Your Official UFN 119 Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Oct 24, 2017.

  1. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    #1
  2. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    first run:

    1.4u brunson -140

    1.5u maia +143
    0.8u maia-covington O2.5 -160

    1u munhoz +160

    0.85u miller-trinaldo O2.5 -170

    1u hermansson +100
    0.5u hermansson-santos O1.5 +120

    0.5u dias +135

    1u deiveson Alcantara Figueredo Brazilianshavetoomanynames +160
     
    #2
  3. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Brunson/Machida U2.5 -130 1u

    Maia +170 .5u

    Font -161 5u
    Font/Munhoz U2.5 +130 1u

    Trinaldo -165 3u
    Trinaldo/Miller O2.5 -170 1.7u

    Santos -105 2u
    Santos/Hermansson O1.5 +120 .5u

    Lineker -330 10u (To be arbed down)

    ACJ -353 4u

    Golm -172 2u
     
    #3
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  4. stretcharmstrong Blue Belt

    stretcharmstrong
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    0.5u - Maia r1 @10.00
    1u - Niko Price @2.30
    1u - Maia @2.50
     
    #4
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2017
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  5. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    1.9u zaleski -190 (this was the huge lean i had, i was HOPING he'd be near evens, and that would've been a 3-4u play)

    0.4u figueiredo DEC +375

    0.35u dias DEC +259

    0.25u vera SUB +800

    0.5u munhoz NSC +210
    0.5u munhoz SUB +800

    0.3u brunson RD1 +350

    0.2u miller SUB +775

    0.5u maia ITD +400

    0.875u luque-price DNGD -175
     
    #5
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  6. Sapp Brown Belt

    Sapp
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    Small event for me in the leadup to 217.
    1u Hermansson @1.70
    1u Maia @2.23
    3u Brunson @1.66
    0.5u Lineker/Brunson@2.02
    0.1U Maia-Covington DRAW -@51.0
     
    #6
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  7. MT6ix Yellow Belt

    MT6ix
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    1.5u Trinaldo @ -185
    1u Zaleski @ -200
    1u Price @ +115
     
    #7
  8. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Brunson/Machida U2.5 -130 1u

    Maia +170 .5u
    Maia RD1 +850 .2u
    Maia NSC +113 2u
    Covington RD3 +2000 .1u

    Font -161 5u
    Font/Munhoz U2.5 +130 1u
    Font/Munhoz ends in RD2 +527 .1u

    Trinaldo -154 3.2u
    Trinaldo/Miller O2.5 -170 1.7u

    Santos +181 1u
    Santos/Hermansson O1.5 +120 .5u

    Lineker -280 4u

    ACJ -353 4u

    Dias DEC +259 .4u

    Golm -172 2u

    Mostly set, waiting for a certain prop, and may play Brunson. Upped the unit size by 25% after the last event so a loss here would sting
     
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  9. Gugabe Yellow Belt

    Gugabe
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    2u Maia Sub 1 @12 - L
    0.5u Covington Sub 3 @ 56 - L

    2u Maia ML @ 2.3 - L

    1.5u Dias ML @ 2.42 - L

    1.5u Figueroa ML @ 2.6 - W

    3u Trinaldo ML @ 1.67 - W

    1.59u loss on Sherdog picks. Up a u and a half on my tipping page since I included a Munhoz ML pick. Oh well.
     
    #9
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2017
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  10. maxim814 White Belt

    maxim814
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    Maia to win
    $25 to win $52.50
     
    #10
  11. Manpuncher White Belt

    Manpuncher
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    2.5u Figeuiredo @ 2.40
    1u price @ 2.10
    0.3u Maia Rd1 @ 7.00
    0.2u Maia/Covington draw @ 67.00
     
    #11
  12. Yotsuya Orange Belt

    Yotsuya
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    Finally a card with lots of close odds. Really enjoyed betting this one.

    Brunson + Holloway 0.5u 2.5
    Maia 0.5u 2.6
    Maia R1 0.25u 10.0
    Covington sub R3 0.05u 57.0
    Freeroll: Covington R3 0.1u 10.0
    Trinaldo + Holloway 0.5u 2.35
    Santos 2u 2.23
    Santos sub 0.05u 15.0
    Munhoz 1.5u 2.5
    Munhoz sub 0.1u 7.5
    Munhoz sub R1 0.05 u 18.0
    Font R3 0.1u 15.0
    Vera R1 0.05u 15.0
    Luque 0.75u 1.8
    Price R3 0.05u 15.0
    Marshman R3 0.05u 23.0
    Dias 1.5u 2.42
    Dias dec 0.3u 3.4
    Zaleski + Holloway 0.5u 2.2
    Figuereido 1.5u 2.6
    Colombo R3 0.05u 19.0
    Colombo dec 0.1u 8.0

    Gambling action for fun: Santos 200e, Maia 150e, Jr sub 20e and Lineker KO/TKO 25e.
     
    #12
  13. NorthernLights Orange Belt

    NorthernLights
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    3u Trinaldo - 1.62
    2u Figuerido - 2.55
    2u Santos - 2.20
    1.5u Luque - 1.72
    1u Trinaldo/Miller o2.5 - 1.53
    0.5u Golm/Colombo o1.5 - 2.00
    0.5u Santos/Hermansson o1.5 - 2.00
    0.5u ACJ/Marshman u1.5 - 2.50
    0.5u ACJ ITD + Brunson/Machida o1.5 - 2.79
    0.25u Luque ITD - 2.50
    0.25u Trinaldo DEC - 2.54
    0.25u Santos DEC - 7.00
    0.1u Maia R1 - 7.00

    + A couple of lotto parlays for a total of 0.3u that I'm not gonna bother to write down
     
    #13
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2017
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  14. AxeMurderer Orange Belt

    AxeMurderer
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    Maia $251 to win $300
    Font $280 to win $151
     
    #14
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  15. lawmills2006 Purple Belt

    lawmills2006
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    2u Figueiredo + Trinaldo @ +260
    1u Maia @ +130
    1u Machida @ + 130
     
    #15
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  16. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    UFN 119 Risk: 2,500.25
    brunson -145: 290 for 200 / brunson ITD: 32 parlays / brunson RD1: 30 for 105 - 14 parlays / machida
    maia +150: 100 for 150 - 21 parlays / maia ITD: 50 for 200 / maia SUB: 14 parlays / maia RD1: 6 parlays / maia NSC: 32 parlays / O2.5: 80 for 50 / covington SUB: 10 for 215 / covington RD3: 10 for 175 - 7 parlays
    munhoz +160: 100 for 160 / munhoz ITD: 14 parlays / munhoz SUB: 50 for 400 - 6 parlays / munhoz RD3: 7 parlays / munhoz NSC: 50 for 105 - 21 parlays / O2.5: 72.50 for 50 / font
    miller DEC: 33 for 152.13 - 14 parlays / miller SUB: 20 for 155 - 6 parlays / miller NSC: 32 parlays / O2.5: 85 for 50
    hermansson +100: 100 for 100.45 - 32 parlays / hermansson DEC: 22 for 99 - 6 parlays / O1.5: 50 for 60 / DEC: 14 parlays / santos DEC: 7 parlays
    vera SUB: 25 for 200 - 7 parlays / vera NSC: 6 parlays / O1.5: 32 parlays / lineker DEC: 40 for 93.20 - 14 parlays / NOT lineker ITD: 21 parlays
    price +105: 50 for 52.50 / price RD3: 10 for 110 - 7 parlays / price NSC: 50 for 65 / ITD: 87.50 for 50 / luque
    marshman KO: 25 for 212.50 - 7 parlays / marshman RD3: 5 for 111.25 / marshman NSC: 25 for 101 - 20 parlays / NOT shoeface ITD: 21 parlays
    dias +135: 50 for 67.50 - 21 parlays / dias DEC: 35 for 90.65 / gordon
    zaleski -190: 190 for 100 / zaleski ITD: 14 parlays / zaleski KO: 6 parlays / zaleski RD2: 20 for 145 / zaleski RD3: 20 for 252.50 - 7 parlays / zaleski -3.5: 21 parlays / zaleski NSC: 207.50 for 125 - 32 parlays / griffin
    figuereido +158: 100 for 157.50 - 21 parlays / figuereido DEC: 40 for 150 - 14 parlays / figuereido RD1: 7 parlays / figuereido NSC: 136.75 for 100 - 32 parlays / brooks
    golm-colombo O1.5: 25 for 26.75
    props
    FOTN: munhoz-font: 10 for 50
    parlays
    42 RR for 3,030.82: brunsonRD1/ maiaSUB/ munhozITD/ millerDEC/ santoshermDEC/ linekerDEC/ marshNSC/ zaleskiITD/ figDEC
    49 RR for 537.90: maia/ munhozNSC/ NOTlinekerITD/ NOTshoefaceITD/ dias/ zaleski-3.5/ figuereido
    21 RR for 4,060.54: maiaRD1/ munhozSUB/ millerSUB/ hermDEC/ veraNSC/ marshNSC/ zaleskiKO
    28 RR for 3,599.26: covingtonRD3/ munhozRD3/ santosDEC/ veraSUB/ priceRD3/ marshKO/ zaleskiRD3/ figRD1
    56 RR for 442.22: brunsonITD/ maiaNSC/ millerNSC/ hermansson/ veralinekerO1.5/ zaleskiNSC/ figNSC
    ---

    think i'm set

    can i NOT start off poorly for once on a ufc? c'mon, figuereido and zaleski(preferably by finish)... but if i suck early again, munhoz guillotine will save me!

    Edit: added price nsc, couple other props, and fotn stab
     
    #16
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2017
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  17. thewiggo White Belt

    thewiggo
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    Make or break event. Good luck.

    Zaleski + Miller sub + Covington + Brunson/Machida FDNGD - £5 returns £103.07

    Font/Munhoz FDGD + Carlos Junior ITD + Santos/Hermansson O1.5 - £20 returns £118.71

    Brunson ITD + Figueiredo ITD + Zaleski ITD - £10 returns £336

    Dias DEC + Miller ITD + Luque/Price FDNGD + Thiago Santos DEC + Carlos Junior ITD - £5 returns £1781.39

    Carlos/Marshman FDNGD + Liverpool + Brunson/Machida U3.5 + Luque + Figeuiredo - £9.50 returns £115.03

    Zaleski RD3 + Luque ITD + Covington ITD - £2 returns £300

    Brunson TKO/KO RD2 + Font DEC + Zaleski ITD + Gordon ITD - £5 returns £1274

    Figeuiredo ITD + Golm ITD + Luque + Munhoz/Font FDGD - £15 returns £461.70

    Figeuiredo RD3 + Miller RD3 + Carlos Junior/Marshman FDNGD + Santos DEC - £2.50 returns £16,860.27
     
    #17
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  18. Rapidryan88 Blue Belt

    Rapidryan88
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    Zaleski
    Gordon
    Trinaldo
    Treble: 15 gets 52.8
     
    #18
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  19. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Ohmbet has a promotion offering Hermansson at +400, small limits but I've been maxing it whenever it would let me. My action on that fight is now
    Hermansson 0 for .5u
    Santos 0 for 1.5u

    Also added ACJ ITD +134 1u (Bet365 had -125 while 5D had not acj ITD +190)

    Will see how I'm doing mid-event before deciding if I bet Brunson
     
    #19
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  20. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    0.2u Brunson RD1 +350

    1.5u Maia +157
    0.5u Maia SUB +300
    0.1u Covington RD3 +1750

    4u Font -153
    0.3u Munhoz SUB +1020
    0.1u Font RD3 +1075

    1.5u Trinaldo -165
    1.575u Miller-Trinaldo o2.5 -155
    0.2u Miller SUB +775

    2u Hermansson +110
    0.2u Hermansson DEC +485
    0.1u Hermansson RD3 +1075

    0.1 Vera SUB +1050
    0.05u Lineker SUB +1500

    0.2u Luque RD1 +400

    2u Carlos Junior -3.5 -205
    1u Carlos Junior SUB +100
    0.25u Marshman KO +800

    0.2u Griffin KO +585
    0.1u Zaleski RD3 +1450

    0.3u Dias DEC +267

    3u Carlos Junior/Font -105
    1u Zaleski/Trinaldo +110
    0.1u Zaleski/Luque/Hermansson/Trinaldo/Font/Maia/Brunson +4095

    0.55u RR Zaleski ITD/Luque ITD/Lineker DEC/Font ITD

    Been treading water for the last few events so I decided to put in some extra time on this one and get a little bit more aggressive with my leans. Hopefully it pays off. I also might add a small play on Brunson depending on where I stand before the main event.
     
    #20
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2017

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