Your Official UFN 113 Bets | Page 3

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 11, 2017.

  1. Yotsuya Orange Belt

    Yotsuya
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    Birthday present bets clean 100% -6u loss. +1,2u the rest. Mulheron was a disappointment but really enjoyable fights otherwise.
     
    #41
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  2. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    thought this was going to be a disaster after teymur lost. from a technical standpoint i called that fight dead on but was completely blindsided by henry's chin and the cardio discrepancy. i guess teymur coming back from a honeymoon should have been a red flag.

    felder, calvillo, ponzinibbio parlay saved my ass tonight on a card i wasn't hugely confident on.

    next week however i am way more confident.

    it's funny how in the real world you get money by being a moronic, well groomed, extroverted, smiling, obsequious cockroach whereas in the gambling world you can get money by using your eyes and coming to rational conclusions.

    MORE MONEY IN THE FUCKING BANK.

    WINS


    Smith £125 returns £196

    Rountree £151 returns £351

    Felder £71 returns £171

    Bofando, calvillo £100 returns £216

    Felder, calvillo, ponzinibbio £101 returns £1012

    Ponzinibbio £115 returns £316

    LOSSES

    Johns, morales itd £25 returns £65

    Teymur, marshman £316 returns £616

    Teymur, marshman £200 returns £409

    Smith, teymur, marshman ko, felder dec, calvillo sub, ponzinibbio, Bermudez £50 returns £4542

    Seery £32 returns £134

    Nash £55 returns £158

    Mulheron £30 returns £150

    Marshman ko £95 returns £155

    PROFIT: £796
     
    #42
    Last edited: Jul 16, 2017
  3. Obsidian Fracture No sunshine when it's on

    Obsidian Fracture
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    Well that $70 got knocked the fuck out. Grats to Ponz backers.
     
    #43
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  4. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    UFN 113 Net: +1,122.83
    ponzinibbio +160: 100 for 160 - 21 parlays / ponz DEC: 25 for 107.50 - 19 parlays / O2.0: 71 for 50 - 30 parlays / nelson RD2: 10 parlays
    calderwood DEC: 33 for 151.80 - 10 parlays
    / calvillo: 2.50 for 0 / calvillo RD1: 5 parlays / calvillo RD3: 15 for 157.50 - 5 parlays
    ray -110: 110 for 100 / ray DEC: 10 parlays / felder DEC: 33 for 100.65 - 10 parlays
    janes +470: 32.50 for 152.88
    / janes +3.5: 30 for 78 - 10 parlays / janes NSC: 5 parlays / NOT marshman ITD: 0 for 5 / marsh RD1: 10 parlays / marsh RD2: 5 parlays
    rountree +100: 125 for 125 - 30 parlays / rountree DEC: 10 for 135.10 / rountree RD1: 40 parlays / DEC: 15 for 90 / U1.5: 75 for 50 / craig RD2: 5 parlays
    mulheron +700: 15 for 105 - 21 parlays / mulheron DEC: 20 for 73 - 10 parlays
    / DEC: 100 for 100 - 10 parlays / O1.5: 79.20 for 60 - 30 parlays / willis DEC: 9 parlays
    nash: 0 for 52.50 - 21 parlays / nash ITD: 5 parlays / ITD: 182.10 for 132 - 30 parlays / roberts: 0 for 5 / roberts SUB: 9 parlays / roberts RD2: 5 parlays
    seery +415: 100 for 415 / seery DEC: 10 parlays / seery +3.5: 21 parlays / O2.5: 95 for 50 - 30 parlays / pantoja SUB: 14 parlays
    bofando: 30 parlays / bofando RD1: 30 for 46.50 - 40 parlays
    henry +278: 130 for 361 - 21 parlays
    / henry RD3: 10 for 135 - 5 parlays / henry NSC: 30 for 52.80 - 10 parlays / teymur RD1: 9 parlays
    johns DEC: 30 parlays / johns -3.5: 50 for 60 - 21 parlays / O2.5: 95 for 50
    smith RD3: 5 parlays
    props
    FOTN: seery-pantoja: 8 for 60
    FOTN: henry-teymur: 7 for 66.50
    parlays
    52.50 for (paid +96.46) 307.60: ponznelsonO2.0/ rountree/ mulhernwillisO1.5/ nashrobertsITD/ seerypantojaO2.5/ bofando/ johnsDEC
    56 RR for (paid +97.96) 804.87: ponz/ rountreeRD1/ mulheron/ nash/ seery+3.5/ bofandoRD1/ henry/ johns-3.5
    21 RR for (paid +104.77) 1,616.69: ponzDEC/ rountreeRD1/ willisDEC/ robertsSUB/ pantojaSUB/ bofandoRD1/ teymurRD1
    20 RR for (paid +17) 302.91: rayDEC/ marshRD1/ rountreeRD1/ mulheronwillisDEC/ bofandoRD1/ henryNSC

    20 RR for 1,827.70: ponzDEC/ jojoDEC/ felderDEC/ janes+3.5/ mulheronDEC/ seeryDEC
    15 RR for 1,409.97: nelsonRD2/ calvilloRD3/ marshRD2/ robertsRD2/ henryRD3/ smithRD3
    15 RR for (paid -9.86) 499.47: nelsonRD2/ calvilloRD1/ janesNSC/ craigRD2/ nashITD/ pantojaSUB

    ---

    back on track, baby.

    could've been a *monster* night if ponz won after 2.0 or even more if ponz won via decision (those RR's would've paid a lot bigger).

    both of my RD3 stabs (henry and calvillo) should've f'ing HAD the R3 finishes, too. but i won't whine (much) this week. capped off a good week.
     
    #44
  5. Sapp Brown Belt

    Sapp
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    After livebetting, here are results:

    0.6u Paul Felder @2.5 + 0.9u
    0.3u Cynthia @1.5 + 0.15u
    0.2u Leslie Smith@1.5 +0.1u
    0.2u Willis@1.5 + 0.1u

    -0.3u craig
    -0.3u nash
    -0.2u Marshman KO
    -0.2u Gunni
    -0.1 stupid parlay


    Overall: +0.15u

    Still technically not off my winning streak, but this was basically a non event.
     
    #45
    Last edited: Jul 17, 2017
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  6. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Up 5u, surpassing the 50u in a month goal!
     
    #46
  7. MrSkin Orange Belt

    MrSkin
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    What am i doing wrong, how should i change my strategy?

    upload_2017-7-17_19-34-3.png
     
    #47
  8. MrSkin Orange Belt

    MrSkin
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    bump..,.help a newbie better bros...
     
    #48
  9. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    Betting the same amount on every fight isn't the best strategy, you should vary amounts based on confidence level and your perception of line value.
     
    #49
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  10. onC Orange Belt

    onC
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    Slightly disagree, when it comes to complete newcomers to betting. Using flat bets (for example 1% of your bankroll) works pretty well, and you'll see pretty fast wether you're making winning bets or not.

    Obviously once you're more experienced, and can identify the value of different spots more accurately, you should vary your betsizes based on that.
     
    #50
  11. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
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    I think officer brown proved that's not a winning strategy. We're not here to provide newbie advice, as MrSkin showed it's not working for him, though it is a small sample size with just 1 event.

    Unit sizing and correctly determining how many units to assign to each bet is very important
     
    #51
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