2,5u BJ Penn 2.75
2,5u Lee + Mayweather 2.10
1,5u Esparza + Vettori 1.79
1,5u Herrig 1.90
1,25u Boetsch/Hendricks U2.5 + Means/Garcia ITD 3.31
1,25u Means + Stansbury/Kimball ITD 2.20
1,0u Esparza + Stansbury 2.20
0,75u both ♀ fights O2.5 2.02
0,75u Gordon + Vettori 2.20
0,5u Case 2.25
0,5u Penn/Siver O2.5 + Christensen/Reyes ITD 2.41
0,5u Chiesa ITD 2.75 (small hedge on the 2,5u Lee ML)
0,25u Guida 3.75
After Hendricks kills Boetsch I will make another 5.4u (closes 3 parlays, initial risk 1,25u).
I had a fourth big parlay to be closed by a Hendricks win, but I cashed out on that one
- it would have broken my heart if Hendricks somehow hurts his angle and I get out no money at all from my precious parlays.
I am still very confident in Hendricks though!
Initially I had 2.5u on Boetsch/Hendricks U2.5, I cashed it out though and did the parlay with Means/Garcia ITD instead.
If Lee loses I hope he gets brutally finished at least (like the finish that Maia got on Story) - I really dislike that dude.
GL to everyone!
Assuming that Mayweather will beat Conor, I made
+1,51u on UFC Fight Night 112.
Somehow this feels like a loss to me.
my regrets:
- my unit size management was so fucking random this time, I really have to improve on that. I should have won way more units on this card.
- in some way or another I was putting money on every single fight, except Horcher/Powell.
Putting money on Stansbury wasn't smart, I should have just stayed with the ITD prop.
Putting money on Vettori was also dumb, at least at the odds that I got. There was zero value on him.
- I had 2,5u on the U2.5 in the Boetsch/Hendricks fight and was super confident, and for whatever reason I cash out, and do 1,25u on the under + Means/Garcia ITD instead. The under odds were GODDAMN 2.4, there was no need at all to do a parlay with this
what I did good:
While I barely won any units I won most of my bets, my leans are seldom wrong.
I don't regret betting BJ on those odds, Means/Garcia ITD wasn't a bad bet (I just shouldn't have parlayed this with Boetsch/Hendricks ITD), tacking a stab at Case was justified, and trusting Hendricks until the bitter end... no regrets on that.
I should have just kept Stansbury and Vettori out of my bets (I know that Vettori won, but still).
All the others hit.
how do I plan to improve:
- for the next event I will put zero money on at least 3 fights (the ones where I am the least confident at in regards to capping)
- I will thouroughly overthink my unit size management.
