Your Official UFN 112 Bets | Page 2

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jun 20, 2017.

  1. wack3d Silver Belt

    wack3d
    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    11,738
    Likes Received:
    4,794
    added:

    0.33u Herrig NSC +200
    0.23u Herrig SUB +1305

    1u Boetsch KO/TKO OR DEC +199
     
    #21
  2. Jamah Blue Belt

    Jamah
    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2017
    Messages:
    932
    Likes Received:
    1,025
    Location:
    Spain
    1u Michael Chiesa @2.20
    1u Justine Kish @2.00
    1u Vettori+Means @1,95
    0.5u Means ITD @1.83
    0.5u Koch ITD @2.37
    0.38u Hendricks + o1.5 Christensen-Reyes @3.10
     
    #22
  3. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2017
    Messages:
    1,129
    Likes Received:
    692
    1u Chiesa +100
    1u Johnny Case +160
    0.66u Guida +185
    0.33u Guida DEC +375
    0.5u Christensen +325
    2.5u Stansbury -125
    1u Esparza/Moroz o2.5 + Herrig/Kish o2.5 -110
    1.33u Herrig +135

    And a goofy lotto RR 2-5, $13 to win 90k
    Case R3 + Esparza SUB + Means R3 + Christensen ITD + Chiesa R4

    TOTAL RISK: 8.33u

    Lot of dog money up for me tonight, so could be a rough one. May still make a play on Herrig during the card depending how the night is going

    EDIT: Lost a baseball bet play so just tilt-added Herrig now. I do like the play though
     
    #23
    Last edited: Jun 25, 2017
  4. Agent Mulder Brown Belt

    Agent Mulder
    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2015
    Messages:
    4,368
    Likes Received:
    4,443
    2.5u Lee -115
    2u Esparza -200
    1u Herrig -111
    1u Penn/Siver O2.5 -129
    0.66u Guida +285
    0.62u Case +224
    0.5u Christensen +275

    1.5u Means ITD -120
     
    #24
    wack3d, NorthernLights, Jamah and 2 others like this.
  5. NorthernLights Orange Belt

    NorthernLights
    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2017
    Messages:
    377
    Likes Received:
    620
    1.75u Boetsch - 3.45 + 4.5u Hendricks - 1.62
    2.25u Koch - 1.45

    2u Means - 1.50
    1.5u Penn - 2.60
    1u Lee - 1.87
    1u Kimball - 2.60
    0.5u Hendricks/Boetsch o2.5 - 1.62
    0.5u Means ITD - 1.83
    0.5u Means ITD + Horcher - 2.30

    0.5u Esparza DEC + Lee/Chiesa ends ITD - 2.59
    0.25u Penn DEC - 5.00
    0.25u Koch ITD - 2.37
    0.25u Penn DEC + Hendricks/Boetsch o2.5 + Koch ITD - 22.62

    0.25u Lee ITD - 2.70
    0.25u Christensen - 3.83
    0.1u Means R3 - 12.00


    Total: -2,16u

    [​IMG]
    Putting money on BJ Penn in 2017, buying out of your Boetsch bet, going way to big on Koch despite a shitty line



     
    #25
    Last edited: Jun 26, 2017
  6. stretcharmstrong Orange Belt

    stretcharmstrong
    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    484
    Likes Received:
    268
    ADDING...
    0.5u KOCH/GUIDA FOTN @9.00
     
    #26
    Agent Mulder likes this.
  7. iGnP Red Belt

    iGnP
    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2012
    Messages:
    8,842
    Likes Received:
    3,529
    Chiesa by SUB (+250) risk: 0.5u

    Boetsch by DEC (+391) risk: 1u

    Herrig (+140) risk: 0.75u

    Penn (+150) risk: 0.75u
    Penn ITD (+334) risk: 0.25u

    Koch ITD (+137) risk: 1u
    Guida by DEC (+374) risk: 0.25u

    Parlay: [Esparza (-225) + Vettori (-335)] = (-114) risk: 3u
     
    #27
    Agent Mulder, wack3d, EzFlyer and 3 others like this.
  8. 2bet Yellow Belt

    2bet
    Joined:
    Jul 22, 2016
    Messages:
    202
    Likes Received:
    223
    Location:
    Austria
    2,5u BJ Penn 2.75
    2,5u Lee + Mayweather 2.10
    1,5u Esparza + Vettori 1.79
    1,5u Herrig 1.90
    1,25u Boetsch/Hendricks U2.5 + Means/Garcia ITD 3.31
    1,25u Means + Stansbury/Kimball ITD 2.20
    1,0u Esparza + Stansbury 2.20
    0,75u both ♀ fights O2.5 2.02
    0,75u Gordon + Vettori 2.20
    0,5u Case 2.25
    0,5u Penn/Siver O2.5 + Christensen/Reyes ITD 2.41
    0,5u Chiesa ITD 2.75 (small hedge on the 2,5u Lee ML)
    0,25u Guida 3.75

    After Hendricks kills Boetsch I will make another 5.4u (closes 3 parlays, initial risk 1,25u).
    I had a fourth big parlay to be closed by a Hendricks win, but I cashed out on that one
    - it would have broken my heart if Hendricks somehow hurts his angle and I get out no money at all from my precious parlays.
    I am still very confident in Hendricks though!

    Initially I had 2.5u on Boetsch/Hendricks U2.5, I cashed it out though and did the parlay with Means/Garcia ITD instead.

    If Lee loses I hope he gets brutally finished at least (like the finish that Maia got on Story) - I really dislike that dude.

    GL to everyone!
     
    #28
    Agent Mulder, wack3d, EzFlyer and 2 others like this.
  9. pytycrys Blue Belt

    pytycrys
    Joined:
    Dec 30, 2016
    Messages:
    589
    Likes Received:
    649
    Not so much time to write due to holiday.

    1u Penn decision @ 6.00

    2u Means itd @ 1.80

    2u Hendricks dec @ 2.70

    3u Esparza @ 1.47

    2u o2.5 Penn-Siver @ 1.80

    1.5u over 1.5 on Penn, Hendricks, Herrig, Esparza, Powell @ 4.21

    0.8u Penn dec, Hendricks Dec, Means itd, o2.5 Herrig, o2.5 Esparza @ 53

    Bol to everybody
     
    #29
    Agent Mulder, wack3d and t6p like this.
  10. t6p Green Belt

    t6p
    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2016
    Messages:
    1,490
    Likes Received:
    1,842
    2.5u Lee -120

    0.5u Herrig NSC +225

    0.2u Means/Garcia GTD +385
    0.1u Garcia DEC +1250

    0.625u Penn/Siver GTD -125

    0.25u Guida DEC +425

    0.1u Case RD3 +1500

    0.25u Means ITD/Esparza/Boetsch-Hendricks o2.5/Chiesa-Lee ITD +385
     
    #30
    EzFlyer, Agent Mulder and Jamah like this.
  11. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    35,466
    Likes Received:
    14,103
    Location:
    philly
    UFN 112 Risk: 1,617.25
    Lee -120: 240 for 200 / Lee SUB: 30 for 174 / lee RD1: 10 parlays / chiesa DEC: 9 parlays / chiesa SUB: 30 for 87 - 10 parlays / chiesa RD3: 4.50 parlays
    boetsch +155: 100 for 155 / boetsch ITD: 19 parlays / hendricks
    herrig: 0 for 70 / herrig ITD: 21 for 199.29 - 6 parlays / herrig RD1: 4.50 parlays / herrig NSC: 100 for 143.62 - 21 parlays / kish
    christensen +300: 33 for 99 - 21 parlays / christensen SUB: 6 parlays / reyes
    means ITD: 90 for 75 / means RD2: 31 parlays / means RD3: 10 for 97.50 / DEC: 9 parlays / garcia DEC: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays
    penn DEC: 22 for 99 - 19 parlays / penn RD1: 4.50 parlays / penn NSC: 40 for 46 / O2.5: 67.50 for 50 / siver: 0 for 5.50
    koch -180: 99 for 55 / koch SUB: 25 for 98.75 - 31 parlays / guida DEC: 9 parlays
    miranda +223: 100 for 222.50 - 21 parlays / miranda DEC: 22 for 148.50 / miranda ITD: 10.50 parlays / miranda NSC: 29 parlays / vettori
    moroz +190: 50 for 95 - 10 parlays / moroz DEC: 20 for 111.60 / moroz SUB: 10.50 parlays / moroz NSC: 50 for 65 / esparza
    powell: 21 parlays / powell SUB: 11 for 99 - 10.50 parlays / powell NSC: 25 for 57.50 / horcher
    quinones +135: 50 for 67.50 / quinones DEC: 25 for 80.75 - 41 parlays / gordon
    stansbury +108: 100 for 108.06 / stansbury DEC: 9 parlays / stansbury KO: 10 for 108.50 - 4.50 parlays / kimball
    case +160: 50 for 80 / case RD3: 10 for 130 / martin ITD: 21 parlays / martin RD1: 18 for 99 - 6 parlays
    props
    FOTN: lee-chiesa: 0 for 76.50
    parlays
    56 RR for 3,539.63: herrigNSC/ christensen/ meansRD2/ kochSUB/ miranda/ powell/ quinonesDEC/ martinITD
    21 RR for 1,751.36: herrigITD/ christSUB/ garciaDEC/ mirandaITD/ morozSUB/ powellSUB/ martinRD1
    20 RR for 1,228.45: chiesaSUB/ pennDEC/ kochSUB/ mirandaNSC/ moroz/ quinonesDEC
    21 RR for 2,788.32: chiesaDEC/ boetschITD/ garciameansDEC/ pennDEC/ guidaDEC/ mirandaNSC/ stansburyDEC
    15.75 RR for 1,636.96: chiesaRD3/ herrigRD1/ pennRD3/ mirandaITD/ morozSUB/ powellSUB/ stansburyKO
    25 RR for 528.87: leeRD1/ boetschITD/ meansRD2/ mirandaNSC/ quinonesDEC
    ---

    really weird card to bet on.

    no strong leans anywhere.

    only fight with significant action for me is lee-chiesa, but even that one, i'm looking to live bet chiesa, potentially.

    just having fun with the RR's as i don't see a ton of good spots on the card, frankly.
     
    #31
    Sadistics, Jamah and t6p like this.
  12. hugdeeznuts Purple Belt

    hugdeeznuts
    Joined:
    Feb 2, 2007
    Messages:
    2,145
    Likes Received:
    47
    Location:
    How does that make you feel?
    Lee
    Hendricks
    Herrig
    Reyes by ko or tko
    Koch/Means parlay
    Carla by dec
    BJ
    Horcher/Vettori parlay
     
    #32
  13. JimGunn Red Belt

    JimGunn
    Joined:
    Nov 22, 2013
    Messages:
    8,888
    Likes Received:
    3,865
    UFN 112 Risk $2387.77

    Kevin Lee (-120) vs Mike Chiesa $360.00 for $300.00
    Kevin Lee/ Michael Chiesa fight ends in submission (+113) $40.00 for $45.20

    Tim Boetsch (+180) vs Johny Hendricks $200.00 for $360.00
    Tim Boetsch wins by TKO/KO (+435) $25.00 for $108.75
    Tim Boetsch wins in round 2 (+1200) ~$12.25 for ~$147.00
    Tim Boetsch wins in round 3 (+1800) ~$26.95 for ~$485.10

    Felice Herrig (-120) vs Justine Kish $240.00 for $200.00
    Felice Herrig scorecards = no action (+225) $100.00 for $225.00
    Felice Herrig wins by submission (+740) $25.00 for $185.00

    Joachim Christensen (+315) vs Dominick Reyes $50.00 for $157.50

    Tim Means (-313) vs Alex Garcia $313.00 for $100.00
    Tim Means/Alex Garcia Over 1½ (-103) $77.25 for $75.00
    Tim Means wins inside distance (-177) $88.50 for $50.00
    Tim Means wins in round 3 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00
    Tim Means wins in round 3 (+1100) ~$26.95 for ~$296.45

    BJ Penn (+150) vs Dennis Siver $100.00 for $150.00
    BJ Penn wins by decision (+450) $50.00 for $225.00

    Clay Guida (+305) vs Erik Koch $50.00 for $152.50
    Clay Guida wins by submission (+1850) $30.00 for $555.00
    Clay Guida/Erik Koch Under 2½ (+130) $76.92 for $100.00

    Vitor Miranda (+320) vs Marvin Vettori $50.00 for $160.00

    Carla Esparza wins by decision (-135) vs Maryna Moroz $54.00 for $40.00

    Devin Powell (+380) vs Darrell Horcher $40.00 for $152.00

    Jared Gordon (-150) vs Michel Quinones $75.00 for $50.00

    Tony Martin/Johnny Case Under 2½ (+162) $50.00 for $81.00

    Josh Stansbury (-165) vs Jeremy Kimball $165.00 for $100.00

    Tim Means/Alex Garcia FOTN award winner (+900) $10.00 for $90.00

    Round Robin of two team parlays. Risk ~$26.95
    Joachim Christensen/Dominick Reyes fight ends in round 3 (+800)
    Tim Means/Alex Garcia fight ends in round 3 (+650)
    BJ Penn/Dennis Siver fight ends in round 3 (+800)
    Clay Guida/Erik Koch fight ends in round 3 (+750)
    Vitor Miranda/Marvin Vettori fight ends in round 3 (+800)
    Devin Powell/Darrell Horcher fight ends in round 3 (+900)
    Jared Gordon/Michel Quinones fight ends in round 3 (+900)
    Johhny Case/Tony Martin fight ends in round 3 (+890)
     
    #33
    EzFlyer, Sadistics and t6p like this.
  14. Jamah Blue Belt

    Jamah
    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2017
    Messages:
    932
    Likes Received:
    1,025
    Location:
    Spain
    Shitty night , -2.4u
     
    #34
    EzFlyer, Sadistics and t6p like this.
  15. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2017
    Messages:
    1,129
    Likes Received:
    692
    +7.02u (assuming Case/Martin FOTN). But man, what a potential swing by that brutal Yamasaki stoppage. Chasing worked shockingly well though and I finished up so I can't complain

    EDIT: Make that +5.22u. Can't believe they robbed Case/Martin of a bonus
     
    #35
    Last edited: Jun 25, 2017
  16. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    3,545
    Likes Received:
    3,048
    Location:
    Sewers
    can't believe i managed to make it out tonight with a profit. i took huge losses on koch and bj - shame on me, both were horrible plays. the frustrating thing is i got koch at -175 thinking he was value, i would have never played -350.

    i really feel bad about that one, like i need to question my decision making because koch was just a horrible parlay leg. perhaps i should have watched more tape, i just felt koch would be able to defend takedowns and was the superior striker.

    it feels like every event there is one fighter (usually a fav) that costs me a huge payday. oh well, a profit is a profit.

    i got the last 5 fights perfect which saved my ass.

    WINS

    Esparza, vettori £100 returns £189

    Horcher, means £100 returns £205

    Means, reyes £200 returns £334

    Herrig £200 returns £440

    Boetsch, lee £100 returns £558

    LOSSES

    Chael, stansbury, penn £50 returns £311

    Case £10 returns £21

    Quinones £50 returns £112

    Means dec, vettori sub, herrig dec, reyes ko £15 returns £1126

    Koch, reyes, £300 returns £642

    Means, horcher, Koch, reyes, lee, vettori, overeem, whitakker, Shevchenko £100 returns £5362

    Penn £115 returns £316

    Penn £80 returns £190

    PROFIT: £306
     
    #36
  17. t6p Green Belt

    t6p
    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2016
    Messages:
    1,490
    Likes Received:
    1,842
    2.5u Lee -120 +2.08u

    0.5u Herrig NSC +225 +0u

    0.2u Means/Garcia GTD +385 +0.77u
    0.1u Garcia DEC +1250 -0.1u

    0.625u Penn/Siver GTD -125 +0.5u

    0.25u Guida DEC +425 +1.06u

    0.1u Case RD3 +1500 -0.1u

    0.25u Means ITD/Esparza/Boetsch-Hendricks o2.5/Chiesa-Lee ITD +385 -0.25u

    Added:
    0.25u Herrig +140 +0.35u
    0.1u Hendricks DEC/Lee ITD +634 -0.1u
    0.1u Lee RD1 +450 +0.45u

    NET: +4.66u

    Really needed a solid night tonight and got it. I liked this matchup for Lee since the fight was announced, wishing I went bigger in hindsight. I felt like I was more selective than usual this card and it worked out for me. Super pumped for international fight week.
     
    #37
  18. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Sham5916910
    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    10,846
    Likes Received:
    7,930
    I thought id like koch but dropped him for 2 reasons. Guida wrestlefuckin kawajiri means he has caveman strength and kochs injuries just meant i didnt know where he was at.
     
    #38
    piglord likes this.
  19. Sadistics Blue Belt

    Sadistics
    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    680
    Likes Received:
    1,403
    +14u including LB consisting of Esparza -200, Kish +200, Means -120, Boetsch +110/+140.

    Upped the unit size by 50% after last event so I'm very happy I'm not only up but up significantly
     
    #39
    Last edited: Jun 26, 2017
    Yotsuya, Jamah, EzFlyer and 1 other person like this.
  20. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    35,466
    Likes Received:
    14,103
    Location:
    philly
    UFN 112 Net: -856.70
    Lee -123: 490 for 400 / Lee SUB: 30 for 174 / lee RD1: 10 parlays / chiesa DEC: 9 parlays / chiesa SUB: 30 for 87 - 10 parlays / chiesa RD3: 4.50 parlays
    boetsch +468: 55 for 257.50 / boetsch ITD: 19 parlays
    herrig +188: 250 for 470
    / herrig ITD: 21 for 199.29 - 6 parlays / herrig RD1: 4.50 parlays / herrig NSC: 0 for 28.62 - 21 parlays
    christensen +288: 150 for 432.45 - 21 parlays / christensen SUB: 6 parlays
    means ITD: 90 for 75 / means SUB: 25 for 300 / means RD2: 25 for 87.75 - 31 parlays / means RD3: 10 for 97.50
    / DEC: 9 parlays / ITD: 195 for 150 / garcia DEC: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays
    penn +111: 474.50 for 526 / penn DEC: 22 for 99 - 19 parlays / penn RD1: 4.50 parlays
    / penn NSC: 310 for 246 / DEC: 277.50 for 150 / O2.5: 67.50 for 50
    koch -180: 99 for 55 / koch SUB: 25 for 98.75 - 31 parlays / ITD: 207.50 for 250 / guida DEC: 9 parlays
    miranda +458: 200 for 915 - 21 parlays / miranda DEC: 22 for 148.50 / miranda ITD: 10.50 parlays / miranda KO: 20 for 150 / miranda NSC: 29 parlays / ITD: 150 for 172.50
    moroz +388: 300 for 1,163.50 - 10 parlays / moroz DEC: 20 for 111.60 / moroz SUB: 10.50 parlays
    / moroz NSC: 50 for 65
    powell +1200: 15 for 180 - 21 parlays / powell SUB: 11 for 99 - 10.50 parlays / powell NSC: 25 for 57.50 / ITD: 20 for 66
    quinones +135: 50 for 67.50 / quinones DEC: 25 for 80.75 - 41 parlays
    stansbury +108: 100 for 108.06 / stansbury DEC: 9 parlays / stansbury KO: 10 for 108.50 - 4.50 parlays
    case +160: 50 for 80 / case RD3: 10 for 130 / martin ITD: 21 parlays / martin RD1: 18 for 99 - 6 parlays

    props
    FOTN: lee-chiesa: 0 for 76.50
    parlays
    56 RR for 3,539.63: herrigNSC/ christensen/ meansRD2/ kochSUB/ miranda/ powell/ quinonesDEC/ martinITD
    21 RR for 1,751.36: herrigITD/ christSUB/ garciaDEC/ mirandaITD/ morozSUB/ powellSUB/ martinRD1
    20 RR for 1,228.45: chiesaSUB/ pennDEC/ kochSUB/ mirandaNSC/ moroz/ quinonesDEC

    21 RR for (paid +91.98) 2,788.32: chiesaDEC/ boetschITD/ garciameansDEC/ pennDEC/ guidaDEC/ mirandaNSC/ stansburyDEC
    15.75 RR for 1,636.96: chiesaRD3/ herrigRD1/ pennRD3/ mirandaITD/ morozSUB/ powellSUB/ stansburyKO
    25 RR for (paid +67.57) 528.87: leeRD1/ boetschITD/ meansRD2/ mirandaNSC/ quinonesDEC
    ---

    i lost my mind mid event. i started greedily looking for dogs. christensen 1.5u bet? fucking stupid. penn bets? yea, that happened. i was SUPER vocal saying no one should bet bj here, all week, but i just doubted myself so much that i GENUINELY faded myself and paid for it, hard. i was on FULL TILT.

    i was down over 2300 i think before the last 3 fights. so this is obviously a big comeback.

    ...but i need to get it together. gotta look myself in the mirror.
     
    #40
    MidgardSerpent, dna5, t6p and 3 others like this.

Share This Page

monitoring_string = "fd5733925866a04e50edd70f38dfaa35"
monitoring_string = "603ac9fff68f23709f2a42bf5e29272b"