Uncharacteristically large for me)
1u Munhoz NSC +210
0.4u Munhoz SUB +1020
1.7u Miller/Trinaldo o2.5 -170
3u Thiago Santos +100 (Hit the opener, then had to add at that point once it fell)
0.5u Thiago TKO/KO +210
4.33u Lineker + Shoeface -135ish
0.366u Vera SUB +1050
0.2u Marsh TKO/KO +800
0.33u Luque TKO/KO +410
1u Figueiredo +150
0.33u Figueiredo TKO/KO +400

Then a couple small lottos, and a big play on Brunson that I'll arb down as the card goes on. May add a play on Miller too, plus live betting. But for now:

TOTAL RISK: 28 or so units, will be more once the Brunson play is arb'd

 

[AxeMurderer]

back to back bad cards -$531
Maia $251 to win $300
Font $280 to win $151

 

[piglord]

trash night but a reasonably small loss considering my biggest bet of the night tanked (font). should have hedged with munhoz sub.

WINS

Astros, fishgold, golm £50 returns £194

Gordon £150 returns £250

Santos £94 returns £198

Covington £200 returns £424

Covington £100 returns £153

LOSSES

Golm, brooks, zaleski, Gordon, marshman, price, lineker, santos, miller, font, Covington, Machida £5 returns £7160

Griffin £50 returns £143

Griffin zaleski draw £10 returns £670

Marshman £50 returns £225

Shoeface, Gordon, price, Covington, Brunson, vera, font, santos £10 returns £3037

Price £100 returns £210

Miller £32 returns £83

Lineker, font £420 returns £825

Machida £200 returns £266

LOSS: £252

 

[NorthernLights]

3u Trinaldo - 1.62
2u Figuerido - 2.55
2u Santos - 2.20
1.5u Luque - 1.72
1u Trinaldo/Miller o2.5 - 1.53
0.5u Golm/Colombo o1.5 - 2.00
0.5u Santos/Hermansson o1.5 - 2.00
0.5u ACJ/Marshman u1.5 - 2.50
0.5u ACJ ITD + Brunson/Machida o1.5 - 2.79
0.25u Luque ITD - 2.50
0.25u Trinaldo DEC - 2.54
0.25u Santos DEC - 7.00
0.1u Maia R1 - 7.00

+ A couple of lotto parlays for a total of 0.3u that I'm not gonna bother to write down

Late additions/live bets:

0.35u Hermansson - 5.00
0.5u Maia SUB - 3.75
0.1u Covington ITD - 6.50
0.05u Miller R3 - 29.00
0.25u Miller - 2.40
0.25u Lineker DEC - 1.50
0.25u Lineker DEC - 2.30
0.25u dos Santos DEC - 2.40

Total: +8.15u

 

[Antagonist88]

2u Maia +160
5.37u Maia NSC -173ish
1u Maia ITD +434
7u Rob Font -150 (Uncharacteristically large for me)
1u Munhoz NSC +210
0.4u Munhoz SUB +1020
1.7u Miller/Trinaldo o2.5 -170
3u Thiago Santos +100 (Hit the opener, then had to add at that point once it fell)
0.5u Thiago TKO/KO +210
4.33u Lineker + Shoeface -135ish
0.366u Vera SUB +1050
0.2u Marsh TKO/KO +800
0.33u Luque TKO/KO +410
1u Figueiredo +150
0.33u Figueiredo TKO/KO +400

Then a couple small lottos, and a big play on Brunson that I'll arb down as the card goes on. May add a play on Miller too, plus live betting. But for now:

TOTAL RISK: 28 or so units, will be more once the Brunson play is arb'd

ADDED LIVE:
1u Zaleski -3.5 +130
0.25u Hacran +210
0.66u Thiago +100
0.52u Lineker/Vera GTD LIVE -105
1.255u Miller +120 LIVE
A few bad Maia/Colby hedge/adds
3.65u Brunson -137 (Hedged with Machida ITD)

+6.04u. Could have been a massive night with a Font win or especially with Maia ITD (or both...) but I'm very happy to be up despite those two plays failing me. Doing well lately, hope to keep it up for 217.

Congrats to all winnings, and fuck Colby Covington. Please feed him to Kamaru, please

EDIT: Also a little salty still about Luque going for the choke instead of the TKO, but it's whatever. Partially balances out Fig stealing a decision for me

 

[t6p]

0.2u Brunson RD1 +350 +0.7u

1.5u Maia +157 -1.5u
0.5u Maia SUB +300 -0.5u
0.1u Covington RD3 +1750 -0.1u

4u Font -153 -4u
0.3u Munhoz SUB +1020 +3.06u
0.1u Font RD3 +1075 -0.1u

1.5u Trinaldo -165 +0.91u
1.575u Miller-Trinaldo o2.5 -155 +1.02u
0.2u Miller SUB +775 -0.2u

2u Hermansson +110 -2u
0.2u Hermansson DEC +485 -0.2u
0.1u Hermansson RD3 +1075 -0.1u

0.1 Vera SUB +1050 -0.1u
0.05u Lineker SUB +1500 -0.05u

0.2u Luque RD1 +400 -0.2u

2u Carlos Junior -3.5 -205 +0.98u
1u Carlos Junior SUB +100 +1u
0.25u Marshman KO +800 -0.25u

0.2u Griffin KO +585 -0.2u
0.1u Zaleski RD3 +1450 -0.1u

0.3u Dias DEC +267 -0.3u

3u Carlos Junior/Font -105 -3u
1u Zaleski/Trinaldo +110 +1.1u
0.1u Zaleski/Luque/Hermansson/Trinaldo/Font/Maia/Brunson +4095 -0.1u

0.55u RR Zaleski ITD/Luque ITD/Lineker DEC/Font ITD -0.09u

Added:
0.75u Miller +310 -0.75u
0.5u Covington +135 +0.625u
0.5u Covington-Maia ITD +190 -0.5u

NET: -4.95u

Could not have been a more frustrating night. Put a lot of extra time into this card and ended up with my second worst loss of the year. Font killed me. It's my own fault for being too big on him, but tough to swallow seeing him do the one thing that he shouldn't against Munhoz. Joker and Maia both putting on very strange performances didn't help. Of course I was debating on Luque and Brunson bets, but didn't pull the trigger. Gonna put this behind me and hopefully get this turned around next week.

 

[Sapp]

Small event for me in the leadup to 217.
1u Hermansson @1.70
1u Maia @2.23
3u Brunson @1.66
0.5u Lineker/[email protected]
0.1U Maia-Covington DRAW [email protected]

+0.39
Can't complain for such a small event. I should have stuck with Covington.

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Machida wins in round 3 +1150 $50 $575

Machida wins in round 4 +1824 $30 $547

Machida wins in round 5 +2917 $20 $583

Munhoz (Pedro Munhoz vrs Rob Font) +137 $80 $109

Munhoz By Submission +505 $30 $151

Miller v Francisco Trinaldo o2.5 +160 $50 $80

Miller wins in round 3 +1659 $30 $490

"Marreta" V Hermansson o1.5 -125 $125 $100

“Marreta" -106 $120 $113

"Marreta" wins in round 2 +625 $30 $180

Lineker By Decision +215 $200 $430

Dias +131 $70 $91.70

Figueiredo +140 $70.00 $98.00

Covington $540 to win $400

Maia wins in round 1 +650 $120 to win $780

Covington wins in round 3 +1400 $20 to win $280


Parlay

Jack Marshman v Antonio Carlos Junior o1.5 -145

Hacran Dias v Jared Gordon 2.5 -220

Risking: $350 To Win: $510


APOCALYPSE PARLAY (IF I LOSE ALL OTHERS LOL)

Maia +113 + Font -168+ Miller + Hermansson -124+ Gordon -164 + Brooks -180 Risking: $70 To Win: $1540

I will do the tally in the morning unless someone wants to do it for me. But I had a good night.

 

[MMA Goodfella]

UFN 119 Risk $2393.50

Lyoto Machida (+135) vs Derek Brunson $100.00 for $135.00
Lyoto Machida wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+275) $40.00 for $110.00
Derek Brunson wins in round 1 (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Lyoto Machida wins in round 2 (+913) $20.00 for $182.60
Lyoto Machida wins in round 3 (+1150) $15.00 for $172.50
Lyoto Machida wins in round 4 (+1824) $15.00 for $273.60
Lyoto Machida/Derek Brunson Under 2½ (-147) $147.00 for $100.00

Demian Maia (+120) vs Colby Covington $100.00 for $120.00
Demian Maia wins by submission (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Colby Covington wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 3 (+1700) ~$18.00 for ~$306.00
Demian Maia/Colby Covington Draw (+7000) $30.00 for $2,100.00

Rob Font (-140) vs Pedro Munhoz $280.00 for $200.00
Rob Font wins by TKO/KO (+315) $35.00 for $110.25

Francisco Trinaldo (-215) Jim Miller $215.00 for $100.00

Thiago Santos (+110) vs Jack Hermansson $100.00 for $110.00
Thiago Santos wins by 3 round decision (+600) $30.00 for $180.00

Marlon Vera (+480) vs John Lineker $50.00 for $240.00
Marlon Vera wins by submission (+950) $50.00 for $475.00

Vicente Luque (-135) vs Niko Price $135.00 for $100.00

Jack Marshman wins by TKO/KO (+800) $35.00 for $280.00
Jack Marshman wins in round 3 (+2225) $25.00 for $556.25
Jack Marshman/Antonio Carlos Junior won’t start round 3 (-138) $138.00 for $100.00

Jared Gordon (-160) vs Hacran Dias $80.00 for $50.00

Elizeu Zaleski (-215) vs Max Griffin $215.00 for $100.00
Elizeu Zaleski scorecards = no action (-183) $183.00 for $100.00
Elizeu Zaleski wins in round 3 (+1450) $15.00 for $217.50
Elizeu Zaleski wins in round 3 (+1100) $20.00 for $220.00

Deiveson Figueiredo (+140) vs Jarred Brooks $100.00 for $40.00

Marcelo Golm (-235) vs Christian Colombo $117.50 for $50.00

Vicente Luque/Niko Price FOTN award winner (+700) $15.00 for $105.00

You’ve turned into a great capper JG.

But didn’t you make a mistake with Fig? You have him +140 risking $100 to win $40 when there is obviously an error somewhere. Right?

I didn’t tallied up your results are not sure if you had a winning or losing card, but still I like a lot of the spots and pseudo hedges you made like DB round one. Also like how you change your risk amount based on line settings. Anyhow, I like how you’ve been playing lately. Keep it up brother!

 

[Manpuncher]

2.5u Figeuiredo @ 2.40
1u price @ 2.10
0.3u Maia Rd1 @ 7.00
0.2u Maia/Covington draw @ 67.00

+2.0u
I was so close to cashing out my price bet prior to the round...